Friday, June 27, 2025
Loose Tabs
This is an occasional collection of newsworthy links and comments,
much less systematic than what I attempted in my late
Speaking of Which posts. The new name comes from my extensive
use of browser tabs. When I get around to cleaning up, I often find
tabs opened to old articles I might want to comment on and/or refer
back to. So
these posts are mostly
housecleaning, but may also serve as a very limited but persistent
record of what 20+ years ago I started calling "the end of the American
empire" and nowadays feels more like "the end of civilization." I
collect these bits in a
draft file, and flush them
out when periodically. My previous one appeared 23 days ago, on
June 4.
I've been busy working on the
Francis Davis Jazz Critics Poll: Mid-Year 2025, which may seem a
bit like "fiddling while Rome burns," but quite frankly, we'd all be
much better off catching up with this year's still-remarkable parade
of new jazz releases, including another bounty of dusted-off oldies,
than we are helplessly watching Fox and CNN regale us with what little
they can grasp of the world, and how little they -- let alone the
actors and ideologues they report on -- understand of it. Jazz is, after
all, music for people who take pleasure in thinking about what gives
them pleasure, and often who are willing to expose themselves to the
frontiers of human creativity. Politics is something nearly opposite:
it hurts to even think about it, in large part because it's hard to
recognize as human people who are so full of greed, petty hate, and
lust for power, the class of people who promote themselves as others'
expense, you know, the "newsmakers."
Note that the long comment on
Ezra Klein and the long intro on
Israel were written a couple weeks ago --
the latter after the bombing of Iran started, but I haven't tried
to update it. Most of the tweets were collected as the popped up.
(I could probably build whole posts out of them, but they'd be
even more scattered than this forum is.) The music stuff has also
been sitting around (but I should update the mid-year lists -- or
more likely, I may keep adding to that section). Most of the rest
of the comments are of recent vintage, even if the articles are a
bit old. No doubt I'm missing some major stories. One I'm aware
of is the New York mayoral primary, as a lot of my sources are
thrilled by how well Mamdani has fared and/or afraid of what
establishment Democrats may try to do to sabotage him. I'm
going to go ahead and post whatever I have by bedtime, then
return tomorrow to my jazz poll and whatever else I have need
of working on.
PS: I posted this, incomplete and scattered as it is,
end of Friday, figuring I should start Saturday off with a clean
state, to get back to working on the Poll. But my mailbox was
empty when I got up Saturday morning, and I noticed a couple
typos to fix here. (They're not flagged with change marks, which
only seem to work on whole blocks.) Then I found some more loose
tabs, so added a couple of those. I'll add more in my spare time
throughout the day, but there's clearly much more news that fits.
Posting the update on Monday, along with
Music Week.
I've been extremely swamped working on Poll stuff, so apologies for
all I missed or merely glossed over.
Israel: I'm loathe to group articles, but
there's too much here not to, especially given the rate at which it
is piling up. I've been thinking about revolution lately. It's taken
me a while because first I had to disabuse myself of the idea that
revolutions are good things. That idea was deeply cemented in my
brain because first I was taught that the American Revolution was
a good thing, overthrowing monarchy and aristocracy to establish
an independent self-governing democracy. Then the US Civil War was
a second good revolution, as it ended slavery. Such events, as well
as less violent upheavals like the New Deal and the movements of
the 1960s made for progress towards equal rights and justice for
all. Moreover, one could point to revolutions elsewhere that made
for similar progress, although they often seemed somewhat messier
than the American models. That progress seemed like an implacable
tectonic force, driving both revolution and reform. And when you
put more pressure on an object than it can resist, it either bends
or breaks. So I came to see revolutions not as heroic acts of good
intentions overcoming repression but as proof that the old order
is hard and can only give way by shattering. France and Russia are
the key examples: both absolute monarchies that could not reform,
so had to be overturned. China, Vietnam, and Cuba were variations
on that same theme. So was Iran, which was harder to see as any
kind of shift toward the progressive left.
Meanwhile, leftists became more aware of the downsides of
revolution, and wherever feasible more interested in reforms,
reducing militancy to ritualized non-violent protest. On the
other hand, while right-wingers also protest, they are more
likely to escalate to violence, probably because right-wing
regimes so readily resort to violence to maintain control. The
result is that revolutions are more likely to come from the
right these days than from the left. Which can be awkward for
people who were brought up to see revolutions as progressive.
I'm bringing this up under Israel because Israel's far-right
coalition government, going back to its formation before the
Gaza uprising of Oct. 7, 2023, makes much more sense when viewed
as a revolutionary force. The single defining feature of all
revolutionary forces is independent of their ideologies, which
are all over the map, but has to do with with simple discovery
that people previously denied power now find themselves free
to test their limits -- which leads them to act to excess, as
long as their is no significant resistance.
