Tuesday, June 24. 2008
Jacob S Hacker: The Great Risk Shift: The New Economic Insecurity
and the Decline of the American Dream (2006; revised and expanded
edition, paperback, 2008, Oxford University Press)
(pp. 7-8):
The United States does spend less on government benefits as a share
of its economy, but it also relies more -- far more -- on private
workplace benefits, such as health care and retirement
pensions. Indeed, when these private benefits are factored into the
mix, the U.S. framework of economic security is not smaller
than the average system in other rich democracies; it is actually
slightly larger. With the help of hundreds of billions in tax breaks,
American employers serve as the United States' unique mini-welfare
states -- the first line of defense for millions of workers buffeted
by the winds of economic change.
The problem is that these mini-welfare states are coming undone,
and in the process, risk is shifting back onto workers and their
families. Employers want out of the social contract forged in the more
stable economy of the past. And because they do no not need to answer
to the broader public that depends on the jerry-rigged systems of
security they provide, employers are getting what they want. Meanwhile,
America's framework of government support is also strained. Patently
inadequate to deal with families' growing risks, it is nonetheless
attacked for costing and doing too much -- by critics who claim that
the ideal of insurance is both outmoded and harmful to economic growth
and advancement.
As private and public support erodes, workers and their families
must bear a greater burden. This is the essence of the Great Risk
Shift. Through the cutback and restructuring of workplace benefits,
employers are seeking to offload more and more of the risk once pooled
under their auspices. Facing fiscal constraints and political
opposition, public social programs have eroded even as the demands on
them have risen. And if critics have their way, these programs will
erode even further. The next frontier in the Great Risk Shift is the
transformation of existing programs -- Medicare and Social Security
chief among them -- from guaranteed benefits defined by law to
individual private accounts that leave workers and families
shouldering more and more of the risks that these programs once
covered.
(pp. 13-14):
Consider some of the alarming facts. Personal bankruptcy has gone
from a rare occurrence to a relatively common one, with the number of
households filing for bankruptcy rising from fewer than 290,000 in
1980 to more than two million in 2005. The bankrupt are pretty much
like other Americans before they file: slightly better educated, more
likely to be married and have children, roughly as likely to have had
a good job, and modestly less likely to own a home. They are not the
persistently poor, the downtrodden looking for relief. They are
refugees of the middle class, frequently wondering how they fell so far
so fast.
Americans are also losing their homes at record rates. Sine the
early 1970s, the mortgage foreclosure rate has increased
fivefold. From 2001 to 2005, even before the housing bubble burst, an
average of one in every sixty households with a mortgage fell into
foreclosure a year -- a legal process that begins when homeowners
default on their mortgages and can end with homes being auctioned to
the highest bidder in local courthouses. [ . . . ]
Meanwhile, the number of Americans who lack health insurance has
increased with little interruption over the last twenty-five years as
employers have cut back on workplace coverage for employees and their
dependents. Over a two-year period, more than 80 million adults and
children -- one out of three nonelderly Americans, 85 percent of them
working or the kids of working parents -- spend some time without the
protection against ruinous health costs that insurance offers.
(p. 24):
These up-and-down swings are what get missed when we use annual
snapshots to look at the income distribution. There are not just the
well off and the poor. There are Americans who are doing well one year
and poorly the next -- and vice versa. In fact, a surprisingly big
chunk of the inequality that we see across families at any point in
time is due to transitory shifts of family income, rather than to
permanent differences across families.
(p. 24):
The evidence shows, moreover, that income mobility across
generations is actually lower in the United States than in other
affluent nations. According to recent studies, there is more social
mobility in European nations such as Sweden than in the United States,
and in fact only South Africa and Britain have as little mobility
across generations.
(p. 25):
The difference between these two scenarios is profound, because
both research and common sense suggest that downward mobility is far
more painful than upward mobility is pleasurable. In fact, in the
1970s, the psychologists Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman gave a name
to this bias: "loss aversion." Most people, it turns out, aren't just
highly risk-averse -- they prefer a bird in the hand to even a very
good chance of two in the bush. They are also far more cautious when
it comes to bad outcomes than when it comes to good outcomes of
exactly the same magnitude. The search for economic security is, in
large part, a reflection of a basic human desire for protection
against losing what one already has.
(p. 32):
The flipside of this picture, however, is that poverty afflicts
many more Americans at some point in their lives than is commonly
believed. Take the U.S. child poverty rate of 20 percent -- a rate
three times higher than the norm in northern Europe. Most people look
at this number and think that "only" one in five kids experience
poverty in the United States. That's true in any given year, but the
kids who are poor change from year to year. If we want to know how
many kids experience poverty at some point in their childhood, we need
to count up the total number who spend at least a year beneath the
poverty line by the age of eighteen. The answer, it turns out, is
shocking: More than half of American kids spend at least a year
in poverty by the time they're eighteen -- compared with less than a
quarter of German children.
The picture is similar for adults. Using the PSID, the sociologist
Mark Rank has calculated that a stunning 58.5 percent of Americans
will spend at least a year in poverty between the ages of twenty and
seventy-five.
(p. 43):
Today, critics of Social Security often describe it as "outmoded"
-- a program built for a very different set of circumstances. But the
ideal of insurance wasn't meant to deal with the calamity of the
Depression; it was meant to provide a secure foundation for economic
activity and advancement for decades to come. The architects of the
Social Security Act contrasted insurance for working Americans with
relief for those who were already destitute. Relief was reactive,
demeaning, inevitably stingy. Insurance was proactive, uplifting,
generous. Relief was backward looking; insurance was forward
looking. By creating a basic floor of protection, it allowed Americans
to seize on economic opportunities they might otherwise view with
anxiety and fear.
On Harvard economist Martin Feldstein (pp. 50-51):
A Feldstein article had two parts, now familiar after years of
repetition by disciples and emulators. First, find a well-meaning law,
regulation, or program that was designed to protect workers and their
families from harm by indemnifying them against certain risks. Second,
show that by reducing the costs of these risks, the law, regulation,
or program created perverse incentives, making the problem it was
meant to solve worse, or at least not much better. For example,
Feldstein attacked both unemployment insurance and Social Security on
the grounds that they encouraged the very thing they were supposed to
prevent -- namely, time out of the workforce and inadequate retirement
income. The Feldstein one-two punch was always backed up with
impressive economic techniques and delivered with an air of regret
rather than anger. "You may not like the truth," was Punch 1. "But you
cannot deny it," was Punch 2.
Over the course of the 1970s, Feldstein churned out a series of
highly technical but hugely influential studies showing that
Americans, because of tax breaks and public programs, were excessively
insured against health costs and other financial risks. Not only were
all existing policies inefficient, Feldstein argued, the taxes used to
support them were a huge drain on the economy, drastically reducing
the incentives of higher-income Americans to work and invest. (In his
classes, Feldstein liked to describe the three U.S. tax rates as
"high," "higher," and "highest.") When Ronald Reagan was elected in
1980, he tapped the forty-one-year-old economist to head the White
House's Council of Economic Advisers.
(p. 52):
This was -- and is -- the central message of the Personal
Responsibility Crusade: Government should get out of the way and let
people succeed or fail on their own. Government insurance upsets the
natural working of a free society. It takes from the most energetic
individuals and enterprises in society to subsidize those who are a
costly drag on a vibrant economy. "Government insurance," in the words
of one critic, "taxes the most productive activities to redistribute
to the most risky" -- one reason why "the government that governs
least, governs best." In the early 1980s, conservative scholar Charles
Murray coined a simple syllogism to explain why good-intentioned
programs inevitably went bad: "Any social transfer increases the net
value of being in the condition that prompted the transfer." In other
words, helping people just creates more people who need help -- moral
hazard with a vengeance.
