#^d 2019-02-17 #^h Weekend Roundup
Another weekly batch of links and comments. At some point I started shunting pieces on Trump's "state of emergency" declaration to the end, but a few are scattered in the main list. Also wound up adding more "related" links under first-found stories. More time might let me sort out a better pecking order. But at this point I'm mostly going through the motions, to establish a record for possible later review. Book idea is still germinating. Last couple weeks have been especially trying for me, and this coming one looks likely to be worse.
Some scattered links this week:
Matthew Yglesias:
The real national emergency is Trump's incompetence.
Today's national emergency declaration from Donald Trump is an obvious fraud, detectable if nothing else by the reality that various White House and congressional officials have been teasing it as a possibility for months. In a real emergency, you act fast.
In a fake emergency, you act when you've decided the political timing is right as part of a larger ass-covering move because you need to back down from an ill-advised congressional fight that, itself, followed from an ill-advised campaign promise. . . .
First the shutdown and now the "emergency" both stem from the basic fact that Trump will neither admit his whole wall spiel was BS nor decide to act like someone who genuinely wants a wall and make a deal to get it.Instead, a lot of people's time and money is now going to be wasted on litigation while money is taken away from duly authorized programs and sent instead to a construction project nobody really wants. This is not the worst thing anyone has ever done in American politics -- it's not even close to being the worst thing Trump has ever done -- but it's arguably the most absurd.
And it raises, once again, the fundamental question about Trump. When you have a president who can't handle relatively banal problems like a disagreement over a $5 billion appropriation for a pet project, what's going to happen to us when a real crisis hits?
California high-speed rail and the American infrastructure tragedy, explained.
New York is better off without Amazon's HQ2: "Without significant reform of land use, an influx of tech jobs would've hurt the city ore than helped it."
The real stakes in the 2020 primary aren't about legislation: "Foreign policy, personnel, priorities, regulation, and economic management matter most."
The controversy over Ilhan Omar and AIPAC money, explained. Related: Richard Silverstein: Israel lobby seeks to muzzle Ilhan Omar, sabotage democratic resurgence.
Zach Beauchamp: The fight between Ilhan Omar and Elliott Abrams, Trump's Venezuela envoy, explained: "It revealed the real divides in American foreign policy." One should add: it was notable because those divides are scarcely ever talked about in Washington. After reviewing Abrams' criminal history, and sorting the "divide" into three baskets:
These are obviously stylized differences, with individual advocates in these debates taking more nuanced views. But which of these three visions you're closest too, broadly, shapes the way you think about and approach various questions in American foreign policy. If you think the United States is typically a force for good in the world, you tend to be more comfortable with American intervention in foreign conflicts. If you think America is a meddling imperialist power, not so much.
The debate between Abrams and Omar is, really, a debate about these visions. But it's also a debate about a very real policy question currently facing the US: Should the US militarily intervene -- or intervene at all, in any way, even diplomatically -- in Venezuela?
This isn't quite right. The fact is that the US government has historically (over more than 100 years), including (but not limited to) landing troops in the country, and it has always done so in favor of local elites aligned with American business interests. Indeed, it is pretty clear that the US has repeatedly attempted to overthrow the democratically elected Chavez and Maduro governments, always in support of the same elites. Clearly, US backing for Guaidó is just one more step in the neverending effort to seize Venezuela's government and turn it against the Venezuelan people.
One can imagine a left government in America having a very different foreign policy, one that would break with centuries of past exploits and stop opposing the aspirations of people around the world to take democratic power and implement policies that would provide for fair and equitable distribution of each nation's wealth, regardless of its impact on American business interests. However, there's little chance of that happening, even if some relatively left-leaning Democrat were to win the presidency in 2020. Short of that, the most practicable foreign policy option is to resist US intervention, even in cases where one is tempted to argue that intervention would be some kind of humanitarian venture -- of course, the fact that "humanitarian intervention" has been cited repeatedly and has accumulated a totally dismal track record makes it that much easier to dismiss the canard out of hand. (Not that it isn't a big part of the Trump case for intervening in Venezuela.)
Jedediah Britton-Purdy: The Green New Deal is what realistic environmental policy looks like.
Alexia Fernández Campbell: A record number of US workers went on strike in 2018: "Working-class Americans haven't been this fed up with their employers since the 1980s." Not sure how they're qualifying "record": chart looks like since 1986, but there were higher totals literally every year from 1947-83. Still, last year towers over every year 2001-17.
Gaby Del Valle: Amazon scrapped its New York City plans. Some residents are elated -- others are disappointed. E.g., "Real estate developers who had bet that Amazon's presence in Long Island City would drive up rents were stunned." Still, nearly every other city in America is groveling at Amazon's feet, because it's easy to see the benefits of a new development (even if government winds up kicking back all of its taxes to the company), and hard to see the broader effects (as Yglesias does in the article above). Still, there is another story yet to be told: why does Amazon think they're going to need all those extra "headquarters" workers? What's the business model there? You know there must be one, and it must involve capturing a lot of what's currently other companies' business. Related: Jeremiah Moss: A dispatch from the anti-Amazon victory party; Derek Thompson: Amazon got exactly what it deserved -- and so did New York. From Thompson:
The larger truth is that corporate subsidies, including the $3 billion package offered to Amazon, are often pernicious and usually pointless. Studies show that these sorts of measures "have no discernible impact on firm expansion, measured by job creation." Yet every year, local governments spend more than $90 billion to move headquarters and factories between states, a wasteful zero-sum exercise whose cost is more than the federal government spends on affordable housing, education, or infrastructure. In the most garish example of corporate-welfare absurdity, Foxconn, the Taiwanese manufacturing company, solicited up to $4 billion in subsidies from Wisconsin in exchange for a factory and tens of thousands of workers. Now it's an open question whether that facility will ever get built.