This may seem surprising given that Netanyahu has been in
power off-and-on since the late 1990s. While his sympathies
have always been with the far-right fringe of Zionism, and
he's consistently pushed the envelope of what's possible in
Israel and the world, he has always before exhibited a degree
of caution. But since Ben-Gvir and Smotrich, who were long
identified not just as outsiders but as criminals, joined his
coalition, they have effectively driven Israel's agenda: the
genocide in Gaza, expropriation and terrorism in the West Bank,
military adventurism in Lebanon and Syria, and not starting a
war with Iran. Only a truly revolutionary government can go
so far off the rails so fast and so carelessly.
Once you dispense with the assumption that revolutions have
to be progressive, you'll find plenty of other examples, both
left and right, some (like the French) oscillating between two
poles, some generated from below (like the French or Russian),
some from guerrilla wars (like Cuba and Afghanistan), some were
simply gifted (like the Red Army's installation of Kim Il Sung,
whose decision to invade the South was not directed by Moscow,
nor effectively throttled), or more relevant here Hindenburg's
appointment of Hitler as chancellor (the main difference between
Hindenburg and Netanyahu is that the former died soon and was
forgotten, whereas Netanyahu continues as the figurehead for a
regime spinning out of control.
One might note that Israel has always been a revolutionary
state (more or less). Ben-Gurion was more artful than Netanyahu,
but he always wanted much more than he could get, and took every
advantage to extend the limits of his power. Had he believed his
own rhetoric in 1947 when he was campaigning for the UN partition
plan, he would have legitimated his victory in 1950, but instead
he still refused to negotiate borders, biding his time while
building up the demographic, economic, and military strength to
launch future wars (as happened in 1956, 1967, 1982, up to this
very day. When his successor, Moshe Sharett, threatened peace,
he seized power again and put Israel back on its war path. He
was shrewd enough to caution against occupation in 1967, but as
soon as war seemed to triumph, he got swept up in the excitement.
Nothing stimulates the fanatic fervor of a revolutionary like
seeing what you took to be limits melt away. Just look at Hitler
after Munich, or Netanyahu after his American allies encouraged
his long-dreamt-of program of extermination.
We should be clear that until 2023, Israel's "final solution"
was just a dream -- not that it was never acted on (e.g., Deir Yassin),
but most dreams, no matter how vile, are harmlessly forgotten. We can
date it way back, easily through Ben-Gurion and Jabotinsky, perhaps to
the foundings of Zionism with Herzl. And we know well that settler
colonialism, even when one imagines and/or professes benign intentions,
is conducive to genocide -- perhaps not inexorably, but we have enough
of a sample to draw that conclusion. What allowed Israeli dreams to be
turned into action was the realization that the restraints which had
inhibited Israeli leaders in the past had lost all force, and could be
ignored with no consequences.
Richard Silverstein [06-06]
Shin Bet's Palestinian Proxies Are Gaza Gangsters: I've read a
ton of books on Israel/Palestine, but two I never got to but always
wished I had are Hillel Cohen's books on Israel's manipulation of
Palestinian collaborators: Army of Shadows: Palestinian Collaboration
with Zionism, 1917-1948 (2008), and Good Arabs: The Israeli
Security Agencies and the Israeli Arabs, 1948-1967. I imagine
the series could continue up to the present day, and will whenever
the relevant archives are opened. Given this history, that Israel
should be organizing and even arming Palestinian gangs is hardly
a surprise, but underscores more forcefully than ever the moral
bankruptcy of the occupation. Another lesson that one should draw
from this is the realization that if Israel wanted Palestinians
to have a stable and docile government, they could easily find
people to lead it, and deliver enough respect and dignity to keep
those leaders democratically elected. That they don't so isn't
due to the intransigent militance of the Palestinian masses, but
to their conviction that they can win by grinding the Palestinians
into dust.
Zack Beauchamp [06-13]
The Israel-Iran war hinges on three big things: "It's impossible
to know how this war will end. But here's how to make sense of it."
Section heads: "What is Israel's objective?"; "Can Iran fight back?";
"How does Iran think about the bomb after this?" All of these points
are fairly superficial: the first draws way too much on what Israel
says, much of which is obviously misleading; the others ignore what
Iran says, and especially the question of whether Iran wants to fight
back, or even to fight in the first place. Like many critics, this
piece attempts to approximate objectivity by hedging while remaining
trapped in a profoundly distorted cloud of propaganda. (The word I
first thought of was
noosphere, but I settled for a plainer term, which puts more
emphasis on its distinctly political construction. Beauchamp is
not an apologist for Israel, but he is also not fully independent
of a society that accepts the legitimacy of hasbara.) Beauchamp
followed this piece with more:
Zack Beauchamp [06-22]:
Three ways Trump's attack on Iran could spin out of control:
"How does this war end?" Which, of course, misses the obvious point,
which is that Israel doesn't want this (or any) war to end. They'd
be happy to keep periodically "mowing the grass," as they did for
well over a decade in Gaza, and if that ever blows back on them,
they'd be happy to demolish the entire country (especially given
that the prevailing winds for nuclear fallout are blowing away
from Israel). The only practical limit on Israel's warmaking is
financial: as long as the US is willing to foot the bills, and
the American political system is effectively a wholly owned
subsidiary of pro-Israeli donors, they're happy to fight on,
oblivious to the consequences.