Who's Afraid of Personal Responsibility? (pp. 59-60):
Picture our liberated worker. A hardworking professional, he takes
time each morning to check the level of his IRA, rebalance the
portfolio in his 401(k), see if his medical spending is depleting his
Health Savings Account, and make sure the Education Savings Account he
set up for his kids is accumulating enough for sixteen or more years
of private schooling for his twin daughters. If he were to lose his
job, he would draw on his Temporary Unemployment Savings Account --
which, of course, he's diligently contributed to, knowing full well
the risks that all professionals face in today's hyperdynamic,
free-agent economy. If he were somehow disabled, he could draw on his
Disability Savings Account, as well as the tax-advantaged private
disability coverage that he purchased on his own and religiously
renews each year.
His wife is staying home to care for their two new children,
courtesy of a Caregivers' Account in which the couple socked away
money from their first day out of college. Soon, they will draw on the
Caregivers' Account to pay for a full-time nanny so his wife can go
back to her own professional job. Ever resourceful, he has not only
bought a standard life insurance policy but also set up a Long-Term
Health Savings Account, which will cover his and his wife's expenses
if they ever need nursing home care -- and, like all the other
accounts, can be passed on to the kids if they don't use the money by
their deaths. He often finds himself shaking his head when he hears
about young workers who have passed up all these extravagantly
subsidized options. To each his own, he shrugs. He is certainly not
going to bail them out when they find themselves out of a job or in
need of round-the-clock care. And when his kids are older, he will
tell them what he has learned from a life of hard work and prudent
saving: The entitlement age is over.
Jimmy Richter was making nearly $100,000 per year at Nortel Networks
before his job was cut in 2002. No one in the field was hiring, so he
wound up taking a supervisory job at a cable company paying half of what
he was making (p. 72):
The only truly unusual aspect of Richter's experience is how common
it is at a time when the unemployment rate is so low. Why aren't
employers scrambling for workers, and workers bidding up wages, when
only one in twenty workers if out of a job? The answer is that many
who find themselves, like Jimmy Richter, without a good job eventually
give up looking for one. These are the shadow unemployed -- people who
want to work , who would work, but who aren't counted as unemployed
because, in the parlance of unemployment statistics, they're not
"actively seeking work" when they're surveyed. And however you count
them, the shadow unemployed have grown.
(p. 80):
The shift is etched on our economic landscape: In the late 1960s,
the nation's largest employer was General Motors, which paid its
workers solidly middle-class incomes ($29,000 on average, in current
dollars) and provided generous benefits. Today, the largest employer
is Wal-Mart, which pays roughly $17,000 on average, offers no
guaranteed pension, and covers less than half its workers through its
health plan.
Wal-Mart and GM, of course, represent extremes. But they give a
sense of the scale and scope of the change. For decades
U.S. manufacturing has been in steep decline, as an increasing share
of employment has moved into the service sector -- industries like
medical care and teaching that do not turn out physical products. In
1960 almost 40 percent of nonagricultural employment was in
manufacturing. By 2002 only 14 percent was, and more than 80 percent
of nonfarm work was in services. Manufacturing has not just fallen in
relative terms but in absolute terms, too, with 5.2 million
manufacturing jobs lost between 1979 and early 2004 -- over half that
total since 2000 alone.
(pp. 88-89):
A generation ago, families' dependence on financial contributions
from women like Julie and Vicki was relatively rare. Most married
women with kids stayed at home while their husbands worked for
pay. Today, almost all husbands still work, but married women -- even
married women with very young children -- are much more likely to work
than not. Roughly six in ten married mothers of infant children
work. In 1975, only three in ten did. At the same time, the
contribution of women's earnings to household income has grown
dramatically. In 1970, less than a third of married couples worked
roughly equal numbers of hours a week, and in about half of families,
men earned essentially all of the family's income. By 2000 more than
60 percent of married couples worked approximately equal hours, and
only about a fifth of families featured the Leave It to Beaver
male-breadwinner model. In the course of a single generation,t he norm
for married women with children has shifted form staying home to care
for children to working (often full time) in the paid labor force to
bolster family finances.
And bolster family finances women have. Although the median family
income has grown only modestly in the last generation after adjusting
for inflation, married-couple families have seen stronger growth, with
their median income rising around one-third between 1973 and 2003. As
this comparison suggests, much of the rise in what American families
take home is due not to higher wages or salaries, but to the fact that
women are working many more hours outside the home than they once
did. Indeed, without the increased work hours of women, the rise of
real middle-class incomes between 1979 and 2000 would have been
less than a fourth as large as it was, while low-income families
would actually have experienced a substantial real income drop. In
short, middle-class families have gotten richer mainly because women
have started working for pay or stepped up their work hours -- and
this is one reason why these families' standard of living is now at
greater risk.
(pp. 98-99):
We can see this in the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, which has
asked questions about wealth on a regular basis since 1984. Young
families whose heads grew up in the 1940s and early 1950s entered
middle-age (age thirty-five to forty-four) in 1983 with a median
household wealth of $57,393. For young families whose heads grew up in
the 1960s and early 1970s, by contrast, the middle-aged situation
reached in 2002 was not nearly as bright: The median family held only
$31,800, or more than $25,000 less (all these numbers are in 2002
dollars). At the same time, according to a recent study by the think
tank Demos, the youngest of adult Americans are piling up vastly more
debt than their parents did at the same stage of life, particularly
credit-card debt. In 1992, 7.9 percent of young adults (aged
twenty-five to thirty-four) faced "debt hardship" -- spending more
than 40 percent of their income on debt payments, including mortgages,
student loans, and minimum credit-card payments. By 2001 the
percentage facing debt hardship was 13.3 percent.
Not surprisingly, the gap in wealth between young and old families
has grown: In 1984, median household wealth of older families (whose
heads were age fifty-five to sixty-four) was four and a half times the
median for young families (age twenty-five to thirty-four). By 2003 it
was nearly thirteen and a half times as great. And rising debt
and falling wealth for younger Americans haven't been accompanied by
higher consumer spending. To the contrary, young Americans in the
1990s (so-called Generation X) spent less than their baby-boomer
parents did in the 1970s. "With the possible exception of having a
larger array of entertainment and other goods to purchase, " write two
economists, "members of Generation X appear to be worse off by every
measure."
(pp. 100-101):
At the root of the dilemma is the simple reality that raising
children is long, hard (and, yes, terrifically rewarding) work --
costly in terms of both time and money. Over the last generation, the
expectations on parents have grown dramatically, even as the costs of
parenthood have risen and the tangible rewards have
evaporated. Parents are expected to devote eighteen years of their
lives and tens of thousands of dollars to provide continuous guidance,
love, education, and care to each of their offspring. Indeed, our
society depends on these massive investments to flourish and grow. But
most of the costs of raising children are not borne by the societies
that reap the benefit; they are borne by parents. The result is a
wholesale transformation of the economic effects of kids. In the
not-so-distant past, children were an insurance policy for parents --
an additional worker on the farm, a helping hand when parents grew
older. Today, for all the joy and love children bring into a family,
they are, in simple economic terms, a risk -- and a risk that parents
bear almost wholly on their own.
(p. 122):
To be sure, defined-contribution accounts grew handsomely during
this period, especially in the 1990s. Yet, at the same time, median
defined-benefit holdings declined as employers stopped offering
defined-benefit plans. So too did expected Social Security benefits,
thanks to the cutbacks in Social Security passed in 1983. When all the
gains and losses are added up, the median family approaching
retirement -- that is, the family exactly in the middle of the
retirement wealth distribution -- ended the 1990s with 11 percent
less in retirement wealth than the median family had in
1983. And the story gets worse. The proportion of near-retirement
families that are likely to live on less than halfof their
prior income in retirement increased substantially between 1989 and
1998 -- from less than 30 percent to more than 40 percent. In other
words, more than two out of five families nearing retirement in 1998
were likely to be living on less than half of their present income --
a sharp increase in less than a decade.
