Starts with a report from Newsday reporter Laurie Garrett
from the 2003 Davos summit (pp. 3-4):
In January 2003, the invasion of Iraq loomed on the
horizon. Unsurprisingly, it was a main topic of conversation at
Davis. At the forum, U.S. military representatives advocated for war,
arguing, according to Garrett, "We need to attack Iraq not to punish
it for what it might have, but preemptively, as part of a global
war. Iraq is just one piece of a campaign that will last years, taking
out states, cleansing the planet."
Among corporate leaders, the reaction was almost uniformly
negative. These participants were not salivating over possible profits
in Iraq. Rather, they saw bad times for capitalism ahead. Garrett
wrote, "the business community was in no mood to hear about a war in
Iraq. Except for diehard American Republicans, a few Brit Tories and
some Middle East folks the [forum] was in a foul, angry anti-American
mood." CEOs deplored arrogant White House unilateralism and its
potentially harmful consequences for the global economy. In Garrett's
words, "the rich -- whether they are French or Chinese or just about
anybody -- are livid about the Iraq crisis primarily because they
believe it will sink their financial fortunes."
The most dramatic confrontation came after the U.S. secretary of
state made an unreserved push to persuade the conference to support
Washington's invasion. "When Colin Powell gave the speech of his life,
trying to win over the non-American delegates," Garrett reported, "the
sharpest attack on his comments came not from Amnesty International or
some Islamic representative -- it came from the head of the largest
bank in the Netherlands.
The image -- the irate banker sniping at the secretary of state --
stayed in my head long after I first read Garrett's e-mail. It is
striking because it is so unlike the scenes we more commonly picture
of CEOs and powerful politicians clinking martini glasses, drinking to
one another's prosperity. The confrontation that occurred at Davis
illustrated a divide that has been [sic] become increasingly
significant over the past decade, though we rarely consider it. It
embodied a debate, now raging, about how to rule the world.
(pp. 32-33):
Although versions of this notion are still prevalent, it is worth
considering a contrary notion: Maybe George Bush and Dick Cheney
aren't very good capitalists after all.
George W. Bush's history as a failed businessman is well known. As
Princeton economist and New York Times columnist Paul Krugman
pointed out, by 1986 Bush "had run through millions of dollars of
other people's money" in two failed business ventures, "with nothing
to show for it but a company losing money and heavily burdened with
debt. But he was rescued from failure when Harken Energy bought his
company at an astonishingly high price," thanks to Bush family
connections.
Dick Cheney, who was portrayed by conservatives as a brilliant
ex-CEO and by progressives as a Halliburton shill, also has a suspect
past. Although he certainly increased Halliburton's profile in his
nearly five-year tenure as its chief, his foremost accomplishment was
the $7.7 billion acquisition in 1998 of Dresser Industries, a rival
that turned out to be plagued with staggering asbestos-related
liabilities. In the wake of Cheney's reign, multiple Halliburton
divisions sought bankruptcy protection, and the company's stock price
plunged. For several years, the company was a losing investment,
although it would later rebound with Cheney out of the corporate
driver's seat (and in a more helpful position in government).
Many analysts held Cheney accountable for the company's distressing
downturn. Those detractors argued that Dresser's asbestos problems,
which cost Halliburton billions, were predictable. Even the less harsh
critics have questioned Cheney's success as a business leader. For
instance, Jason E. Putman, an energy analyst at Victory Capital
Management, stated that, as a Halliburton executive, "overall, Cheney
did maybe at best an average job." Newsweek's Wall Street
editor, Alan Sloan, was less complimentary, maintaining that Cheney
was a "CEO who messed up big-time."
(p. 46):
Even before the [Iraq] war started, there were those who predicted
that it could become an economically burdensome disaster. In a policy
report titled The Economic Costs of a War in Iraq, progressive
economists Dean Baker and Mark Weisbrot documented worrisome prospects
for business. Beyond the costs of anti-Americanism abroad, they
focused on three additional areas of concern: a war-related oil shock
that could cost the American economy hundreds of thousands of jobs
over a seven-year period; a heightened risk of terrorist attacks in
the United States, which could result in increased security costs,
slowing the growth of the gross domestic product (GDP); and a
likelihood that increased oil prices could drag the developing world
into a deep recession.
