Evidently the number one obstacle in Israel to any sort of peace
deal with Abbas isn't the opposition Likud or the rump-Sharonist
party of Ehud Olmert but the new leader of the Labor Party, also
Defense Minister, Ehud Barak. Helena Cobban recently had
this
to say about Barak, and I think it's worth quoting at length:
In the west, Ehud Barak is generally widely thought of as a
relative "peacenik" among Israeli political leaders. In 1999, when he
was head of the Labor Party, he was indeed elected PM on a strongly
pro-peace platform. ("I will complete the negotiations with the
Palestinians within 6-9 months," etc.) He failed miserably. In fact,
he was hustled at the speed of light out of being the IDF's chief of
staff into being head of Labor, and never had time to learn anything
at all about politics or diplomacy along the way. Hence, the coalition
that he headed in Israel fell apart in almost record time, because of
his total lack of political skills. The "peace process" fell apart
disastrously, too, bringing us in short order Sharon's disastrous
September 2000 visit to Al-Aqsa Mosque, the outbreak of the Second
Intifada, and Sharon's amazing triumphant re-entry into national
leadership just 17 years after the Kahan Commission had said he should
be banned from high office for life.
Along the way, Barak did make what could be described as two
"drive-by, quickie" attempts at peacemaking. One with Hafez al-Asad,
which failed miserably because of Barak's arrogance and duplicity (and
Bill Clinton's complicity with both those aspects of Barak's
behavior.) That failure almost certainly helped kill Hafez
al-Asad. After that one failed, Barak turned those same attributes in
Yasser Arafat's direction, forcing him to the completely ill-prepared
Camp David 2 summit from which both Barak and Clinton emerged
vociferously and in a quite one-sided way blaming Arafat.
My best friends in the Israeli peace movement heap a lot of blame
on Barak for killing the Israeli peace movement at that point. By
successfully spreading the (significantly inaccurate) story that he
had made Arafat a "generous offer" and that Arafat had turned it down
out of hand, Barak spread the idea very broadly in Israel and the US
that the Israelis had "no partner for peace" on the Palestinian
side.
Israel's Labour Party has always been a flawed vehicle for any
hopes of concluding a just and sustainable peace. One problem with the
party since its inception has been the extremely incestuous
relationship between its leadership and that of the Israeli
military. Some of the IDF's retired generals have become voices of
good sense regarding the need for peacemaking; but many more of them
have not. People like Ephraim Sneh, Binyamin ("Fouad") Ben-Eliezer,
and Ehud Barak have taken into the party's upper echelons the mindset
of bulldozers and bullies. They are also very much aware of the huge
interests many of their friends and former colleagues have in the
success of Israel's massive military-industrial complex.
A lot more could be said about Barak. I think his low point was
after all but throwing the 2001 election to Sharon, he asked Sharon
to return the favor and make him Defense Minister. Now he's finally
made it, under Sharon's successor. He probably thinks of that as
some form of vindication. More likely Olmert's just trying to figure
out how to blow off the shotgun deal that Rice is trying to rope
Olmert and Abbas into. He may figure that if anyone can sabotage a
deal it is Barak. After all, Barak not only opposed Oslo from the
start; he took a fall as the most incompetent Israeli Prime Minister
ever just to kill Oslo in the end.