Tuesday, June 24. 2008
Jacob S Hacker/Paul Pierson, Off Center: The Republican
Revolution & the Erosion of American Democracy (2005,
Yale University Press)
I actually read this book after I read Hacker's more recent book,
The Great Risk Shift: The New Economic Insecurity and the Decline
of the American Dream, which focuses more on the effects of the
Republican ascendency than on the political techniques surveyed here.
(pp. 2-3):
Today's governing Republican majority can justly claim that it has
defied these normal laws of political gravity. It has ruled with the
slimmest of majorities and yet overseen a major transformation of
America's governing priorities. It has been locked in tight
competition with its political rivals and yet shown little inclination
to tack to the political center. It has strayed dramatically from the
moderate middle of public opinion and yet faced little public
backlash. Again and again, it has sided with the extremes. And much
more often than not, it has come out on top.
This book explains why. It shows that those who run our nation are
committed to ideas and laws that are at odds with the moderate center
of American opinion. It explains why our nation's political leaders
have veered so far right and why the normal mechanisms of democratic
accountability have not been able to bring them back. And it explores
how the interwoven forces that have created this troubling state of
affairs can be overcome. America's great democratic experiment is
under assault. Restoring its health requires understanding how those
that hold the reins of political power in the United States have
succeeded in pushing American government so far off center.
(p. 13):
Students of politics, even professional ones, frequently take for
granted the agenda of political debate -- as if everyone agrees what
issues should be debated and what alternatives should be considered to
address them. This is a profound error. The great political scientist
E. E. Schattschneider once observed: "There are billions of potential
conflicts in any modern society, but only a few become
significant. . . . [T]he definition of the alternatives
is the supreme instrument of power. He who determines what politics is
about runs the country." One does not have to believe in a cohesive
power elite pushing all conflict to the side to recognize that the
power to set the terms of debate is a hugely important mechanism of
influence. As we shall see, it is a mechanism that the increasingly
coordinated GOP establishment has skillfully used to shift American
governance to the right.
(p. 45):
Republicans like tax cuts. The party that emphasized fiscal
discipline int he face of the Great Depression now touts tax cuts no
matter the budgetary consequence. Tax cuts are Republicans'
all-purpose policy tonic, a solution perpetually in search of a
problem. If the economy is doing poorly, taxes must be cut to promote
growth. If the economy is roaring like a late-night party, the
government needs to "open the doors and windows and invite everybody
in." As the United States prepared to invade Iraq, Tom DeLay felt
moved to declare that it was Congress's patriotic "duty" to cut
taxes. "Nothing is more important in the face of a war," DeLay
insisted, "than cutting taxes."
(pp. 48-49):
And yet, this conventional portrait of American politics completely
fails to explain the tax-cut party. The tax cuts did not pass because
ordinary voters wanted them. They passed because Republican political
elites were eager to please their base -- the partisans, activists,
and moneyed interests that are their first line of support. And they
passed because GOP leaders were able to manipulate the public face of
the tax cuts through their language, their control over the governing
agenda, and their crafting of the tax cuts themselves. What the tax
cuts reveal is that Republicans now have the motive and the means to
get into law major policies that few Americans support -- and to
shield themselves from the risk that the millions on the losing end of
the bargain will realize they've been had.
(pp. 52-53):
Thanks to disillusioned former Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill and
journalist Ron Suskind, a number of important internal memos from the
early Bush administration are now in the public domain. One that is
particularly revealing dates from the unveiling of the Bush
administration's first round of tax cuts in 2004 (fig. 3). It was
written by Michele Davis, a top Treasury official and participant in
daily meetings on the administration's communications strategy. Her
prescriptions regarding "message" undoubtedly reflect strategies
developed at the highest level. The memo begins innocently enough,
asking O'Neill to plug tax cuts at a press event unveiling the
president's budget. then, however, Davis warns: "The public prefers
spending on things like health care and education over cutting taxes."
This is a stunning admission. If the Bush administration had cared
about responding to public opinion, it presumably would have counseled
a much more modest plan. But to Davis, the views of the public on this
profound question of governance offer only a motivation to
spin. O'Neill is reminded to avoid talking about any possible
tradeoffs that tax cuts might entail. "It's crucial that you make
clear that there is no tradeoff here," Davis writes. "Roll-out events
like this are the clearest examples of when staying on message is
absolutely crucial. Any deviation . . . will change the way
coverage plays out from tomorrow forward."