(p. 62):
The militarist mind-set of the Bush administration is at the core
of the imperial globalization agenda. On the one hand, this agenda
promises a continuation of the neoliberal policies of the Clinton
era. On the other, it carries the neocon suspicion of "free trade" as
a governing ideology and subordinates economics to a secondary role,
By insisting that American foreign relations be based on a proactive,
interventionist militarism, imperial globalization breaks not only
from the Clintonian philosophy of how to rule the world but also from
earlier Republican traditions of how to conduct business. It regards a
healthy global capitalism not as a key end in itself but as the
by-product of U.S. dominance.
(pp. 67-68):
With such a large list of targets, it did not necessarily matter to
the imperial globalists where the United States began. Asserting
U.S. dominance itself was the key first objective. Jonah Goldberg
calls this idea the Ledeen Doctrine. The principle is named after a
neocon godfather with a particularly unsavory past. Michael Ledeen is
the resident scholar in the Freedom Chair at the American Enterprise
Institute and a past consultant to the Pentagon, State Department, and
White House under Ronald Reagan. Working with National Security
Advisor Robert McFarland in the 1980s, Ledeen became an important
figure in the Iran-Contra scandal, helping to establish links between
Israeli officials and Iranian arms dealer Manucher Ghorbanifar. Ledeen
has consistently been one of the most hawkish voices in the
conservative foreign policy establishment. He is longtime advocate of
regime change in both Iraq and Iran, as well as a prominent admirer of
Machiavelli. In 1999, Ledeen penned a book titled Machiavelli on
Modern Leadership, where he contended that war "provides a real
test of character" and "creates a pool of leaders for the nation."
Peace, on the other hand, "increases our peril, by making discipline
less urgent" and "encouraging some of our worst instincts."
As Jonah Goldberg explained, the Ledeen Doctrine essentially means
that "every ten years or so, the United States needs to pick up some
small crappy little country and throw it against the wall, just to
show the world we mean business." For Goldberg, this behavior makes
perfect sense. "There are plenty of excellent geostrategic, legal, and
political arguments in favor of regime change in Iraq," he wrote in
2002. For example, the British understood that the second-largest oil
producer in the region needed to be, if not a client state, then at
least allied with the West." But, in the end, none of these
justifications were really necessary. The neocons believed that the
Ledeen Doctrine alone was sufficient: "The United States needs to go
to war with Iraq because it needs to go to war with someone in the
region and Iraq makes the most sense."
(pp. 90-91):
Of these financial imbalances, two of the most pressing are trade
deficits and the dramatically overvalued dollar. In 2006, the
U.S. trade deficit rose to $765.3 billion, setting a record for the
fifth consecutive year. Americans are buying far more from the rest of
the world than other countries are buying from the United States. The
imbalance with China was particularly severe, reaching an
unprecedented high of $232.5 billion. For every dollar in goods and
services that Chinese consumers bought from U.S. manufacturers,
Americans bought almost six dollars worth of imports from China. While
economists endlessly debate the ramifications of this imbalance, it's
not hard to see how it can create problems. Chinese exporters are
opening new factories and expanding operations with the money pouring
in from U.S. consumers. Factories in the United States, in contrast,
are closing their gates.
In the broad picture, the United States is living beyond its
means. The government is relying on foreign investors to pay for its
excessive military spending. And on the consumer level, families are
going into credit card debt and are borrowing against the value of
their homes to keep spending.
Normally, a country would not be able to maintain this
situation. The IMF would rail against wanton economic mismanagement
and warn creditors not to invest in that country unless the government
promised sweeping reforms. Even without the institution's influence,
textbook economics holds that upon seeing such signs of economic
weakness, investors would shy away from the country, its currency
would fall, consumers would no longer be able to afford as many
foreign goods, and the economy would undergo a necessary, if painful,
"correction."
What makes the United States different? As the world's political
superpower and largest economy, America's dollars serve as the reserve
currency for the rest of the world. Foreign countries keep their money
in dollars because they believe they are more dependable than any
alternative. As long as other nations are willing to keep pouring
money into the dollar, the currency will remain strong, imports will
remain relatively cheap, and the United States can finance ever-larger
deficits. The dollar has been sinking in the Bush years and fell
sharply in 2007, but most economists believe that it is still
significantly overvalued and could fall further. Foreign governments
are paying much more to invest in dollars than market logic would
warrant; other currencies, such as the euro, would seem to be a safer
bet, based on the relative strength of European economies.
