Jeremy Bernstein: Nuclear Weapons
Jeremy Bernstein, Nuclear Weapons: What You Need to Know
(2007, Cambridge University Press)
One of the best science writers around, just the sort of person
to answer such questions with authority.
(pp. 123-124):
One of the first things that Oppenheimer asked Serber to do was to
give a series of lectures -- in the event there were five -- that
would serve as an introduction to the physics of the bomb for new
arrivals. It is worth commenting on this. First of all, from a
fundamental point of view there was no new physics required to make a
bomb. The Los Alamos physicists often said that when they came back
from the war they found the same set of problems on their desks that
they had left. However, building nuclear weapons required using what
was then standard physics in novel ways. This is what Serber explained
in his lectures. The lectures were attended by some fifty people and
were taken down by the well-known physicist E. U. Condon. Afterward,
he and Serber wrote up the notes. They were of course classified. They
became declassified in 1965 and were published in book form with
Serber's commentaries in 1992.
No doubt because of the secrecy, physicists who had not been
involved with the bomb knew very little about it. And even the
physicists who did know weren't talking. When I was an undergraduate
at Harvard in the late 1940s many of my teachers had been
involved. John Van Vleck, who had been Serber's Ph.D. advisor at
Wisconsin and then had gone to Harvard, was one of the people who
attended the 1942 conference that Oppenheimer organized in
Berkeley. Kenneth Bainbridge, who was for a while chairman of the
department, had chosen the test site for the first atomic bomb
explosion in Almogordo, New Mexico. Norman Ramsey, from whom I took a
course, had supervised the armoring of the Hiroshima bomb on Tinian
Island in the South Pacific. Roy Glauber, who was just starting his
academic career -- he shared the Nobel Prize in Physics for 2005 --
went to Los Alamos immediately after finishing the course work for his
bachelor's degree. And the president of the university, James Conant,
had been one of the original civilian leaders of the program. Despite
all of this, I do not remember a single part of any course in which
the physics of nuclear weapons was discussed. I do not even remember
any of these people mentioning any of this in any context. I can
understand this at the time. The war had been over for only a very few
years and the Cold War was just beginning. However, not long ago I
decided to make a little survey. I went to a physics library and
looked at every textbook of nuclear physics I could find. There was
not a single one of them that explained how to find the critical mass
of a uranium sphere. Most of them did not even explain what a critical
mass was. This disturbed me, especially in view of what seemed to be
happening in the world.
(pp. 169-170):
Smoky and Galileo were part of the longest and most extensive test
series ever done at Mercury. It was called "Operation Plumbbob." It
consisted of twenty-nine detonations, beginning with Boltzmann on the
28th of May and ending with Morgan on the 7th of October. Some of the
tests were on towers, others from balloons, one in a shaft, and
another in a tunnel. In a "boys will be boys" gesture the one in the
shaft had an odd twist that resembled what we used to do with
firecrackers when we were kids. We'd put them in a tin can to see what
happened when they went off. Here the grown-up boys put a lid on the
shaft to see what would happen. They figured that so much energy would
be imparted to the lid that it would reach a velocity greater than
that needed to escape the gravitation of the Earth. It would become,
before Sputnik, the first space vehicle. It is not likely that
this happened, but the lid was never found after the explosion. The
Plumbbob explosions ranged in yield from half a ton -- Lassen -- to
seventy-four kilotons -- Hood. They released 58,300 kilocuries of
radio iodine into the atmosphere. A "curie" is a unit of radioactive
disintegration that is equivalent to thirty-seven billion decays of
anything per second. To get some idea of scale, one thousandth of a
curie is about what would be used in a liver scan. The amount of radio
iodine that Plumbbob put into the atmosphere was estimated to have
caused an additional 38,000 cases of thyroid cancer, leading to some
2,000 deaths. Most of this radiation was deposited in the
northeastern, far western, and midwestern states. There was a cluster
in Maine. But this is not the only thing that made the Plumbbob tests
notorious. The Department of Defense decided that this would be a
splendid opportunity to study the reactions of soldiers and marines to
atomic warfare. During the series some 18,000 servicemen
participated. Because the tests were frequently postponed they were
able to make substantial contributions to the Las Vegas economy at all
levels. At Smoky, some three thousand soldiers were brought close to
ground zero not long after the explosion. They had watched the
explosion from trenches about a mile away. This explained the sound of
helicopters that I had heard that morning. It is difficult to imagine
now that our defense establishment would have done something so
absurd. But there it was. The health of the Smoky soldiers was
followed for several decades. In 1980, a survey showed that their
leukemia rates were elevated. Four would have been a baseline number
of cases expected in the general population, whereas there were
ten.
(p. 178):
Not to be outdone, in 1962, Los Alamos supplied a hydrogen bomb to
be detonated in outer space. As we will see in the next chapter, such
weapons have yields equivalent to millions of tons -- megatons -- of
TNT. The Los Alamos bomb was put on a Thor rocket and launched on July
9th above Johnson Island in the Pacific -- project Starfish. It
exploded at an altitude of 250 miles with a yield of 1.4 megatons. The
result was more than was bargained for. An electron belt was
temporarily created that managed to destroy seven satellites,
including the first commercial communications satellite.