- Zack Beauchamp [06-18]
Trump doesn't have a foreign policy: "What he has instead is
the promise of chaos." Instincts not reason, a blind faith that
chaos will always break in your favor. He surrounds himself with
people who tell him he's on a mission from God. And so far he's
gotten away with pretty much everything, so doubt and worry are
for losers.
- Eric Levitz [06-23]
3 ways Americans could pay for Trump's war with Iran: "The
conflict could take a toll in both blood and money." Section
heads: "How Trump's war on Iran could impact the economy";
"Trump's attack has put American soldiers in harm's way";
"Trump may have made an Iranian nuclear weapon more likely."
These are all pretty likely, and much more is remotely possible.
Israeli/US aggression against Iran is a species of the
Madman Theory, which can only work if the other side remains
sane. (Indeed, that's true for all deterrence theories.) One
problem here is that the more successful you are at decapitating
responsible enemy leadership, the more likely you are to promote
someone who's lost his marbles.
Chris Hedges [06-10]
Genocide by Starvation. Also led me to:
Tony Karon [06-18]
Tony Judt was right about Israel, wrong about the West. Bob Marley
did warn us: "As long as we rely on the existing constellations
of nation states, decolonization will remain a fleeting illusion,
to be pursued but never attained."
So, all stakeholders need to understand that they're not dealing with
the America they knew 30 or 20 or even 10 years ago. The crumbling
edifice has entirely collapsed, and is unlikely to return. There will
be no Pax Americana, because Washington no longer sees any incentive
to taking that level of responsibility for anything. As the President
sounds off like a cartoon gangster from an ancient Hollywood movie
threatening to murder Iran's leader and to devastate its capital. The
only sure bet here is that even if it did manage to topple Iran's
regime, the U.S. of today has no interest in sticking around to manage
the chaos that would follow. As Trump made clear in a recent speech in
Saudi Arabia, the U.S. is done with "nation-building." (And as it has
proven in Iraq and Afghanistan, its unmatched ability to destroy
things is paralleled by epic failure to build anything of use to it on
the ruins.
The end of the article is also worth quoting here:
Gramsci might have called it a morbid interregnum in which the old is
dying but the new is unable to be born. But as the late, great
Mike Davis wrote in what turned out to be his farewell missive,
"Everyone is quoting Gramsci on the interregnum, but that assumes that
something new will be or could be born. I doubt it. I think what we
must diagnose instead is a ruling class brain tumour: a growing
inability to achieve any coherent understanding of global change as a
basis for defining common interests and formulating large-scale
strategies . . . Unlike the high Cold War when politburos, parliaments,
presidential cabinets and general staffs to some extent countervailed
megalomania at the top, there are few safety switches between today's
maximum leaders and Armageddon. Never has so much fused economic,
mediatic and military power been put into so few hands."
Which means humanity only has a future to the extent that it can
take power from those destructive hands, and collectively chart a
different course independent of the tumor-stricken ruling classes
called out by Davis.
By the way, my favorite line in the Davis piece comes early:
"In a world where a thousand gilded oligarchs, billionaire sheikhs,
and Silicon deities rule the human future, we should not be surprised
to discover that greed breeds reptilian minds."
Ahmed Ahmed/Ibtisam Mahdi [06-20]
'The Hunger Games': Inside Israel's aid death traps for starving
Gazans: "Near-daily massacres as food distribution sites have
killed over 400 Palestinians in the past month alone."
Orly Noy [06-20]
Why everything Israelis think they know about Iran is wrong:
"For historian Lion Sternfeld, Israel's regime change fantasies
ignore realities inside Iran and risk repeating historic mistakes."
Jamal Kanj [06-25]
Ceasefire Not Peace: How Netanyahu and AIPAC Outsourced Israel's
War to Trump? This article explains a lot about Israel's policy
of sowing chaos throughout the Middle East, dating it to the 1982
Yinon Plan. That's one I was unfamiliar with, but it makes a
lot of sense, and is consistent with a lot of otherwise bizarre
behavior, like the practice of seemingly random bombings of Syria
(and Lebanon and Iraq and now Iran) just meant to inflict terror.
