#^d 2020-05-04 #^h Weekend Roundup
This title offers a pretty apt introduction to the week: Adam Cancryn: As death toll passes 60,000, Trump's team searches for an exit strategy. A good second course would be Adam Serwer: Trump is inciting a coronavirus culture war to save himself. Trump doesn't seem to understand much, but his big hedgehog idea is that every day is a campaign day, and issues matter only in that they can be spun as campaign fodder. This mostly means casting them as culture war, using his takes to excite his base, or to offend his enemies (which in turn excites his base). He doesn't have any other interest in solving problems, and never feels the least bit of responsibility when his administration fails. Indeed, he's found that he can usually get away with not mentioning it (or declaring it "fake news" when someone else brings it up). After all, political discourse on the right has been untethered from reality ever since Reagan discovered "morning in America."
As for his minions, they, too, have one hedgehog idea, which is to consolidate as much political power as possible, and use that power to do favors for their donors, seeing that as the way to consolidate even more power. Hence, even with the pandemic dominating the headlines, they keep plugging away at spreading their corrupt favors around.
Some primary returns: Ohio (April 28, postponed from March 17): Joe Biden 72.43%, Bernie Sanders 16.61%; Kansas (May 2): Joe Biden 76.85%, Bernie Sanders 23.15%. Kansas, by the way, used a ranked choice system, which eventually reduced Tulsi Gabbard, Elizabeth Warren, and "uncommitted" to 0 votes. Wikipedia has more: Warren got 7.8% in the first round. Biden gained 6,119 votes when she was eliminated, vs. 5,822 for Sanders.
Some scattered links this week:
Zeeshan Aleem:
Canada just banned military-style assault weapons after its deadliest mass shooting.
Governors say Trump's disinfectant comments prompted hundreds of poison center calls. I find it hard to believe that most of these calls aren't pranks of some sort. Not that I'm inclined to overestimate the intelligence of the American people, but to actually poison oneself, one would have to: (a) hear Trump's comments; (b) believe him; (c) have some reason to think one has Covid-19 needing extreme treatment; and (d) not consult a medical professional before self-medicating. That's a pretty tall order. Still, I did see this article in the Wichita Eagle: Kansas official says man drank cleaner after Trump floated dangerous disinfectant remedy.
Bernard Avishai: How Benjamin Netanyahu has managed the pandemic for political gain. More on Israel:
Peter Baker: Trump moves to replace watchdog who identified critical medical shortages.
Joe Biden/Elizabeth Warren: There's no oversight of coronavirus relief -- because that's what Trump wants. Pretty solid as politician-penned op-eds go. Nice photos too. Makes them look as well as sound like a ticket.
Barbara Boland: Was that military flyover really worth the cost to taxpayers? "Looking at what we spend on unwanted, overpriced tanks and planes against the shortfalls in protective gear."
Katelyn Burns: Trump wants to use coronavirus aid as leverage to force blue states to change immigration policies. The way I read this, he wants to use the existence of "sanctuary cities" as an excuse to deny federal aid to "blue states." I'm not aware of any states actually having immigration policies.
Tyler Cullis/Trita Parsi: In tortured logic, Trump begs for a do-over on the Iran nuclear deal.
Mike Davis: Reopening the economy will send us to hell.
Jason Ditz:
Russia warns US against using low-yield nukes, threatens full nuclear retaliation: Now, there's an ominous headline I wasn't expecting to see this week.
Israel expected to seek double US aid, early delivery of funds.
Michelle Goldberg: The new Great Depression is coming. Will there be a new New Deal? Not without a major political shift, and it's quite possible that as the crisis shifts into a "new normalcy" Republicans won't get blamed and discredited like they were under Hoover -- after all, coronavirus is still viewed as an external factor, even though the real damage to the US economy and society had gradually built up under decades of Republican-driven misrule. (Democrats don't have "clean hands" there, but their faults were mostly the result of conceding to Republican percepts while trying to compete for business favors). New York Times has several more related op-eds:
Jamelle Bouie: Another way the 2020s might be like the 1930s.
Chris Hughes: Why Americans need a guaranteed income.
Meredith Haggerty: The novel frugality. My parents grew up on farms during the Great Depression, so much of this is pretty familiar to me. After my mother died, the first thing I did was throw out a drawer full of wire ties and recycled plastic bags.
Aleksandr Hemon: Trump's nationalism advances on a predictable trajectory to violence. His supporters will kill when they're told to.
Sean Illing:
Mitch McConnell's shameless pursuit of power, explained: Interview with Jane Mayer, author of a recent New Yorker profile, How Mitch McConnell became Trump's enabler-in-chief.