But even the less garish examples are galling. New York City doesn't have an employment problem; it has a housing-affordability problem.
Michelle Goldberg: Donald Trump is President and anything is possible: This sounds a lot like my book outline:
In the resulting atmosphere of crisis and upheaval, a new coalition can bring a new reconstructive president to power. When that happens, Skowronek wrote, governing priorities are "durably recast," and a "corresponding set of legitimating ideas becomes the new common sense." Franklin Delano Roosevelt was a reconstructive president. So was Ronald Reagan. The assumptions of New Deal liberalism governed American politics from 1932 to 1980. The assumptions of the conservative movement have dominated thereafter, though perhaps not for much longer.
Viewed through this schema, Donald Trump's presidency looks more like the end of a cycle than the end of the Republic. Throughout the 2016 presidential campaign and the early months of the Trump administration, the constitutional law professors Jack Balkin and Sanford Levinson exchanged letters arguing about the durability of our system; the letters will be published this spring as a book, "Democracy and Dysfunction." Balkin is the more sanguine of the two, in part because he sees Trump fitting into Skowronek's model.
Trump's presidency, wrote Balkin, could be what Skowronek called "disjunctive," meaning one "in which a president allied with an aging political regime promises to restore its dominance and former greatness, is unable to keep all of the elements of his coalition together, and as a result presides over the regime's dissolution."
The latter line reminds me of James Buchanan, who remains as Trump's only serious rival for "worst president ever."
Sean Illing:
Trump declared a national emergency at the border. I asked 11 experts if it's legal. "Spoiler alert: probably not."
The complicated, always racist history of blackface: Interview with John Strausbaugh, author of Black Like You: Blackface, Whiteface, Insult & Imitation in American Popular Culture.
Umair Irfan:
Jen Kirby:
Andy Kroll: How Trump's swamp works now.
Jill Lepore: Eugene V Debs and the endurance of Socialism.
Dara Lind: 4 winners and 4 losers from the funding bill and emergency declaration: Winners: federal employees; 2020 Democrats; immigration detention; Congressional oversight. Losers: the "power of the purse"; Mitch McConnell; "Build the wall"; federal contractors.
PR Lockhart: Colin Kaepernick's collusion grievance against the NFL, explained. Related: Jemele Hill: Kaepernick Won. The NFL Lost.
German Lopez:
Attorney general nominee William Barr's "tough on crime" record, explained.
In the year after Parkland, there was nearly one mass shooting a day. Lot of charts here, like this one:
Alec MacGillis and ProPublica: The original underclass: "Poor white Americans' current crisis shouldn't have caught the rest of the country as off guard as it has."
Dylan Matthews: Bill and Melinda Gates and the problem of the "good billionaire": Of course, nothing here on how Gates got all that money.
Andrew G McCabe: Every day is a new low in Trump's White House: From the Trump-fired former deputy director of the FBI, who now has a book, The Threat: How the FBI Protects America in the Age of Terror and Trump: "The president steps over bright ethical and moral lines wherever he encounters them. Everyone in America saw it when he fired my boss. But I saw it firsthand time and again."
Kelsey Piper: Elizabeth Warren wants to ban the US from using nuclear weapons first.
David Roberts: A California coalition is tackling one of the hardest, unsexiest parts of climate policy: "Decarbonizing buildings: it's tedious, but oh so necessary."
Dylan Scott: Utah Republicans have officially blocked their state's voter-approved Medicaid expansion.
Richard Silverstein: Israel elections: the vultures are circling Netanyahu: Election is on April 9. Open question is whether Netanyahu will be indicted before then, and if so, how toxic that will make him.
Jordan Smith: What Brett Kavanaugh's dishonest anti-abortion dissent reveals about his Supreme Court agenda.
Emily Stewart:
Trump just got his first 2020 Republican challenger: "It's former Massachusetts Gov. Bill Weld." Didn't he run for VP on the Libertarian ticket in 2016? I'm not sure he even qualifies as a RINO any more. I doubt this will amount to anything more than Lincoln Chaffee's 2016 Democratic run. (And why, by the way, didn't Chaffee run as an R back then?)
Why Trump thinks a national emergency will get him his border wall.
David Thompson:
How globalization saved the world and damned the West: "A dispatch from Davos on the verge of a nervous breakdown."
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has the better argument: "A 70 percent marginal rate could help, not hurt, innovation."
Alex Ward: The US held a global summit to isolate Iran. America isolated itself instead. Related: Kathy Gilsinan: The Trump Administration can't get a united front against Iran; Fred Kaplan: The Trump Administration looks more isolated and incompetent than ever at this week's anti-Iran conference; Trita Parsi: Warsaw summit was a failure for Trump -- but a win for Netanyahu; Richard Silverstein: Netanyahu calls on Arab states to join war against Iran.
Some more links on the "emergency" declaration:
Ben Ehrenreich: The hidden climate-change story behind Trump's 'national emergency'.
David Frum: A state of unreality: "Trump's emergency declaration is going to run into four hurdles."
Tara Golshan: Pelosi says Trump's national emergency sets a new precedent for Democrats: "A Democratic president could declare a national emergency over gun control, Pelosi hints." Not clear to me how or why, but climate change issues should be on the table, especially as weather-related disasters will create a steady stream of occasions for future presidents.
David A Graham: Trump's bizarre, rambling announcement of a national emergency.
Dahlia Lithwick: Trump isn't just defying the Constitution. He's undermining SCOTUS.
Noah Rothman: Conservatives will live to regret this.
Peter M Shane: Trump is trying to hollow out the constitutional system of checks and balances.