(pp. 71-72):
Republicans have developed what we will call, with apologies to
left-wing organizer Saul Alinsky, the "new rules for radicals."
Alinsky's original rules for radicals were designed to mobilize public
opposition to corporate and elite power. The Republicans' new rules
are designed to minimize popular concern about policies and actions
that frequently cater to these same corporations and elites. If we are
to understand how Republicans have successfully pursued policies
inconsistent with the popular wishes, we need to understand each of
the six strategies they live by.
- Rule 1: Control the Agenda. Political elites know well that
they are advantage don certain issues, and they try to stay on the
terrain that serves them best. Even when elites don't control which
exact issues come up, they may be able to dictate which proposals
receive attention -- a formidable political weapon.
- Rule 2: Don't Focus on the Label; Worry about What You Can Put
in the Box. Political analysts too often judge victories by
looking only at the label slapped onto whatever has passed. But
politicians know well that an enormous range of government activities
can fall under the heading of any broad label. To see off-center
policymaking in all its dark glory requires looking past labels and
examining what legislation actually does.
- Rule 3: Run from Daylight. Passing laws is generally a
high-profile venture and therefore potentially risky. But there are
powerful ways to change policy without changing laws. And these
alternative routes typically throw up fewer roadblocks and attract
less attention, which makes them especially attractive for moving
public policy off center.
- Rule 4: Don't Just Do Something; Stand There. In American
politics, power often means the ability to block things you don't
like. And sometimes, to block new policies is to change existing
policies. When policies have to be updated to achieve their goals or
deal with pressing social problems, successful obstruction means
government does less.
- Rule 5: Starve the Beast -- Later. Most of what our
government does requires money. As a result, conservatives have long
argued that the way to downsize government is to "starve the beast" by
slashing taxes. But much of what government does is also very
popular. So conservatives have learned to delay the starvation diet
for later. Chip away at the financial foundations of government today,
so that, down the road, it finds itself -- like Wile E. Coyote in the
old Road Runner cartoons -- running in thin air, with nowhere to go
but down.
- Rule 6: Tilt the Playing Field. The powers of a
coordinated, aggressive political majority can be used to change
policy. They can also be used to change the rules of the game, so that
the room to pursue off-center initiatives will be greater in the
future.
(pp. 79-80):
In 2005, for instance, the Coalition for the Modernization and
Protection of America's Social Security (known as "Compass") launched
a $20-million campaign on behalf of the president's still-undefined
privatization proposal. Although Compass is a collection of major
business and trade associations, the effort had all the trappings of a
grassroots campaign. Similar efforts were launched by the anti-tax
Club for Growth and by Progress for America, an ultraconservative
activist network -- both of which targeted the Republican base in key
GOP districts. All told, at least $100 million was on tap for the
lobbying blitz, most of it coordinated by the White House. "With the
president's leadership and the White House leadership, they have
really put together a campaign-style effort to enact Social Security
reform," said a leader in the Compass coalition. "They've got all
their assets involved in this thing."
Even with outside support, however, Bush's overhaul of Social
Security will require fiscal chicanery and manipulative policy design
at least rivaling that of the tax cuts. There is simply no way to
divert so much of younger workers' payroll taxes out of the
traditional Social Security system otherwise. In light of strategies
chosen in the tax-cut debate, we can expect highly creative attempts
to borrow the trillions needed to fund private accounts and even more
creative measures to obscure the benefit cuts that privatization will
require. The new accounts will be offered up front as manna from
heaven that, once granted, can never be taken away. The benefit cuts
will be delayed, hidden in the obscure language of cost-of-living
increases, or ultimately left to future Congresses to deal with. But
the basic strategy will be clear. Get private accounts into law in any
way possible. Assure their recipients that these accounts are theirs,
never to be altered or touched. Hide the huge costs and risks. And
hope that, when the day of reckoning comes, voters won't recognize how
and when America's most popular program was hijacked.