(pp. 130-131):
Guerilla warfare was a team sport. In what would become a standard
cycle, trumped-up complaints against Social Security moved from
conservative intellectual circles to policy experts in antigovernment
think tanks into the mouths of Republican politicians -- becoming, as
in a childhood game of "telephone," more grandiose and inaccurate at
each step of the journey. Thus the respected Harvard economist Martin
Feldstein wrote a series of highly influential -- and, it soon became
clear, highly flawed -- analyses arguing that Social Security was not
only inherently unsound but a massive drag on the economy. His
complaints were picked up by anti-Social Security policy experts who
dumbed them down for a broader audience and trumped them up for the
press-release world of Washington. Within a matter of years, these
talking points became the standard mantra of Republican leaders:
Social Security was going broke; it was drastically reducing national
savings; it was bad for widows and blacks; it was a form of fiscal
child abuse that allowed greedy seniors to rob from the younger
generation.
The claims were often as preposterous as they were powerful. (How,
for example, could Social Security so grievously disadvantage women
when they received so much more back from the program relative to what
they had paid in than did men? How could the program be running on
empty when Republicans were calling for using the surplus in the
program's trust fund to pay for new tax cuts?) But the plausibility of
the Chicken Little chorus was less important than its overall
impact. What Social Security had going for it, besides the fact that
people liked its basic goal, was that millions of Americans had paid
into it and expected to get back what they had been promised when they
retired. Convincing Americans that the chance of getting full Social
Security benefits was lower than the chance of aliens landing on Earth
-- as one humorous but completely bungled anti-Social Security survey
suggested most younger workers felt -- made the task of blowing up the
present system that much easier.
(pp. 138-139):
Consider the grim statistics. Among insured Americans, 51
million spend more than 10 percent of their income on medical care. One
out of six working-age adults are carrying medical debt, and 70
percent had insurance when they incurred it. Of those with private
insurance and medical debt, fully half have incomes greater than
$40,000, and of this group a third are college graduates or have had
postgraduate education. In the twelve months prior to May 2007, around
three in ten nonelderly adults who had health insurance lacked
adequate coverage. These "underinsured" Americans are the hidden blot
on American health care, missed by the binary categorization of the
population into the insured and uninsured. Nearly six in ten of the
underinsured postponed needed medical care because of the cost,
nearly four in ten had to put off medical care because of the cost,
nearly four in ten had to put off home or car maintenance or repairs
due to medical expenses, a third had to dig deep into their savings to
pay for medical care, and more than one in five made job-related
decisions based mainly on their health care needs. Strikingly, the
median family income of the underinsured was $58,000 -- almost
exactly the same as the median income of those with adequate
coverage. The underinsured were just as likely to be white as
the well insured, nearly as well educated, and just as likely to work
full-time and in large or medium-sized companies. The only consistent
way in which the underinsured appear to differ from those who
are better protected is that they are at grave economic risk.
Meanwhile, millions upon millions of otherwise fortunate Americans
find themselves uninsured at some point, and often at several points,
during their lives. Everyone has heard the numbers: 47 million
Americans without health insurance, the vast majority of them in
working families. But the uninsured are a constantly shifting group
that includes many more people than that. In the two years beginning
in 2002, a stunning 82 million people -- one out of three nonelderly
Americans -- went without health insurance at some point. Most were
uninsured for at least half a year; more than half were uninsured for
at least nine months. And yet these ordinary Americans at
extraordinary risk have for years remained largely unnoticed, an
inconvenient blot on the heralded success story of the American
economy.
(p. 142):
To start with the most fundamental issue, health care is not like
other goods. Most of us think it's fine that some people can't buy
fancy clothing or fast cars, or have to eat at home instead of going
out to splendid restaurants. But most of us draw the line at basic
health care. Someone who is gravely ill or injured needs treatment --
period. This "rule of rescue" builds on a broader conviction: that
everyone in an affluent society needs to have at least some protection
against conditions and events that cripple their ability to
participate as citizens and workers.
And since health care isn't an optional luxury, it's also an
expense that almost everyone wants to have insurance against. Health
insurance was once called "sickness insurance" -- for a simple reason:
the main cost of health care used to be the time spent out of the
workforce due to sickness. Today, however, the costs of medical
treatment vastly dwarf the forgone earnings due to sickness, mostly
because medicine can do so much more than it once did. In 2003,
according to my own analysis of data from the Medical Expenditure
Panel Survey, nearly 40 percent of Americans had medical expenses
(covered by insurance or not) that exceeded 10 percent of family
income, a third had expenses that were larger than 20 percent, and
more than a tenth had expenses that exceeded their entire
income. There is simply no way that families can finance expenses
like this on their own. Insurance, like basic health care, is not
optional.
(p. 143):
All this would be less of a problem if the insurance market in
health care worked smoothly, but it does not. When insurance is for
discrete, discernable risks that are easily assessed and not easily
faked, private insurance markets perform splendidly. Unfortunately,
the health insurance market isn't at all like this. Perhaps the
biggest difference is that the likelihood of needing insurance and the
magnitude of future health costs are very difficult for insurers to
estimate. As a result, insurers frequently know less -- much less --
about applicants' need for insurance than applicants themselves, and
this gives rise to the great bugbear of private insurance markets:
"adverse selection."
Adverse selection is a fancy phrase for a simple fact -- people who
most need insurance are most likely to buy it. The problems begin when
insurers try to protect themselves against adverse selection. Once
obvious response is to try to weed out or charge exorbitant rates to
the highest-risk groups. Yet the ability of insurers to do this is
limited by knowledge, by technology, and sometimes by law. And, of
course, these practices undercut the ability of those who truly need
insurance to obtain it. The other response is to raise premiums, but
this simply reduces the number of people who have coverage. It cannot
eliminate adverse selection, because at any premium, those most likely
to need coverage are most likely to see it as in their interest to pay
the premium.
(p. 178):
The starting point for a new vision is a simple but forgotten
truth: economic security is a cornerstone of economic
opportunity. Like businesses, people invest in the future when they
have basic protection against the greatest downside risks of their
choices. The worker who fears being laid off at any moment may be more
productive in the short run. But in the long run, insecure workers
tend to underinvest in specialized training; they are more reluctant
to change jobs; they try to minimize their sense of job commitment to
protect themselves against psychological loss. Similarly, the family
barely scraping by may work more hours; but in the long run insecure
families are not going to be able to make the investments in education
and other keys to their future that they should. And, of course, none
of these costs include the huge emotional, psychological, and economic
losses absorbed by workers and their families when they lose their
incomes, their homes, and their dreams.
(pp. 179-180):
These strains reported by middle-class Americans are
staggering. Among adults with family incomes between $36,000 and
$58,000, one in eight say they were involuntarily unemployed in the
previous year, one in five didn't go [to] the doctor because of the
cost, more than one in five said they went without health insurance at
least once, nearly two in five said they didn't have access to an
employment-based retirement plan, more than half said they didn't have
enough savings to handle a personal economic crisis, and roughly two
in three said they weren't saving enough for retirement. Among
Americans as a whole, the biggest worries -- reported as "very
stressful" by more than 40 percent of adults -- are "having enough for
retirement," "having enough savings," and the "cost of health care,"
the number-one worry.
(p. 189):
Few Americans, I am certain, are ready to accept this dismal
conclusion -- not at least in the world's richest nation. And rightly
so: Almost every other advanced industrial country provides insurance
not just to the aged but to all citizens, while spending much less on
a per-person basis than the United States' incomplete system
does. Many of these nations, furthermore, have much older populations
than we do, have citizenries that go to the doctor more often, and
have better basic health outcomes. Yet their overall health spending
remains far below ours and, in many, has also been growing more
slowly.
Jacob S Hacker/Paul Pierson, Off Center: The Republican
Revolution & the Erosion of American Democracy (2005,
Yale University Press)
I actually read this book after I read Hacker's more recent book,
The Great Risk Shift: The New Economic Insecurity and the Decline
of the American Dream, which focuses more on the effects of the
Republican ascendency than on the political techniques surveyed here.
(pp. 2-3):
Today's governing Republican majority can justly claim that it has
defied these normal laws of political gravity. It has ruled with the
slimmest of majorities and yet overseen a major transformation of
America's governing priorities. It has been locked in tight
competition with its political rivals and yet shown little inclination
to tack to the political center. It has strayed dramatically from the
moderate middle of public opinion and yet faced little public
backlash. Again and again, it has sided with the extremes. And much
more often than not, it has come out on top.