The reason foreign nations are willing to keep buying dollars is
that they have based their own economic strategies on the strength of
the U.S. currency. So far, foreign creditors -- especially the central
banks of China and Japan -- have propped up the dollar because it
helps them to keep their exports strong and to boost their
economies. After all, if the dollar is worth more, Americans can buy
more Chinese and Japanese goods. Consistent with this economic
strategy, these two countries each have reserves of U.S. treasury
bills worth nearly a trillion dollars. Whether a Democratic
administration would have managed this situation any better than the
Bush administration is not clear. But liberals are finding solace in a
certain irony. As Michael Steinberger of the American Prospect
pointed out, "An administration determined never to surrender an inch
of American sovereignty has now, through its fiscal recklessness,
created a situation in which several Asian central banks control the
fate of the dollar and, to a large extent, the U.S. economy."
(pp. 96-97):
Chalmers Johnson, like many analysts, has declared that the hard
costs of militarism will eventually lead the United States to
bankruptcy. But a focus on direct military expenses is too narrow to
reveal the true price of trying to remain an unchallenged
hegemon. According to economist James K. Galbraith, "The real economic
cost of Bush's empire building is twofold: It diverts attention from
pressing economic problems at home and it sets the United States on a
long-term imperial path that is economically ruinous.
SAPRI stands for Structural Adjustment Participatory Review
Initiative, an effort to study the effects of the "structural
adjustments" mandated by the Washington Consensus agents at the World
Bank and IMF (pp. 110-111):
Originally released in draft form in 2002, the initiative's
findings were later collected into an independently published book
called Structural Adjustment -- The SAPRI Report: The Policy Roots
of Economic Crisis, Poverty, and Inequality. The final report
"identified four basic ways in which adjustment policies have
contributed to the further impoverishment and marginalization of local
populations, while increasing economic inequality.
First, trade and financial sector reforms, the research concluded,
destroyed domestic manufacturing, throwing local employees and small
producers out of work. "Instead of helping producers that need capital
to maintain or expand their operations," the report observed,
"financial intermediaries have directed financing toward large
(usually urban) firms and extended the largest share of loans to a
few, powerful economic agents. This has hindered the development of
small and medium-size enterprises, an important source of employment
generation.
Second, the promotion of export-oriented agriculture threatened
food security, particularly in rural areas, and it worsened prospects
for small farmers. In the words of the report, "Where exports have
expanded and earnings increased . . . much of the economic benefits
has accrued only to large-scale producers, as small farmers have
lacked equal opportunity to enter and gain within a liberalized
market."
Third, privatization and labor market reforms suppressed wages and
weakened workers' bargaining power. After changes to the labor code in
Ecuador in the 1990s, for example, "72 percent of large and
medium-sized businesses and 16 percent of small businesses have turned
to employing temporary workers, and 38 percent of them laid off
permanent staff," creating job insecurity and depressing real
wages.
Finally, the cutting of state services reduced poor communities'
access to utilities, health care, and education in the SAPRI
countries. "The establishment of user fees for health-care services"
in such places as Zimbabwe and Ghana "has led an increasing number of
people and families to resort to self-medication and home care instead
of visiting clinics and hospitals. This has especially been the case
for women," the report asserted. As a result, these countries
witnessed "an increase in the number of people who die in their homes
from curable diseases" as well as the unnecessary spread of diseases
that endanger public health.
"What one realizes when reading the report is that all is
interlinked," said Swedish activist Johanna Sandahl upon release of
the SAPRI findings. "Even as very different countries are being
assessed, their experiences are very similar. The same model was being
implemented everywhere and it appears that it didn't work
anywhere.
(p. 123):
Conservatives would prefer that the [World] Bank give up. The
report of the Meltzer Commission contends that the World Bank should
be "transformed" into something that is hardly a bank at all, "from
capital-intensive lenders to sources of technical assistance,
providers of regional and global public goods, and facilitators of an
increased flow of private sector resources to the emerging countries."