The coronavirus revealed what was already broken in America: Lots of people could have made this point, but one Illing interviewed here is George Packer, who many of us have had trouble stomaching since he emerged as a leading liberal apologist for Bush's 2003 invasion of Iraq. To be fair, he walked his advocacy back, rather quickly in his 2005 book, The Assassins Gate: America in Iraq, but he wrote a hagiography of fellow hawk Richard Holbrooke as recently as 2019. His book cited here is The Unwinding: An Inner History of the New America (2013), and he wrote a recent piece in The Atlantic where he declared We are living in a failed state. I'll limit myself to one minor point here. Illing quotes Packer as writing, "If 9/11 and 2008 wore out trust in the old political establishment, 2020 should kill off the idea that anti-politics is our salvation." Trust maybe, but the "old political establishment" clung tenaciously to power after 9/11 and 2008, with no practical challenge from the so-called opposition party. In fact, when Democrats gained power in 2009, they made a big show of continuity -- both of the post-9/11 Forever Wars and of the desperate 2008 scramble to bail out the banks -- retaining Bush's Secretary of Defense Robert Gates, giving Fed chairman Ben Bernanke a second term, and promoting NY Fed chairman Timothy Geithner to Secretary of the Treasury. I never really thought of Trump in 2016 as "anti-politics," but one can't imagine any candidate more certain than Hillary Clinton to extend the continuity of politics as usual from Bush-Obama, so maybe we shouldn't be shocked that some voters fell for "what have you got to lose"? Near four years later, we're just beginning to add up the toll -- but the Democrats countered with a candidate who is even more wedded to the old politics.
Sarah Jaffe: The post-pandemic future of work.
Peter Kafka: A single Trump tweet sums up his media strategy: Confusion.
Roge Karma: Many world leaders have seen double-digit polling surges amid coronavirus. Trump isn't one of them.
Jill Lepore: Kent State and the war that never ended. Reviews some books: Derf Backderf: Kent State: Four Dead in Ohio (described as a "gut-wrenching graphic nonfiction novel"); Nancy K Bristow: Steeped in the Blood of Racism: Black Power, Law and Order, and the 1970 Shootings at Jackson State College; David Paul Kuhn: The Hardhat Riot: Nixon, New York City, and the Dawn of the White Working-Class Revolution; as well as mentioning earlier books: I.F. Stone: The Killings at Kent State: How Murder Went Unpunished (1970), and Philip Caputo: 13 Seconds: A Look Back at the Kent State Shootings (2005).
Sam Long: Why we can't help France fight its failed colonial wars in Africa: "US lawmakers are pushing our military to stay in a region that really has no strategic interest for America." I don't see what "strategic interest" has to do with it, although that argument has been used with some success in the past, as when J William Fulbright objected to LBJ's attempt to send US troops into 1960s Congo. Since then US encroachments in Africa have generally been kept quiet, even though the existence of AFRICOM shouts otherwise. On the other hand, France has intervened repeatedly in its former African colonies. (Although, when France and Italy wanted to intervene in Libya, they prevailed on their "NATO ally" to do the heavy bombing.)
It helps to keep this history in context. One of the key lessons of WWII was that European powers could no longer afford to govern their colonies in Africa and Asia -- in part because the profits of empire had been privatized, but also because people everywhere were revolting against imperial rule -- but they still wanted to exploit them. The solution was to arrange for independence led by friendly or corrupt local elites. The US got into the game big time, especially anywhere independence threatened capital interests, all the while assuring US companies a cut of the profits (although after globalization is has become impossible to tell which companies belong to which countries). Of course, Washington would rather work through proxies and cronies, but with hundreds of bases scattered all around the world, thousands of "advisers" and arms merchants, the US alone is capable of striking anywhere almost instantly. On the other hand, when people do choose to fight back, American troops have often proved to be ineffective. Maybe, as Jonathan Schell put it, the world really is unconquerable.
Joe Lowndes: The morbid ideology behind the drive to reopen America.
Robert Mackey: Through creative accounting, Trump tries to cast America's death toll as an achievement.
Ben Mathis-Lilley: The coronavirus is showing members of the professional class that the government doesn't work for them either.
Dylan Matthews: Mitch McConnell's rediscovery of the deficit is a recipe for a depression.
Mark Mazzetti/Julian E Barnes/Edward Wong/Adam Goldman: Trump officials are said to press spies to link virus and Wuhan labs.
Nicole Narea: Trump is keeping meatpacking plants open -- but employees are scared to show up for work.
Ella Nilsen: The White House has blocked Anthony Fauci from testifying in front of a House committee.