This book explains why. It shows that those who run our nation are
committed to ideas and laws that are at odds with the moderate center
of American opinion. It explains why our nation's political leaders
have veered so far right and why the normal mechanisms of democratic
accountability have not been able to bring them back. And it explores
how the interwoven forces that have created this troubling state of
affairs can be overcome. America's great democratic experiment is
under assault. Restoring its health requires understanding how those
that hold the reins of political power in the United States have
succeeded in pushing American government so far off center.
(p. 13):
Students of politics, even professional ones, frequently take for
granted the agenda of political debate -- as if everyone agrees what
issues should be debated and what alternatives should be considered to
address them. This is a profound error. The great political scientist
E. E. Schattschneider once observed: "There are billions of potential
conflicts in any modern society, but only a few become
significant. . . . [T]he definition of the alternatives
is the supreme instrument of power. He who determines what politics is
about runs the country." One does not have to believe in a cohesive
power elite pushing all conflict to the side to recognize that the
power to set the terms of debate is a hugely important mechanism of
influence. As we shall see, it is a mechanism that the increasingly
coordinated GOP establishment has skillfully used to shift American
governance to the right.
(p. 45):
Republicans like tax cuts. The party that emphasized fiscal
discipline int he face of the Great Depression now touts tax cuts no
matter the budgetary consequence. Tax cuts are Republicans'
all-purpose policy tonic, a solution perpetually in search of a
problem. If the economy is doing poorly, taxes must be cut to promote
growth. If the economy is roaring like a late-night party, the
government needs to "open the doors and windows and invite everybody
in." As the United States prepared to invade Iraq, Tom DeLay felt
moved to declare that it was Congress's patriotic "duty" to cut
taxes. "Nothing is more important in the face of a war," DeLay
insisted, "than cutting taxes."
(pp. 48-49):
And yet, this conventional portrait of American politics completely
fails to explain the tax-cut party. The tax cuts did not pass because
ordinary voters wanted them. They passed because Republican political
elites were eager to please their base -- the partisans, activists,
and moneyed interests that are their first line of support. And they
passed because GOP leaders were able to manipulate the public face of
the tax cuts through their language, their control over the governing
agenda, and their crafting of the tax cuts themselves. What the tax
cuts reveal is that Republicans now have the motive and the means to
get into law major policies that few Americans support -- and to
shield themselves from the risk that the millions on the losing end of
the bargain will realize they've been had.
(pp. 52-53):
Thanks to disillusioned former Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill and
journalist Ron Suskind, a number of important internal memos from the
early Bush administration are now in the public domain. One that is
particularly revealing dates from the unveiling of the Bush
administration's first round of tax cuts in 2004 (fig. 3). It was
written by Michele Davis, a top Treasury official and participant in
daily meetings on the administration's communications strategy. Her
prescriptions regarding "message" undoubtedly reflect strategies
developed at the highest level. The memo begins innocently enough,
asking O'Neill to plug tax cuts at a press event unveiling the
president's budget. then, however, Davis warns: "The public prefers
spending on things like health care and education over cutting taxes."
This is a stunning admission. If the Bush administration had cared
about responding to public opinion, it presumably would have counseled
a much more modest plan. But to Davis, the views of the public on this
profound question of governance offer only a motivation to
spin. O'Neill is reminded to avoid talking about any possible
tradeoffs that tax cuts might entail. "It's crucial that you make
clear that there is no tradeoff here," Davis writes. "Roll-out events
like this are the clearest examples of when staying on message is
absolutely crucial. Any deviation . . . will change the way
coverage plays out from tomorrow forward."
(pp. 71-72):
Republicans have developed what we will call, with apologies to
left-wing organizer Saul Alinsky, the "new rules for radicals."
Alinsky's original rules for radicals were designed to mobilize public
opposition to corporate and elite power. The Republicans' new rules
are designed to minimize popular concern about policies and actions
that frequently cater to these same corporations and elites. If we are
to understand how Republicans have successfully pursued policies
inconsistent with the popular wishes, we need to understand each of
the six strategies they live by.
- Rule 1: Control the Agenda. Political elites know well that
they are advantage don certain issues, and they try to stay on the
terrain that serves them best. Even when elites don't control which
exact issues come up, they may be able to dictate which proposals
receive attention -- a formidable political weapon.
- Rule 2: Don't Focus on the Label; Worry about What You Can Put
in the Box. Political analysts too often judge victories by
looking only at the label slapped onto whatever has passed. But
politicians know well that an enormous range of government activities
can fall under the heading of any broad label. To see off-center
policymaking in all its dark glory requires looking past labels and
examining what legislation actually does.
- Rule 3: Run from Daylight. Passing laws is generally a
high-profile venture and therefore potentially risky. But there are
powerful ways to change policy without changing laws. And these
alternative routes typically throw up fewer roadblocks and attract
less attention, which makes them especially attractive for moving
public policy off center.
- Rule 4: Don't Just Do Something; Stand There. In American
politics, power often means the ability to block things you don't
like. And sometimes, to block new policies is to change existing
policies. When policies have to be updated to achieve their goals or
deal with pressing social problems, successful obstruction means
government does less.
- Rule 5: Starve the Beast -- Later. Most of what our
government does requires money. As a result, conservatives have long
argued that the way to downsize government is to "starve the beast" by
slashing taxes. But much of what government does is also very
popular. So conservatives have learned to delay the starvation diet
for later. Chip away at the financial foundations of government today,
so that, down the road, it finds itself -- like Wile E. Coyote in the
old Road Runner cartoons -- running in thin air, with nowhere to go
but down.
- Rule 6: Tilt the Playing Field. The powers of a
coordinated, aggressive political majority can be used to change
policy. They can also be used to change the rules of the game, so that
the room to pursue off-center initiatives will be greater in the
future.
(pp. 79-80):
In 2005, for instance, the Coalition for the Modernization and
Protection of America's Social Security (known as "Compass") launched
a $20-million campaign on behalf of the president's still-undefined
privatization proposal. Although Compass is a collection of major
business and trade associations, the effort had all the trappings of a
grassroots campaign. Similar efforts were launched by the anti-tax
Club for Growth and by Progress for America, an ultraconservative
activist network -- both of which targeted the Republican base in key
GOP districts. All told, at least $100 million was on tap for the
lobbying blitz, most of it coordinated by the White House. "With the
president's leadership and the White House leadership, they have
really put together a campaign-style effort to enact Social Security
reform," said a leader in the Compass coalition. "They've got all
their assets involved in this thing."
Even with outside support, however, Bush's overhaul of Social
Security will require fiscal chicanery and manipulative policy design
at least rivaling that of the tax cuts. There is simply no way to
divert so much of younger workers' payroll taxes out of the
traditional Social Security system otherwise. In light of strategies
chosen in the tax-cut debate, we can expect highly creative attempts
to borrow the trillions needed to fund private accounts and even more
creative measures to obscure the benefit cuts that privatization will
require. The new accounts will be offered up front as manna from
heaven that, once granted, can never be taken away. The benefit cuts
will be delayed, hidden in the obscure language of cost-of-living
increases, or ultimately left to future Congresses to deal with. But
the basic strategy will be clear. Get private accounts into law in any
way possible. Assure their recipients that these accounts are theirs,
never to be altered or touched. Hide the huge costs and risks. And
hope that, when the day of reckoning comes, voters won't recognize how
and when America's most popular program was hijacked.
(pp. 114-115):
Political inequality of this sort is a cause for concern whichever
party it favors. But make no mistake: A system biased in favor of
well-off voters is also a system biased in favor of the Republican
Party. New York Times columnist David Brooks and others have
had much fun casting the battle between Republicans and Democrats as a
clash of civilizations between decadent, highbrow coastal regions and
the patriotic, lowbrow heartland. Yet traditional economic divisions
have not been supplanted by a culture war between tolerant,
latte-sipping progressives and patriotic, NASCAR-loving
traditionalists. To the contrary: Class is actually an increasingly
important dividing line between the parties. Sine the 1950s, the
relation between income and party allegiance -- with poor and
working-class voters favoring the Democrats -- has become
stronger, not weaker.