In short, the Bank would remain an overseer of neoliberal policy,
while the private sector would handle most of the cash.
(pp. 125-127):
Although the World Bank loans much more money, the IMF has a
greater role in setting policy. In recent decades, if developing
countries did not meet the Fund's highly ideological standards for
good economic governance, they would be disqualified from World Bank
loans. They would also lose funding from regionally based multilateral
development lenders, such as the Asian Development Bank and the
Inter-American Development Bank. Furthermore, many private-sector
lenders took their lead from the IMF, so that countries not eligible
for public funding found it very difficult to get private money.
Finally, the IMF derived power from its role in managing financial
crises. When times got hard for a developing country, the United
States and its European allies would engineer bailout packages through
the IMF, making the institution the world's "lender of last resort."
Thus, few countries in the global South could afford to fall out of
favor with the Fund. For this reason, some economists saw it as the
head of what they dubbed a "creditors' cartel"; when the Fund offered
its guidance to a country, the nation's leaders were presented with
"an offer they couldn't refuse."
While the World Bank has been besieged by critics of both the left
and the right, the IMF faces struggles of its own. Just as they would
scale back the Bank, many conservatives would limit the IMF mostly to
gathering and disseminating information about financial markets. But
the Fund's bigger problem is that its supposed beneficiaries are in
revolt. Asian countries burned by the region's neoliberal financial
crisis in 1997 are building large cash reserves to prevent a return to
the Fund in times of economic downturn. And many countries are paying
off their IMF debts early to escape the institution's oppressive
oversight, as noted by Adam Lerrick: "One after another, developing
nations -- Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay, Indonesia, the Philippines --
paid off their loans early. Finance ministers across the globe, who'd
trained at Harvard and the University of Chicago, had figured out that
it was better to give up the Fund's subsidies than to cede control
over their own economic destinies. . . . Desk managers at
the Fund once micromanaged 50 different economies. But those days are
now gone."
The International Monetary Fund is no longer the intimidating bully
it once was. Indeed, it has been forced to contemplate a future of
reduced global sway. Moves from the global South are sapping both IMF
revenue streams and the institution's influence. Its loan portfolio,
which had soared to nearly $100 billion in 2004, fell to under $20
billion by early 2007. A single country, Turkey, accounts for much of
the remaining sum. The IMF's dramatically curtailed lending is also
producing funding shortfalls for the institution. Three of the IMF's
four largest clients -- Argentina, Brazil, and Indonesia -- used
currency reserves and financing from other countries, such as oil-rich
Venezuela, to pay off their IMF debts early. This early payback has
deprived the institution of lucrative interest payments, making a
sizable dent in the institution's operating budget. The IMF
anticipated a $116 million shortfall in fiscal year 2006. Turkey, the
largest remaining client, is also considering buying it sway out of
IMF oversight in the near future, which would put an even tighter
squeeze on the institution's finances. Of course, it should be noted
that the Fund is not going broke; among other assets, the institution
sits on some $75 billion worth of gold. Nevertheless, the enterprise
cannot hemorrhage money indefinitely.
(p. 154):
In the fall of 1994, Ralph Nader famously issued a challenge to
members of Congress who were about to approve U.S. entry into the
WTO. He offered to donate $10,000 to charity on behalf of any
legislator who would actually read the dense, several-hundred-page
text on the pending bill and answer ten simple questions about it. The
only person to take Nader up on his offer was Republican Senator Hank
Brown, a proponent of "free trade." Brown read the bill and aced the
test. He then voted against the WTO legislation. Encouraging his
colleagues to do likewise, he stated, "Anyone who thinks this
agreement expands free trade has not read it."
(pp. 173-174):
In the wake of 9/11, [Thomas] Friedman served as one of the
country's most prominent liberal hawks. As he described it, the
attacks on New York and Washington made him angry -- "angry that my
country had been violated in this way, angry at the senseless deaths
of so many innocent people, angry at the megalomaniacal arrogance of
Osama bin Laden and his men." For Friedman, the appropriate response
to this anger was for the United States to go to war. Through his
Times column and his public appearances, he insisted that
policymakers, even those with reservations about the Bush
administration, should support the ousting of Saddam Hussein and the
occupation of Iraq. His was a convoluted stance: Although he conceded
that White House belligerence was alienating allies throughout the
international community, that official claims about weapons of mass
destruction were lies, and that the postinvasion management of Iraq
was ill-planned, he nevertheless sided resolutely with the war
effort.