Anna North: A sexual assault allegation against Joe Biden ignited a firestorm of controversy: "A woman says Biden assaulted her in 1993 and has filed a criminal complaint." Related:
Sarah Jones: Feminism should make you uncomfortable: "Tara Reade is difficult to dismiss."
Branko Marcetic: It took guts for Chris Hayes to cover Tara Reade's accusations against Joe Biden.
Michael J Stern: Why I'm skeptical about Reade's sexual assault claim against Biden.
Bruce E Levine: If Trump is a pathological liar, what type of liar is Biden? After finding lies everywhere, he quotes Orwell arguing that "the British ruling class did all they could to hand Spain over to Franco and the Nazis." Then adds: "Wicked or stupid? It is not only the British ruling class that provokes the question."
Maybe had Sanders won the Democratic nomination, I might be tempted to argue that personal character matters in this election, but he's a rare exception among politicians. Most are the sort you don't want to get too close to, and Biden is at best par for the course, perhaps a bit dingier, maybe creepier too. But at this point I really don't care, except negatively inasmuch as I think these personal stories are distractions from the substantive political issues we should be focusing on in this election. Of course, Biden has a pretty severely tarnished record there, too, but compared to Trump he's an easy pick. Maybe on character, too, but at this point I'm not even interested in finding out. I'm reminded that when Louisiana Republicans picked Ku Klux Klan Führer David Duke as their gubernatorial candidate, his opponent, who had recently spent time in jail for corruption, ran a successful campaign on the slogan: "Vote for the crook. It's important." I doubt Biden will have to stoop that low, but running against Trump, he surely can.
Jonathan O'Connell/Steve Rich/Peter Whoriskey: Public companies received $1 billion in stimulus funds meant for small businesses.
Evan Osnos: How Greenwich Republicans learned to love Trump. Turns out that Trump's supporters aren't just dumb white blue collar workers. They also include a big slice of well off, secluded suburban elites.
Alex Pareene: Democrats aren't stuck with Joe Biden: "No one has to tie themselves in knots to defend him if they don't want to." Nice sentiment, but hard for me to see any alternative. The primary season got wrecked before the pandemic finished it off, but Biden did get his votes, even if he did next to nothing to deserve them, and lost badly when voters had a chance to consider alternatives. But now what? Have the party insiders impose some alternative that voters never had the chance to consider? Pareene mentions the possibility of an Andrew Cuomo-Stacy Abrams ticket, as if that would be more viable. Like Pareene, I'm not going to tie myself in knots trying to defend Biden. I may not defend him at all. But I'll vote for him against Trump, and I'll try not to make myself look too desperate in doing so.
Lois Parshley: Where coronavirus is hitting rural America hard.
Steven Pearlstein: Socialism for investors, capitalism for everyone else. Still writing from the prejudice that "socialism" is a bad thing (much like people thought they were scoring points when complaining about "corporate welfare"). The word, after all, is rooted in "social," which is something hedge funds will never be associated with. I'm reminded here of "the Greenspan put" -- the guarantee that whenever markets showed signs of weakness, the Fed would intervene to prop they up again. Back in the 1990s, investors could still claim a "risk premium," even though Greenspan had virtually eliminated the risk of investing. Since 2008, the Fed has had to get creative to prop up an ever more precariously overvalued stock market, and the measures Pearlstein is talking about here are simply the latest and most extreme measures. As for "everyone else," what they get isn't really capitalism, just the trail of wreckage capitalists have always left in their wake.
Daniel Politi: A city in Oklahoma ends face mask requirement after store employees threatened. City is Stillwater, in north-central Oklahoma, pop. 50,391, home of Oklahoma State University, population below poverty line 27.3%. I've passed through the town dozens of times, often in recent times hoping (and failing) to find a more cosmopolitan restaurant than smaller towns nearby. Can't think of much nice to say about the place.
David Roberts: Mitch McConnell is gaslighting Democrats (again).
Kim Stanley Robinson: The coronavirus is rewriting our imaginations. Sometimes, I guess, it takes a novelist used to constructing imaginary worlds to see the one we're in:
In many ways, we've been overdue for such a shift. In our feelings, we've been lagging behind the times in which we live. The Anthropocene, the Great Acceleration, the age of climate change -- whatever you want to call it, we've been out of synch with the biosphere, wasting our children's hopes for a normal life, burning our ecological capital as if it were disposable income, wrecking our one and only home in ways that soon will be beyond our descendants' ability to repair. And yet we've been acting as though it were 2000, or 1990 -- as though the neoliberal arrangements built back then still made sense. We've been paralyzed, living in the world without feeling it.