(p. 115):
Consider trade unions, which once represented more than one in
three workers in the United States (and, indirectly, those workers'
families). Since the 1970s, the proportion of workers that is
unionized has plummeted, and today less than a tenth of private-sector
workers belong to a union. Amid the ongoing debate over whether unions
are good for the economy, we often forget that they have always been
crucial political actors, helping workers identify common
issues, informing them about political and policy considerations, and
shaping political debates. No organization representing working
families today has anything remotely like the same reach, influence,
or cohesion as American unions did during their halcyon years.
(p. 116):
Rising economic inequality, in short, has abetted political
inequality, hardened the class divisions between the parties, and
bolstered the GOP in particular. For well-off Americans, the political
world is increasingly their oyster: They vote in high numbers,
contribute with abandon, and happily watch as politicians compete for
their favor. For less well-off Americans, the political world looks
ever more forbidding. Largely neglected by the parties, reliant on the
media and candidates for basic information, they have to work ever
harder just to have their voices heard. And as the political influence
of business and the well off has grown, the political influence of the
Republican Party has grown, too.
(p. 141):
Indeed, while expensive lobbying has long been prevalent in
Washington, it has recently exploded. The cost of direct lobbying --
personal contact with lawmakers -- has nearly doubled since 1997, to
almost $2 billion per year. Indirect lobbying (such as telemarketing
and issue advertising) raises the total to roughly triple that
amount. Lobbying is a big and rapidly growing business. And it grows,
presumably, because people with money think it's worth investing
in. They wouldn't be writing bigger and bigger checks unless they
expected that the added investment would more than pay for itself.
(p. 142):
As House Republicans worked on these deregulatory initiatives,
reporters commented on the remarkable prominence of business
lobbyists. Interest group representatives took up positions in
committee staff offices, where they drafted legislative text on office
computers, conducted briefings for congressional staff, and generally
acted as expert consultants on the details of legislation. The picture
was one of powerful interests, with huge financial stakes in proposed
policies, dictating to elected officials. Yet DeLay's own comments at
the time offer a revealing glimpse at a more complicated
relationship. "You've got to understand, we are ideologues," DeLay
told the reporter Elizabeth Drew. "We have an agenda. We have a
philosophy. I want to repeal the Clean Air Act. No one came to me and
said, 'Please repeal the Clean Air Act.' We say to the lobbyists,
'Help us.' We know what we want to do and we find the people to
help us do that."
Indeed, there is much to suggest that the New Power Brokers have
worked diligently to turn the stereotyped relationship between the
lobbyists and the lobbied on its head. The most publicized example has
been the "K Street Project," begun shortly after the sweeping victory
of congressional Republicans in 1994. Unsurprisingly, DeLay and
Norquist were at the center of this initiative, too. The K Street
Project was designed to pressure lobbyists to adopt a more pronounced
Republican slant in both their campaign contributions and their hiring
practices. Using figures compiled by Norquist, DeLay called lobbyists
into his office to discuss whether their contribution and hiring
practices qualified them as "friendly" to the GOP. "If you want to
play in our revolution," he announced, "you have to live by our
rules."
(p. 159):
As [John] DiIulio noted in his confessional memo, "In eight months,
I heard many, many staff discussions, but not three meaningful,
substantive policy discussions. There were no actual policy white
papers on domestic issues. There were, truth be told, only a couple of
people in the West Wing who worried at all about policy substance and
analysis. . . . Every modern presidency moves on the
fly, but, on social policy and related issues, the lack of even basic
policy knowledge, and the only casual interest in knowing more, was
somewhat breathtaking." But perhaps DiIulio's most revealing
revelation was who was in charge of policy design in the Bush White
House -- not the Office of Management and Budget, not the White House
policy staff, and certainly not the executive departments. Rather, all
policy ran through one man, Karl Rove. "Little happens on any issue
without Karl's okay, and, often, he supplies such policy substance as
the administration puts out," wrote DiIluio. The reason? "The
Republican base constituencies, including beltway libertarian policy
elites and religious right leaders, trust him to keep Bush '43' from
behavior like Bush '41' and moving too far to the center or inching at
all center-left."
(pp. 176-177):
This economic and technological upheaval has dictated a sharp turn
from "hard news" toward entertainment. Every story has to grab the
viewer immediately, because a single dull moment risks the dreaded
click of a remote control. As a result, stories have become shorter,
and the emphasis has shifted to those that can best exploit the visual
power of television: scandal, crime, celebrities, natural disasters,
and "soft" news items like personal health and personal finance. What
has been squeezed out is hard news, especially concerning relatively
complex issues of policy or politics that require many words to
explain and typically yield poor visuals. During the presidential
campaign of 1968, candidates could expect to speak on camera for an
average of forty seconds without interruption; two decades later, the
average is just nine seconds. Not surprisingly, detailed
discussions of policy that would allow voters to get a better sense of
the stakes in ongoing political conflict fare especially poorly in
this environment.
(pp. 177-178):
Certainly most newspapers provide very limited information related
to the content of policy -- information that we have demonstrated is
crucial for accountability. Consider how USA Today, the
nation's largest circulation daily, covered the Bush tax cuts in
2001. We and a team of researchers examined every story written in the
newspaper on the 2001 tax cuts. Recall again that this was the
president's top domestic priority and the most important piece of
domestic legislation in two decades. The stakes for Americans were
huge. Appropriately, USA Today ran 78 stories about the tax
cuts, many of them on the front page. But of those 78 stories, only 6
were primarily about the content of the legislation. Only one
was about the remarkable distributional effects of the proposed
changes in policy. Instead, the focus of reporting was the political
saga: the president's efforts to rally support, the tactics of
opponents, and the slow but steady march of the Republicans' agenda
through Congress. The bastion of detailed reportage, the New York
Times, performed noticeably better, but the same bias was
evident. The Times ran 126 stories, almost a third on the front
page. But almost 60 percent were principally on the politics of the
plan, whereas only 7 stories focused on distributional issues. And, of
course, most Americans are not getting their news from the New York
Times.
(p. 197):
Whether sympathetic or hostile to organized labor's decline,
Americans are conditioned to think of it as natural, even
inevitable. As globalization spreads and the American workforce shifts
from blue-collar manufacturing into new service industries, according
to this common view, unions are gradually rendered obsolete. This
conventional wisdom is simply false. All affluent democracies are
undergoing these large social transitions. Most are actually more
exposed to the forces of globalization than is the United States. But
in many of these countries, rates of unionization have declined little
if at all. And none has experienced the precipitous decline in unions
experienced in the United States.
The scale of union decline in the United States cannot be explained
by anything distinctive about the composition of the American
workforce or patterns of American economic activity -- the United
States is not, for instance, more "postindustrial" or "globalized"
than other countries. Instead, the dramatic fall of unions most
clearly reflects two distinctively American realities. The first is the
acute difficulties that American unions have confronted in adapting to
a new economic environment given their high levels of fragmentation
and their very uneven geographic reach. These features have made it
easier for employers to pit one group of workers against another and
to move their activities -- or threaten to move their activities -- to
areas where unions are weak or absent, whether inside or outside the
United States.
The second reality is more overtly political,a nd it gets to the
heart of the problem. The capacity of unions to organize depends on
the rules governing collective bargaining, and these rules have grown
steadily less favorable to their cause. Unions organize far more
workers in other countries not just because workers there are more
sympathetic to unions but also because the law makes it much easier
for unions to organize. Over the past twenty or so years, in a wide
range of settings, American employers have worked steadily and
effectively to tilt the rules of collective bargaining in their favor,
and they have received a very sympathetic ear from the Right.
Geoffrey Nunberg: Talking Right: How Conservatives Turned
Liberalism Into a Tax-Raising, Latte-Drinking, Sushi-Eating,
Volvo-Driving, New York Times-Reading, Body-Piercing, Holywood-Loving,
Left-Wing Freak Show (2006; paperback, 2007, Public Affairs)
One of several books to pick apart the right's remarkable success
at framing public discourse on political issues. (George Lakoff has
pushed this argument further, but he has his own idiosyncratic way
of framing things, which makes him less useful as a critic.)