(pp. 114-115):
Political inequality of this sort is a cause for concern whichever
party it favors. But make no mistake: A system biased in favor of
well-off voters is also a system biased in favor of the Republican
Party. New York Times columnist David Brooks and others have
had much fun casting the battle between Republicans and Democrats as a
clash of civilizations between decadent, highbrow coastal regions and
the patriotic, lowbrow heartland. Yet traditional economic divisions
have not been supplanted by a culture war between tolerant,
latte-sipping progressives and patriotic, NASCAR-loving
traditionalists. To the contrary: Class is actually an increasingly
important dividing line between the parties. Sine the 1950s, the
relation between income and party allegiance -- with poor and
working-class voters favoring the Democrats -- has become
stronger, not weaker.
(p. 115):
Consider trade unions, which once represented more than one in
three workers in the United States (and, indirectly, those workers'
families). Since the 1970s, the proportion of workers that is
unionized has plummeted, and today less than a tenth of private-sector
workers belong to a union. Amid the ongoing debate over whether unions
are good for the economy, we often forget that they have always been
crucial political actors, helping workers identify common
issues, informing them about political and policy considerations, and
shaping political debates. No organization representing working
families today has anything remotely like the same reach, influence,
or cohesion as American unions did during their halcyon years.
(p. 116):
Rising economic inequality, in short, has abetted political
inequality, hardened the class divisions between the parties, and
bolstered the GOP in particular. For well-off Americans, the political
world is increasingly their oyster: They vote in high numbers,
contribute with abandon, and happily watch as politicians compete for
their favor. For less well-off Americans, the political world looks
ever more forbidding. Largely neglected by the parties, reliant on the
media and candidates for basic information, they have to work ever
harder just to have their voices heard. And as the political influence
of business and the well off has grown, the political influence of the
Republican Party has grown, too.
(p. 141):
Indeed, while expensive lobbying has long been prevalent in
Washington, it has recently exploded. The cost of direct lobbying --
personal contact with lawmakers -- has nearly doubled since 1997, to
almost $2 billion per year. Indirect lobbying (such as telemarketing
and issue advertising) raises the total to roughly triple that
amount. Lobbying is a big and rapidly growing business. And it grows,
presumably, because people with money think it's worth investing
in. They wouldn't be writing bigger and bigger checks unless they
expected that the added investment would more than pay for itself.
(p. 142):
As House Republicans worked on these deregulatory initiatives,
reporters commented on the remarkable prominence of business
lobbyists. Interest group representatives took up positions in
committee staff offices, where they drafted legislative text on office
computers, conducted briefings for congressional staff, and generally
acted as expert consultants on the details of legislation. The picture
was one of powerful interests, with huge financial stakes in proposed
policies, dictating to elected officials. Yet DeLay's own comments at
the time offer a revealing glimpse at a more complicated
relationship. "You've got to understand, we are ideologues," DeLay
told the reporter Elizabeth Drew. "We have an agenda. We have a
philosophy. I want to repeal the Clean Air Act. No one came to me and
said, 'Please repeal the Clean Air Act.' We say to the lobbyists,
'Help us.' We know what we want to do and we find the people to
help us do that."
Indeed, there is much to suggest that the New Power Brokers have
worked diligently to turn the stereotyped relationship between the
lobbyists and the lobbied on its head. The most publicized example has
been the "K Street Project," begun shortly after the sweeping victory
of congressional Republicans in 1994. Unsurprisingly, DeLay and
Norquist were at the center of this initiative, too. The K Street
Project was designed to pressure lobbyists to adopt a more pronounced
Republican slant in both their campaign contributions and their hiring
practices. Using figures compiled by Norquist, DeLay called lobbyists
into his office to discuss whether their contribution and hiring
practices qualified them as "friendly" to the GOP. "If you want to
play in our revolution," he announced, "you have to live by our
rules."