Now, all of a sudden, we're acting fast as a civilization. We're trying, despite many obstacles, to flatten the curve -- to avoid mass death. Doing this, we know that we're living in a moment of historic importance. We realize that what we do now, well or badly, will be remembered later on. This sense of enacting history matters. . . .
Margaret Thatcher said that "there is no such thing as society," and Ronald Reagan said that "government is not the solution to our problem; government is the problem." These stupid slogans marked the turn away from the postwar period of reconstruction and underpin much of the bullshit of the past forty years. . . .
Economics is a system for optimizing resources, and, if it were trying to calculate ways to optimize a sustainable civilization in balance with the biosphere, it could be a helpful tool. When it's used to optimize profit, however, it encourages us to live within a system of destructive falsehoods.
Aaron Rupar:
US coronavirus data is at odds with Trump's push to get the economy back up and running.
Not a single state has met a key reopening criterion identified by the White House coronavirus task force: a steady 14-day decline in new cases.
In fact, when hardest-hit New York state is taken out of the equation, the national trajectory of new daily coronavirus cases currently shows an upward trend:
The new Michael Flynn documents aren't the bombshell Trump is making them out to be. Also on Flynn:
Cristina Cabrera/David Taintor: New WH press secretary's first beiefing becomes pity party for Michael Flynn.
Dan Froomkin: New White House press secretary Kayleigh McEnany: Don't believe your lyin' eyes!
Tierney Sneed: Why the latest Flynn entrapment claims are as bogus as the last ones.
Trump keeps using "sarcasm" to explain away his embarrassing statements.
Bernie Sanders/Pramila Jayapal: The pandemic has made the US healthcare crisis far more dire. We must fix the system.
Dylan Scott:
Jamil Smith: The right's gun routine falls flat during the pandemic: "Michigan's governor has a killer virus to be scared of, not a bunch of clowns terrorizing lawmakers with firearms. That's why she held firm on her stay-at-home orders."
Jeff Stein/Carol D Leonnig/Josh Dawsey/Gerri Shih: US officials crafting retaliatory actions against China over coronavirus as President Trump fumes.
Emily Stewart/Christina Animashaun: 30 million Americans have lost their jobs in 6 weeks. This week's new filings down to 3.3 million, still almost five times the pre-March weekly record.
Matt Taibbi: The inevitable coronavirus censorship crisis is here.
Kanishk Tharoor: The exclusivity economy: "How concierge dining, health, and travel services insulate the wealthy and hide soaring inequality." Draws on Nelson D Schwartz's book, The Velvet Rope Economy: How Inequality Became Big Business -- a long list of options the rich have to keep themselves separate (and more pampered) from everyone else.
Nick Turse:
Kenneth P Vogel/Jim Rutenberg/Lisa Lerer: The quiet hand of conservative groups in anti-lockdown protests. One prominent Tea Party funder, Charles Koch and his groups, is reportedly not involved in the demonstrations.
David Wallace-Wells: What the coronavirus models can't see.
Alex Ward:
Trump's purge of inspectors general continues. It's an assault on good governance.
Pressure mounts on Trump to "drop the hammer" on China: "Trump wants to retaliate against China over its handling of the coronavirus outbreak. Exactly how is anyone's guess."
How China is ruthlessly exploiting the coronavirus pandemic it helped cause: Hard to know how much of this to credit, but one thing that is likely is how Trump's end to WHO funding has opened the door to far greater Chinese influence.
Jordan Weissmann: Republicans are absolutely deluded if they think only blue states need a bailout: The state hit worst is Louisiana, followed by New Jersey, New York, Missouri, Florida, Kansas, and Kentucky. We've managed to end some of the Brownback tax cuts in Kansas, but the tax base here is still heavily dependent on some of the highest sales taxes in the nation. Chart shows 21 states, and most are red. Not on the list: any of the West Coast and only Rhode Island and Maine in New England.
Reid Wilson: Governors in all 50 states get better marks than Trump in COVID response.
Matthew Yglesias:
The economy shrunk at the fastest pace since the Great Recession. The official number for Q1 2000 is down 1.2% (4.8% annual), but almost all of that was in March, and March may not be fully counted. The real fall off will be March-April-May, even if you see the much-touted loosening of mandatory closure orders in May.
The successful Asian coronavirus-fighting strategy America refuses to embrace: "Other countries have had better results putting sick people into isolation instead of sending them home to potentially infect their family."
The US needs more urgency on developing a coronavirus vaccine.
Li Zhou: Hillary Clinton has officially endorsed Joe Biden for president. Poison pill?