(pp. 7-8):
You can see why Democrats would look to language to explain their
electoral failures. Ever sine the Republicans first began to woo
Southern and working-class voters during the Nixon years, the decisive
factor in American politics has been voters' apparent willingness to
subordinate substantive interests to symbolic ones. In poll after
poll, a majority of middle-class voters acknowledge that the Democrats
would d oa better job on most of the issues that affect their daily
lives, from Social Security and taxes to the environment and
education. But when it comes to the crunch, a significant number of
voters seem to ignore their own best interests and make their choices
on the basis of patriotic appeals and cultural issues, only to be
rewarded with policies that favor the rich and powerful at their
expense. How could the right get away with that, Democrats ask, unless
the Republicans have been turning voters' heads with a snappy line of
patter? If voters can't see where their interests lie, it must be
because the Democrats aren't telling their story well enough.
(pp. 14-16):
But people have different ideas about what it means for the
Democrats to have a "narrative." For Robert Reich, it implies the need
to evoke basic American myths and archetypes, according to a kind of
political Golden Bough. Reich argues that the Democrats have to
anchor their appeal in what he identifies as four "essential American
stories": The Triumphant Individual, The Benevolent Community
(neighbors rolling up their sleeves for the common good), The Mob at
the Gates (the United States as "a beacon light of virtue" in a world
threatened by barbarian forces), and The Rot at the Top ("the
malevolence of powerful elites"). For the American Prospect's
Robert Kuttner, it's a question of rediscovering the Democrats'
populist roots: as Robert Kuttner says, "It's still a tale of two
Americas, and Democrats need to tell it more convincingly."
For centrists, on the other hand, "having a narrative" tends to be
a matter of making an accommodation, real or rhetorical, to some of
the concerns of middle-American voters. According to Brad Carson, the
Democratic representative who ran a surprisingly strong Senate race in
Oklahoma in 2004, Democrats can win votes in red states only if they
position themselves as a party of reform and "move away from any hope
of bringing peace to irreconcilable moral disputes. Instead, Democrats
should create a meta-message, one based on hope, values, and strength,
that can be offered to voters everywhere." And Will Marshall, of the
centrist Progressive Policy Institute, insists that Democrats must be
"comfortable using the language of faith" with heartland voters, so as
to dispel the idea that "bicoastal elites look down on them as
Bible-thumping primitives."
As varied as they are, those proposals all have the virtue of
acknowledging that the Democrats' communication problems go deeper
than anything that can be implemented simply by doing a global
search-and-replace to substitute new phraseology for old. But while a
lot of people recognize that the party needs more than a mere shift in
vocabulary, few have understood how deep and pervasive the problem
is. The fact is that "having a narrative" involves something more than
fashioning new campaign themes, even broadly coordinated ones -- it
means making that story part of the fabric of American political
discourse. And while this isn't chiefly a matter of words, words
matter to it. A large part of the Republicans' successes over the past
thirty years or so is attributable to their ability to change the
political subject -- diverting resentments that have their roots in
economic inequalities to debates over "values," making programs that
chiefly benefit the wealthy sound like they're aimed at benefitting
the middle class, turning government into a term of abuse, and
making reservations about the direction of American foreign policy
sound like signs of weakness of purpose or questionable loyalty. The
right couldn't have achieved all of that except by bending the
meanings of words to their purposes and by getting Americans to accept
those new meanings.
(pp. 28-29):
The words of our final vocabularies don't mean; they evoke. Like
proverbs, they draw their power from their ability to call up
scenarios, images, or moral tales. How do you teach someone the
meaning of appeasement? You could read her the dictionary
definition: "The policy of granting concessions to potential enemies
to maintain peace," as the American Heritage puts it. That
would be a reasonable thing to do if the word in question were
palliate or placate, say. But if that definition were
all there is to the meaning of appeasement, you could use it as
a fair description of the Bush administration's policies toward North
Korea or Iran -- literally speaking, after all, appeasement is just a
matter of trying to cut a deal to avoid a destructive
confrontation. That's how people used to use the word, often in an
approving way -- Churchill himself advocated a policy of "prudence and
appeasement" toward the Turks when they went to war with the Greeks in
1919.
But after Munich in 1938, appeasement could only stand in
for pusillanimous capitulation to the insatiable demands of a
tyrant. The word comes with a series of stills attached to it: Neville
Chamberlain with his silly high collar, striped pants, and drooping
mustache; Hitler's face superimposed over goose-stepping German
troops; Churchill glaring defiantly over his cigar. When Condoleezza
Rice used the word on Meet the Press to describe the French and
German reluctance to go to war over Saddam Hussein's alleged weapons
of mass destruction, it wasn't a charge anyone could answer by arguing
that the historical analogy wasn't really very apt (Churchill didn't
actually advocate going to war with Hitler in 1938, for one thing). It
was simply part of a semantic blitzkrieg aimed at seizing the moral
high ground for the administration, and there was no way to counter it
except with an equally potent symbol that connoted rash
bellicosity.
(p. 31):
But precisely because they're so vague and general, those basic
symbol-words are particularly subject to manipulation. As Lippman
noted in his satirical remark on the politics of subway fares, it's in
the nature of political discourse to draw those words as expansively
as possible, so as to reduce the details of an issue to the purely
emotional response that items like freedom or values can
evoke. As the writers of a recent book on political language put it:
"Words like patriotism and terrorism do not let us
breathe. They exhaust the air around us. We reason less well in their
presence. . . ." And when words become purely
connotative or evocative, it can be easy to extend their auras by
manipulating their meanings or applying them to things they didn't
originally refer to.
(p. 49):
Like much of the new language of the right, the redefinition of
liberal goes back to the Nixon years, as liberalism was coming
under attack, and Vietnam and the fallout of the civil rights movement
were opening new fissures in American society. Or I should really say
the Agnew years, since it was Nixon's vice president Spiro Agnew who
pioneered the new populist tone of Republican rhetoric. Agnew's
phraseology was impishly sui generis -- it's hard to imagine Ronald
Reagan or either of the Bushes describing his press critics as the
"nattering nabobs of negativism" or "pusillanimous pussyfooters." But
with his coded appeals to "law and order" and his attacks on the
"liberal intellectuals" who were destroying the country's strength,
the student radicals and hippies, and the "effete corps of impudent
snobs" of the media, he became the Mrs. O'Leary's cow of the culture
wars.
(p. 50):
The Republicans realized, though, that they could harness the same
resentments that Wallace had spoken for, turning themselves into what
the historian Michael Kazin has described as "a counter-elite, a
welcome home for white refugees from the liberal crackup." To
accomplish this, however, they had to blur and broaden Wallace's
target audience, transforming it into the "silent majority" of whites
who were frustrated by what they took to be liberal indifference to
their anger about crime, race, and the counterculture. In Kazin's
words: "As liberalism crumbled, astute minds in the party recognized
that the defense of middle-class values -- diligent toil, moral piety,
self-governing communities -- could now bridge gaps of income and
occupation that the GOP had been unable to cross sine the Great
Depression."
(p. 53):
David Brooks argues that "income resentment is not a strong emotion
in much of America," since Americans "have always had a sense that
great opportunities lie just over the horizon, in the next valley,
with the next job or the next big thing. None of us is really poor;
we're just pre-rich. . . ." Brooks went on: "Americans
read magazines for people more affluent than they are (W,
Cigar Aficionado, The New Yorker, Robb Report,
Town and Country) because they think that someday they could be
that guy with the tastefully appointed horse farm. Democratic
politicians proposing to take from the rich are just bashing the
dreams of our imminent selves."
That's a popular argument in the corridors of Washington's
right-wing think tanks, but you have to be pretty remote from Main
Street to take it seriously. True, there are some working Americans
who intend to wind up rich some day and who have already packed the
appropriate political attitudes into their hope chests. But for the
majority, wealth is a fantasy, not a hope.