(p. 159):
As [John] DiIulio noted in his confessional memo, "In eight months,
I heard many, many staff discussions, but not three meaningful,
substantive policy discussions. There were no actual policy white
papers on domestic issues. There were, truth be told, only a couple of
people in the West Wing who worried at all about policy substance and
analysis. . . . Every modern presidency moves on the
fly, but, on social policy and related issues, the lack of even basic
policy knowledge, and the only casual interest in knowing more, was
somewhat breathtaking." But perhaps DiIulio's most revealing
revelation was who was in charge of policy design in the Bush White
House -- not the Office of Management and Budget, not the White House
policy staff, and certainly not the executive departments. Rather, all
policy ran through one man, Karl Rove. "Little happens on any issue
without Karl's okay, and, often, he supplies such policy substance as
the administration puts out," wrote DiIluio. The reason? "The
Republican base constituencies, including beltway libertarian policy
elites and religious right leaders, trust him to keep Bush '43' from
behavior like Bush '41' and moving too far to the center or inching at
all center-left."
(pp. 176-177):
This economic and technological upheaval has dictated a sharp turn
from "hard news" toward entertainment. Every story has to grab the
viewer immediately, because a single dull moment risks the dreaded
click of a remote control. As a result, stories have become shorter,
and the emphasis has shifted to those that can best exploit the visual
power of television: scandal, crime, celebrities, natural disasters,
and "soft" news items like personal health and personal finance. What
has been squeezed out is hard news, especially concerning relatively
complex issues of policy or politics that require many words to
explain and typically yield poor visuals. During the presidential
campaign of 1968, candidates could expect to speak on camera for an
average of forty seconds without interruption; two decades later, the
average is just nine seconds. Not surprisingly, detailed
discussions of policy that would allow voters to get a better sense of
the stakes in ongoing political conflict fare especially poorly in
this environment.
(pp. 177-178):
Certainly most newspapers provide very limited information related
to the content of policy -- information that we have demonstrated is
crucial for accountability. Consider how USA Today, the
nation's largest circulation daily, covered the Bush tax cuts in
2001. We and a team of researchers examined every story written in the
newspaper on the 2001 tax cuts. Recall again that this was the
president's top domestic priority and the most important piece of
domestic legislation in two decades. The stakes for Americans were
huge. Appropriately, USA Today ran 78 stories about the tax
cuts, many of them on the front page. But of those 78 stories, only 6
were primarily about the content of the legislation. Only one
was about the remarkable distributional effects of the proposed
changes in policy. Instead, the focus of reporting was the political
saga: the president's efforts to rally support, the tactics of
opponents, and the slow but steady march of the Republicans' agenda
through Congress. The bastion of detailed reportage, the New York
Times, performed noticeably better, but the same bias was
evident. The Times ran 126 stories, almost a third on the front
page. But almost 60 percent were principally on the politics of the
plan, whereas only 7 stories focused on distributional issues. And, of
course, most Americans are not getting their news from the New York
Times.
(p. 197):
Whether sympathetic or hostile to organized labor's decline,
Americans are conditioned to think of it as natural, even
inevitable. As globalization spreads and the American workforce shifts
from blue-collar manufacturing into new service industries, according
to this common view, unions are gradually rendered obsolete. This
conventional wisdom is simply false. All affluent democracies are
undergoing these large social transitions. Most are actually more
exposed to the forces of globalization than is the United States. But
in many of these countries, rates of unionization have declined little
if at all. And none has experienced the precipitous decline in unions
experienced in the United States.
The scale of union decline in the United States cannot be explained
by anything distinctive about the composition of the American
workforce or patterns of American economic activity -- the United
States is not, for instance, more "postindustrial" or "globalized"
than other countries. Instead, the dramatic fall of unions most
clearly reflects two distinctively American realities. The first is the
acute difficulties that American unions have confronted in adapting to
a new economic environment given their high levels of fragmentation
and their very uneven geographic reach. These features have made it
easier for employers to pit one group of workers against another and
to move their activities -- or threaten to move their activities -- to
areas where unions are weak or absent, whether inside or outside the
United States.
The second reality is more overtly political,a nd it gets to the
heart of the problem. The capacity of unions to organize depends on
the rules governing collective bargaining, and these rules have grown
steadily less favorable to their cause. Unions organize far more
workers in other countries not just because workers there are more
sympathetic to unions but also because the law makes it much easier
for unions to organize. Over the past twenty or so years, in a wide
range of settings, American employers have worked steadily and
effectively to tilt the rules of collective bargaining in their favor,
and they have received a very sympathetic ear from the Right.
|