A good part of his argument came down to support of the Ledeen
Doctrine -- the idea that the United States needed to exercise its
military power if only to show the rest of the world who is
boss. According to Friedman, "sometimes smashing someone in the face
is necessary to signal others that they will be held accountable for
the intolerance they incubate. Removing the Taliban and Saddam sent
that message to every government in the area." He later contended,
"Saudi Arabia would have been fine; Pakistan would have been fine. We
did Iraq because we could." As he explained it, "My motto here to my
liberal friends is that some things are true even if George Bush
believes them."
(p. 177):
The connection between Friedman's hazy writing and his suspect
conclusions about the global economy shows up even in the very premise
of his second book on globalization. During a meeting between Friedman
and Nilekani in Bangalore, the Infosys CEO offers that "the playing
field is being leveled." For Friedman, the tired cliché is a
revelation. He mulls it over for hours and then suddenly decides, "My
God, he's telling me the world is flat!"
Now, it is quite a stretch to take a routine sports metaphor and
superimpose it on global geography -- and it is not clear that
Nilekani would want credit for such a feat. Not only is Friedman's
interpretation of this conversation suspect, but there could be few
worse metaphors for talking about a global system that is more
integrated and networked than ever before.
[ . . . ]
"Friedman is a person who not only speaks in malapropisms, he also
hears malapropisms," [Matt] Taibbi argues. Nilekani offhandedly
mentions a level field, and Friedman attributes to him the radical
idea of a flat world. "This is the intellectual version of Far Out
Space Nuts, when NASA repairman Bob Denver sets a whole sitcom in
motion by pressing 'launch' instead of 'lunch' in a space capsule. And
once he hits that button, the rocket takes off."
(p. 181):
Friedman's own position amid this global divide is telling. He
regularly represents himself as just an average guy from Minnesota
trying to make sense of the world. The real picture is far from
average. In July 2006, the Washingtonian magazine reported that
in the 1970s Friedman married into one of the one hundred richest
families in America -- the Bucksbaums -- who have amassed a fortune
worth some $2.7 billion, with origins in real estate development. The
magazine noted that he lives in "a palatial 11,400-square-foot house,
now valued at $9.3 million, on a 7.5-acre parcel just blocks from
I-495 and Bethesda Country Club." Given that the uber-rich, those with
huge stock portfolios and investments in multinational corporations,
have benefited tremendously from corporate globalization, commentators
like David Sirota have suggested that Friedman's vast wealth
represents an undisclosed conflict of interest in his journalism.
(pp. 192-193):
One of [Joseph] Stiglitz's more interesting moves is to link his
criticisms with his pathbreaking early work on the economics of
information. The awarding of the Nobel Prize in economics to Stiglitz
in 2001 represented another epic instance of bad timing for defenders
of the Washington Consensus. Just as they had hoped to discredit the
renegade economist, they were forced to look on helplessly as the
Nobel committee heightened his acclaim tremendously. Since Stiglitz's
earlier work was unimpeachable, critics were forced to try a different
tack. They sought "to portray Stiglitz as a highly respectable
'scientist' gone mad in his old age," according to Ha-Joon
Chang. Detractors asserted that he had strayed far from his mainstream
research in making his criticisms about the international financial
institutions.
Stiglitz explicitly rejects this interpretation. His
long-established body of research highlighted ways in which
unregulated markets can fail to work properly in real-world
circumstances. At the core of neoclassical economics is the assumption
that all actors in the market operate with perfect information. As
explained by Stiglitz, "My research . . . showed that
whenever information is imperfect -- where some individuals know
something that others do not (in other words, always) -- the
reason that the invisible hand seems invisible is that it is not
there." Asymmetric information leads to distortions in supposedly
perfect markets. Thus, "without appropriate government regulation and
intervention, markets do not lead to economic efficiency."