(pp. 73-74):
The very superficiality of conservatives' incessant references to
brands and lifestyle is crucial to the way they've delineated the
adversaries in the "culture war." As it happens, that phrase appeared
around the same time that "Volvo liberal" did, exploiting some of the
ambiguities that had crept into the word culture over the
preceding decades. When people first started to talk about "culture
wars" around 1980, they were referring to the controversies over PBS,
the National Endowment for the Arts, the "Great Books" requirements at
universities, and the multicultural curriculum -- that is, battles
over "culture" in the sense that the Oxford English Dictionary
defines as "the intellectual size of civilization." But before long
the phrase was being used to refer to a war between cultures in
the anthropologists' sense, which was being fought over issues like
abortion, gun control, and the teaching of "creation science" in the
schools. That was what Pat Buchanan was getting at when he spoke of a
"cultural war" in a famously provocative speech at the 1988 Republican
National Convention:
My friends, this election is about much more than who gets what. It
is about who we are. It is about what we believe. It is about what we
stand for as Americans. There is a religious war going on in our
country for the soul of America. It is a cultural war, as critical to
the kind of nation we will one day be as was the Cold War itself.
There's no question that the kind of "cultural war" that Buchanan
was referring to was and remains a very real feature of American
public life. But Republicans realized that the armed conflict that
Buchanan was talking about wasn't a struggle they could build broad
middle-class coalitions around.
(p. 80):
Whether you examine political attitudes, social values, or
lifestyle, in short, it's simply hallucinatory to believe that there's
a "cultural divide" in America that bears comparison with the economic
division between rich and poor in Victorian England or the political
divisions of the Civil War -- or for that matter with the cultural
division between the North and South of fifty years ago. But it's
precisely the vagueness and superficiality of the right's cultural
stereotypes that make them so useful: they create an illusion of
shared experience among people whose actual commonalities don't extend
to much more than the products on their shelves and a general sense of
grievance. You get a sense of just how blurry and expansive the
boundaries of "red-state culture" are when you hear right-wing writers
proclaiming their identification with middle-American voters, even if
they actually have no more in common with the longneck-drinking,
pickup-driving classes than Paris Hilton does. Take the way radio
talk-show host Laura Ingraham begins her book Shut Up and Sing
by castigating "elite Americans":
They think we're stupid. They think our patriotism is stupid. They
think our chruchgoing is stupid. They think having more than two
children is stupid. They think where we live -- anywhere but near or
in a few major cities -- is stupid. They think our SUVs are
stupid. They think owning a gun is stupid. They think our abiding
belief in the goodness of America and its founding principles is
stupid.
The most significant word in those passages is we. How
abstract must the notion of "red-state culture" be if it entitles
Ingraham -- who is the daughter of a Connecticut lawyer, and who went
to Dartmouth and the University of Virginia Law School and now lives
in Washington, D.C. -- to claim the right to share a first-person
plural pronoun with a Pentecostal deer hunter from Oklahoma? And Ann
Coulter, another Ivy-educated second-generation lawyer from
Connecticut (and with the vowels to prove it), goes on about red-state
denizens with the effusiveness of a fifth-grader reporting on a zoo
visit. "I loved Kansas City! It's my favorite place in the world
. . . It's the opposite of this town. They're Americans,
they're so great, they're rooting for America!" "I love Texas
Republicans! . . . Americans are so cool!" "Queens, baseball
games -- those are my people. American people." It's as if all
differences of class and background have been swept aside, leaving
Coulter, Ted Nugent, and Johnny Ramone to swill in a communion of
Clinton-hating ectomorphy.
(pp. 108-109):
The problem isn't just that the Democrat's value-talk smacks of
defensive me-tooism, but that it betrays a certain semantic
cluelessness. Values "works" for the right because it evokes
the narratives that underlie its populist strategy. When conservatives
present themselves as the defenders of values, they don't mean simply
that their views are principled, but that they will uphold the views
of "ordinary Americans" whose religious views and standards of
personal morality have been mocked and traduced by out-of-touch elite
liberals. Values is charged with the indignation and displaced
class resentments that the right has been battening on for the last
forty years.
(pp. 122-123):
Americans have always been ambivalent about government. It may be,
as political scientist Samuel Huntington has said, that distrust of
government is "as American as apple pie," but people have also looked
to government to play a constructive role in their lives. The
traditional debate over government took a new form in the early
twentieth century, as first the Progressives and then the Democrats
introduced new measures to regulate employment and commerce, and
conservatives countered with attacks on centralization and growing
government power. Addressing proposals to have Washington regulate the
railroads in 1906, the Republican Speak of the House "Uncle Joe"
Cannon warned, "If the Federal Government continues to centralize, we
will soon find that we will have a vast bureaucratic Government, which
will prove inefficient if not corrupt." At the time, the word
bureaucracy was still a word that Americans tended to associate
with the undemocratic regimes of countries like Germany, Austria, and
Russia. But over the following decades, it became a staple
disparagement in conservative criticisms of domestic programs. "The
new despotism is bureaucracy," the Wall Street Journal
thundered in 1935, and over the course of the decade the
Journal cited the threat of bureaucratic intrusion as its
reason for opposing child labor laws, Social Security, the minimum
wage, and public works like the Tennessee Valley Authority. In 1940,
the Republican presidential candidate Wendell Willkie contributed "big
government," which was coined as a turn on "big business." Willkie
acknowledged that government intervention had been necessary to
correct "abuses on the part of some American businessmen and
financiers" in the 1920s. Alas, he added, the New Deal had failed to
"replace this corporate tyranny with a truly liberal faith. Today it
is not Big Business that we have to fear. It is big government."
(p. 128):
The "big government" charge, in short, is mostly just prejudice
tricked out as philosophy -- it can't be answered simply by pointing
to the reductions in the deficit you've achieved or the number of jobs
or departments you've eliminated. And because the phrase is suffused
with the ideology of the right, George Bush can freely invoke it to
criticize the Democrats, whatever their actual positions, in the same
way he can talk about "faith" and "values" with confidence that his
audience will understand the phrases in a sympathetic way. "On issue
after issue," Bush said during the 2004 campaign, "from Medicare
without choices to schools with less accountability to higher taxes on
working Americans, my opponent takes the side of more centralized
control and bigger government." And Bush has tried to exploit mistrust
of government to argue for moving payroll taxes into private accounts,
where "the money in the account is yours, and the government can never
take it away."
(p. 131):
But as the historian Eric Foner has written in his History of
American Freedom, freedom is a word that is "deeply
embedded in the record of our history and the language of everyday
life" and is "fundamental to Americans' sense of themselves." Foner
documents the way most of the major political debates in American
history have been waged over dueling definitions of freedom, even as
other nations often framed the very same issues in terms of notions
like equality or community. Just over the last half century,
redefinitions of freedom have been central in the Cold War, the civil
rights struggle, feminism, the New Left, the personal liberation and
self-expression movements of the 1960s and 1970s, the Reagan
revolution, and the war on terror. No group or movement has been able
to establish its moral authority in America without being able to claim
freedom for its own.
(pp. 133-134):
From the late nineteenth century onward, conservatives have
attacked virtually all of the reforms and regulations advocated by
Progressives and later the New Deal Democrats as encroachments on
individual liberty, a theme you can trace in the Wall Street
Journal's editorials over the past eighty years. In the 1920s, the
Journal warned against the threats to freedom that were
implicit in minimum wage laws, the child labor amendment to the
Constitution ("an assault upon the economic independence of the
family"), and laws permitting peaceful union picketing ("attacks on
the Constitutional rights of the employer," the Journal said,
adding that "peaceful picketing is a contradiction in terms"). In the
1930s, it used the same rhetoric to attack Social Security ("a vast
system of socialized thrift") and public works projects like the
Tennessee Valley Authority (which "threaten to engulf us in
totalitarianism"). In 1943, the Journal warned that it would be
a mistake for the government to promise full employment when the war
was over: "Hitler gave full employment. Mussolini gave full
employment. . . . What they took in exchange was men's
freedom."