(p. 211):
Oppenheimer, who was busy beyond human endurance, had to spend time
every week with Teller, listening to his latest failed ideas for
making the super. I have never really understood Teller's
obsession. Why were fission bombs not enough for him? Was it the
intellectual challenge? Was he worried that the Russians would get
there first, although this was probably not a consideration during the
war? Was he angry that Oppenheimer had made Bethe head of the theory
division instead of him and he wanted to carve out a new domain? A
combination>? I don't know. I have asked myself what would have
happened if, at Nagasaki, we had dropped a twenty-megaton hydrogen
bomb instead of a twenty-kiloton fission bomb. The fission bomb killed
75,000 people and devastated everything within a radius of one mile
from ground zero. A twenty-megaton bomb would have inflicted
third-degree burns on everyone within a distance of twenty miles and
would have devastated everything up to a distance of fourteen
miles. Would the Japanese have surrendered sooner? Nagasaki was
bombed on August 9th and the Emperor surrendered on the 14th. What
would a hydrogen bomb have accomplished? In the years following the
war, Oppenheimer often said that the problem with the hydrogen bomb
was that the targets were too small.
(pp. 213-214):
While Teller and his group were knocking their heads together
trying to make the classical super work, there was another activity
going on that did not seem to attract much attention. This was the
work of Klaus Fuchs and von Neumann. Klaus Fuchs, of whom we will hear
much more in the next chapter, came to Los Alamos as part of the
British delegation in August 1944. He had already been working on
aspects of the bomb in England and soon proved himself to be an
invaluable member of Bethe's theoretical division. He was known to
have a photographic memory and to have involved himself in all aspects
of the program. Almost no one was better informed. He was also a
Russian spy -- surely one of the most successful that has ever
lived. By the fall of 1945, he had turned over to the Russians what
amounted to a detailed blueprint of the gadget, whose test he had
witnessed. The Russian physicists were ordered to duplicate the
gadget, which they did. It was successfully tested in August
1949. Considering the effort the Russians put in and the ability of
their scientists, it is certain that they would have gotten the bomb
sooner or later. Fuchs probably saved them a couple of years. But, in
1946, Fuchs had turned his attention to the super. He and von Neumann
patented their work and, as far as I can tell, the patent is still
classified. However, in the spring of 1948, Fuchs turned it over to
the Russians. Some of what he turned over has found its way back here
by the back door, so to speak. In particular there is a diagram that
has now been widely circulated. Much of this diagram is of no interest
because it is connected to the classical super. But a part of the
diagram is of great interest because it is the first inkling of how to
make a hydrogen bomb. After Fuchs was exposed as a spy, both Bethe and
Oppenheimer belittled anything that Fuchs could have told the Russians
about the hydrogen bomb. They even said that they hoped the Russians
would use Fuchs as a guide because that would lead them down a blind
alley. I have often wondered if they actually knew what Fuchs turned
over and, if they had seen this diagram, whether they still would have
been quite so cavalier.
(pp. 222-223):
Finally, I want to discuss the question of whether the hydrogen
bomb should ever have been built in the first place. Let us recall the
events that led up to President Turman's decision. In August 1949, the
Russians successfully tested their first fission bomb. On January 27,
1950, Fuchs confessed to his espionage. In October 1949, there was a
four-day meeting of the General Advisory Committee of the Atomic
Energy Commission. This committee consisted of the highest-level
people in the weapons program. Rabi and Fermi were members, as was
Conant. Oppenheimer was chairman. The committee decided for various
reasons that there should not be a crash program to build the hydrogen
bomb and, above all, not one that was publicly announced. Some
members of the committee thought that the hydrogen bomb was not a
weapon of war but a method of genocide. Rabi and Fermi thought there
should be a conference with the Russians to seek an agreement not to
build it. If that failed, nothing would have been lost because, at the
time, no one had a clear idea of how to build one anyway. But, after
Fuchs's confession, the pressure on Truman to do something was
irresistible, and four days later he publicly announced a crash
program to build the hydrogen bomb. The predictable happened -- a
hydrogen bomb race. The Russians exploded theirs in 1952, the British
in 1955, the Chinese in 1967, and the French in 1968. Probably every
country that has atomic weapons is engaged in building the hydrogen
bomb. There is some sad irony in all of this. In the same 1952 Ivy
series there was a test called Ivy King. This was a pure fission bomb
-- no boosting -- that had been designed by Theodore Taylor of Los
Alamos. It produced a 500-kiloton yield. Now here is the irony. In
recent years the Russian and American nuclear strategists have
concluded that megaton bombs are unnecessary. The arsenals have been
cut back to bombs of several hundred kilotons. Put another way, if the
hydrogen bomb had never been built and pure fission bombs had
continued to be developed, then the Russian and American nuclear
arsenals would look about the same as they do now.
posted 2008-06-28
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