Stiglitz carries his original critique of textbook economic models
into his discussion of globalization. He does not so much reject the
specific policies of neoliberalism but rather charges that they have
been deployed in a way that was far too rigid and ideological. "I
believe in privatization," he explains in one illustrative passage,
". . . but only if it helps companies become more
efficient and lowers prices for consumers" -- outcomes that are most
likely to arise if the government intervenes with "strong competition
policies." The IMF leaves little room for such measured views. It
bases its prescriptions on a fundamentalist belief in the
infallibility of markets and inefficiency of governments. Because
markets are not perfect, the results have been disastrous.
"The IMF has made mistakes in all the areas it has been involved
in," Stiglitz asserts, "development, crisis management, and in
countries making the transition from communism to capitalism." Such
errors included "forcing liberalization before safety nets were put in
place . . . ; forcing policies that led to job
destruction before the essentials for job creation were in place;
forcing privatization before there were adequate competition and
regulatory frameworks."
Problems with "pacing" and "sequencing" were especially significant
in Russia, where the IMF pushed rapid privatization. Without proper
banking systems, competition policy, or government regulation, sales
of state industries swiftly developed into a process of
"briberization." A new class of criminal oligarchs took over state
monopolies, forcefully shut out rivals, and fostered rampant
government corruption.
(p. 209):
Mahbub ul Haq and the Human Development Reports are significant not
because they embody the pursuit of democratic globalization. They
represent only one of many attempts to set out a worldview with
different values and priorities than those of neoliberalism or
empire. In fact, the Human Development Reports are more notable for
having been produced within the mainstream confines of the United
Nations and for effectively attracting media attention than for being
unusually visionary or far-reaching. But the reports provide an
excellent entry into the question of alternatives because they do two
things that are essential to the emergence of any globalization from
below: they demonstrate that policies other than those favored by
neoliberalism have long been available, and they demand a change in
the way that our societies define progress.
Where democratic globalization must go further is in insisting that
we alter the relationships of power that govern the international
system -- changing who chooses the policies and who
determines whether they have succeeded. The first part of this book
focused on the rise of imperial globalization under George W. Bush,
examining how this starkly militaristic worldview represented a break
from earlier strategies of corporate rule. The second part discussed
how the debate about trade and development has unfolded in this
context, reviewing the dramatically altered fates of the World Bank,
the IMF, and the WTO. The U.S. shift to imperial globalization and the
decline of the international financial institutions have produced a
new landscape for battles over the shape of globalization.
(p. 219):
ATTAC, one of the organizations that founded the World Social
Forum, has set up tents promoting campaigning for the Tobin tax. First
proposed by Nobel Prize-winning economist James Tobin in the 1970s,
the initiative would impose a low-percentage tax on the hundreds of
billions of dollars worth of international financial transactions that
take place each day. This would provide a disincentive for short-term
gambling on currencies, and it would encourage longer-term and more
productive investment. Moreover, even a miniscule levy could create an
annual fund of more than $100 billion, which could be used to stop the
spread of disease and alleviate global poverty.
(p. 230):
When the Washington Consensus demands the privatization of public
industry and the division of the commons into private property, an
alternative is to keep these things in the hands of the public,
defending the provision of public goods as a way of ensuring economic
human rights -- including guaranteed public access to water,
electricity, and health care. If it calls for cuts in social services,
an alternative is to reject the cuts, maintaining or bolstering these
services and instead pushing for a redistributive tax system that
makes the wealthy pay their fair share. When Washington mandates a
more "flexible" labor market -- one without unions or worker
protections -- an alternative is to defend living wages, collective
bargaining, and the right to associate. And when IMF bailouts for
wealthy investors create a situation in which, to paraphrase author
Eduardo Galeano, "risk is socialized while profit is privatized," an
alternative is simply to end these bailouts, making speculators bear
the cost of their gambles.
(p. 298):
The neocons were unique in envisioning a post-Cold War order in
which the United States would be unapologetically, preemptively, and
unilaterally interventionist. But they were not alone in their faith
that America must remain an unchallenged military power. The use or
threat of force has always been a part of U.S. foreign policy. While a
majority of leading politicians may now focus on exercising the
nation's "soft power," none are lobbying to limit Pentagon spending,
much less to dismantle the "baseworld" of sprawling American military
encampments overseas.