And so on. When national attention turned to women int he workforce
in the 1960s, the Journal opined that "[t]he vision of millions
o women parking their kids at subsidized [day-care] centers and rushing
off to the day's grind looks less like America than Russia, where the
State has done so much to disrupt family life." It denounced the fair
employment and public accommodations sections of the 1964 Civil Rights
Act as an "aggrandizement of the police power . . . of
doubtful Constitutionality." And in 1970, it argued that pollution was
first and foremost a social problem that would be easily manageable
through voluntary action and education and warned that government
regulation would "force a solution without waiting for the social and
psychological change, sacrificing cherished traditions of personal
freedom for the sake of survival."
(p. 140):
But free-market ideologues tend to embrace the inequities of the
market, as if the body counts that capitalism exacts were proof of its
moral superiority. When the Enron meltdown threw thousands of people
out of work and devastated their pensions, Bush's economic adviser
Lawrence Lindsay called the collapse a "tribute to American
capitalism" and Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill made the point even
more fulsomely: "The genius of capitalism is people get to make good
decisions or bad decisions,and they get to pay the consequence or to
enjoy the fruits of their decisions. That's the way the system
works."
(pp. 143-144):
That sort of talk is what passes for "tough-mindedness" in a lot of
right-wing common rooms. Conservative rhetoric has always been
susceptible to a strain of macho indifference to the misfortunes of
others -- its object, as the conservative writer Peter Viereck wrote
disapprovingly in 1962, is to "make people ashamed of generous social
impulses." But most Americans, including many conservatives, were apt
to find that tone disturbingly unChristian. Once the failed relief
effort had become a public relations disaster, even George Bush knew
better than to imply that the victims were to blame for their
misfortunes. The reason for coining "compassionate conservatism" in
the first place was to try to allay the suspicion that conservatives
are temperamentally hard-hearted. That may be personally unfair to
most conservatives, but it's a natural reaction to their
rhetoric. Epithets like "bleeding-heart" have taken their toll on
liberals, but they also tend to discredit the people who use them. We
may be wary of soft-hearted sentimentality, but we're also apt to be
wary of people who get off on deriding it.
(p. 170):
Like a lot of the right's rhetoric, complaints about the liberal
bias of the media first became prominent in the Nixon era, when Spiro
Agnew led the administration's campaign against the "small unelected
elite" who were tilting the news in a liberal direction. In a speech
in 1969 that became an instant sensation, Agnew charged that the
networks were selective in their news coverage and invariably
emphasized bad news over good and gave excessive attention to black
extremists and anti-war demonstrators. And living in the
"unrepresentative communities" of Washington, D.C., and New York, they
were out of touch with the American people: "perhaps it is time that
the networks were made more responsive to the views of the nation."
Over the following years, the Nixon administration continued its
campaign against the media; in 1972, Pat Buchanan, then a Nixon
speechwriter, threatened that the administration would consider
bringing anti-trust charges against the networks if they continued to
"freeze out opposing points of view and opposing information."
The right's campaign against liberal media bias continued unabated
for the next twenty years, but it wasn't until Bill Clinton's election
in 1992 that it went into high gear, spearheaded by well-funded think
tanks and policy groups like the American Enterprise Institute, the
Media Research Center, and Accuracy in Media. By then, the media
themselves were giving the charges wide coverage. Over the first four
years of the Clinton presidency, major newspapers mentioned media bias
four times as often as they had during the presidency of George
H.W. Bush. Even more striking, 95 percent of those referred to liberal
bias rather than conservative bias.
(pp. 179-180):
As that makes clear, the right's attacks on media bias aren't simply
a criticism of the way the mainstream media cover political stories:
they're also aimed at undercutting the difference betwen reporting and
commentary, and with it the notions of trust, neutrality, and even
truth that have stood as the ideals of responsible journalism over the
past century. The fact is, the right's disquisitions on the
impossibility of true objectivity are a pure distraction here. It may
or may not be possible to arrive at "objectivity" in the austere
philosophical sense of the term -- "the view from nowhere in
particular," as the philosopher Thomas Nagel describes it. But that
concept is only incidentally related to what "objectivity" means in
journalism, where it stands in for a collection of attitudes, ethical
principles, stylistic guidelines, and professional practices that are
always bumping awkwardly into one another as the canons of the
profession evolve. In his history of the development of the concept of
journalistic objectivity, David Mindich identifies its components as
"detachment," "nonpartisanship," "balance," attention to facts, and
the inverted pyramid form of writing, though no doubt others would
carve it up differently. That assortment is varied enough to make it
clear that "journalistic objectivity" doesn't really say a lot more
than "good journalism" does. It certainly doesn't imply the absence of
perspective or what used to be called "coloring." But it does imply a
commitment to getting at the truth of the matter -- and top there
being a truth of the matter to get at. And when journalists come up
short, there are standards you can hold them to.
(pp. 181-182):
The most striking example of that tendency is the way the right has
politicized the kind of scientific findings that used to be outside
the pale of partisan controversy. Writers like Chris Mooney, John
Judis, and Michael Specter have amply documented what Mooney calls
"the Republican war on science," as the administration systematically
ignores, suppresses, or distorts scientific findings that it finds
inconvenient and stacks its scientific agencies and advisory
committees with appointees who are willing to toe the Republican line
on everything from the effects of excessive sugar intake to the causes
of global warming. What's striking is that a lot of conservatives
consider themselves bound by principle to accept the administration's
views on those questions even when they run counter to the
overwhelming scientific consensus. It's one thing to reject the
scientific evidence of revolution out of a personal faith in biblical
inerrancy. It's another to deny the existence of global warming simply
because you're a loyal conservative, or to see bias when the press
fails to "balance" its reporting on the issue. Thirty-five years ago,
not even Spiro Agnew would have thought to look for evidence of liberal
bias on the New York Times's science pages.
Afterword, added to paperback edition after 2006 elections (p. 210):
The meltdown was actually a long time coming. In retrospect, the
history of the Bush administration's policies could be written as a
string of linguistic miscues and slogan recalls. Six months after the
9/11 attacks, Bush's insistence that his administration was focused on
getting Osama bin Laden "dead or alive" had morphed into official
indifference: "I don't know where he is. . . . I truly
am not that concerned about him." And then, after the initial military
success in Iraq, the administration produced its single most
ill-advised bit of rodomontade when Bush appeared in May 2003 beneath
a "Mission Accomplished" banner aboard the aircraft carrier Abraham
Lincoln.
"Cakewalk," "Freedom is untidy," "Bring 'em on," "When they stand
up, we'll stand down": the more pithily memorable the phrases were,
the more they came back to haunt the administration when their
disconnect from reality grew too obvious to ignore. Take them together
with the administration's other failed slogans and catchphrases --
"the ownership society," "Clear Skies," "personal accounts," and the
rest -- and you have an object lesson in the limits of "messaging" and
framing as instruments for shaping public opinion. Words can cloud
reality for a while, but they can't wholly obscure it -- sooner or
later, people cotton to what Auden called "the shadow cast by language
upon truth."
(pp. 213-214):
Then too, the conservative label is more contested and weakened
than at any time in recent years. In the wake of the 2006 election,
everyone on the right was quick to blame the Republicans' setbacks on
their failure to hew to the core principles of true conservatism, but
each constituency offered a different idea of what those core
principles are and how they were betrayed. For some, the Republicans'
downfall was their failure to do more to preserve moral values; for
some it was their refusal to hold the line on spending; for some it
was a focus on money and power rather than a concern about character;
and for some it was a failed Iraq adventure that's signaled what
William F. Buckley described as the absence of an "effective
conservative ideology." It's a reminder that labels cut both ways:
what can be a useful tool for smoothing over differences in good times
can be an embarrassment when it comes to apportioning blame. And
however those disputes fall out, it's clear that in the future, people
who call themselves conservatives will have to do a lot more
explaining and qualifying than they have in recent elections. (John
McCain's decision to label himself a "commonsense conservative" says
more about the weakening of that label than George Bush's use of
"compassionate conservative" eight years ago. As Michael Kinsley has
observed, "common sense is considered, by conservatives, to be a
specifically conservative virtue. Unlike, say, compassion.")
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