In 1979, after the Carter-brokered peace agreement with Egypt,
Israel could have negotiated similar deals with Syria, Jordan,
and Lebanon, and come up with some kind of decent implementation
of their promise of "autonomy" for the remaining Palestinians, but
instead they lashed out at Lebanon and doubled down on repression
and settlement in the occupied territories. I don't know whether
the Yinon Plan was a blueprint or just a reflection of the mindset
which Begin had brought to power, but which was latent in previous
decades of Labor Zionism.
Vijay Prashad [06-25]
Why the US Strikes on Iran Will Increase Nuclear Weapons
Proliferation. This is pretty obvious, yet rarely seems to be
factored into the war plans of the US and Israel, which invariably
underestimate future risks. But there is little evidence that the
US cares about nonproliferation anymore.
Rahman Bouzari [06-26]
Against Israel's New Middle East Vision. Israel "issued an
evacuation order for Tehran"?
Jeff Halper [06-24]
Global Palestine: Israel, the Palestinians, the Middle East and the
World After the American Attack on Iran.
Medea Benjamin/Nicolas JS Davies [06-25]
How the US & Israel Used Rafael Grossi to Hijack the IAEA and
Start a War on Iran. Grossi is Director General of the watchdog
group that is supposed to monitor nuclear power and weapons programs
around the world. This has a lot of detail on its operations and how
the information they collect can be abused.
Richard Silverstein [06-23]
Regime Change in Iran Will Not End Well.
- Asa Winstanley [06-10]
Illegal police raid on my home won't stop me covering Gaza: "The
police broke the law when they ransacked my house. When will they stop
harassing pro-Palestine journalists?" Winstanley is British, author of
the book, Weaponising Anti-Semitism: H ow the Israel Lobby Brought
Down Jeremy Corbyn (2023).
Branko Marcetic [06-18]
Tulsi said Iran not building nukes. One senator after another
ignored her: "seems like an odd thing to do unless you really
want to go to war."
Tom Collina [06-08]
Killing the Iran nuclear deal was one of Trump's biggest failures.
It's not unusual for bad decisions to take years to mature into
full-blown catastrophes. Not that he didn't produce enough immediate
disasters, but the tragic costs of Trump's first term continue to
emerge. Trump's surrender to Israel in scuttling the JCPOA, along
with his let's-just-normalize-business-and-fuck-the-Palestinians
Abraham Accords, as well as his signal that the US would always
back Israel no questions asked, have lead directly to the current
war and genocide. He bungled Ukraine and Afghanistan as bad, and
probably North Korea too (although thus far Kim Jong Un has had
the good sense not to embarrass him there). Back when Trump was
first elected, I stressed that his presidency would result in
four severe years of opportunity costs. The assumption there was
that most of what he did wrong could later be reversed. That's
proven difficult, and not just for lack of trying -- Biden not
only didn't reverse Trump on Israel and Ukraine but made matters
worse, and that's probably true, if less evident, for Afghanistan
and North Korea as well. His second term is likely to be even
more irreversible.
Jamal Abdi [06-29]
How Biden Is to Blame for Israel and the US's 12-Day War Against
Iran: "Biden's failure to reenter Obama's nuclear deal helped
create the risk for a potentially catastrophic US war against
Iran."
Jason Ditz [06-12]
Israeli Minister Calls for Israeli Control Over Syria and Lebanon:
So says Avichai Eliyahu, Heritage Minister and grandson of a former
Sephardi Chief Rabbi, whose solution for Gaza is
"they
need to starve."
Jonah Shepp [06-21]
'Regime Change' Won't Liberate Iran: Not that anyone in Israel
or the US cares a whit about liberating Iran. Nudging it from one
orbit of misery to another, preferably lower one, is all they
really care about.
Mitchell Plitnick [06-27]:
What comes next following the US-Israeli war on Iran?
Follows up on his previous article:
- Mitchell Plitnick [06-13]:
How Israel and the US manufactured a fake crisis with Iran that could
lead to all-out war. I think he's right that nothing that happened
has turned out very satisfactorily for any party. However, his reason
for Israel starting the war needs a bit of elaboration: "The purpose
of 'Iran nuclear issue' sham is and has always been to create a
regime-change bloc in Washington and Brussells to force the Islanic
Republic from power." "Regime change" in Iran isn't a realistic goal,
but it holds out the false promise of an end to the war other than
complete failure, which helps keep the Washington and Bussells blocs
bound to, and subservient to, Israel.
Jeremy R Hammond [06-26]
Lessons Unlearned from Israel's Bombing of Iraq's Osirak Reactor:
"The claim that Israel's bombing of Iraq's Osirak reactor in 1981
halted or set back Saddam Hussein's efforts to acquire a nuclear
weapons capability is a popular myth."
Elfadil Ibrahim [06-24]
Israeli-fueled fantasy to bring back Shah has absolutely no juice.
That the author even considers the hypothetical gives this idea far
more credit than it deserves.
Sanya Mansoor [06-27]
Israeli soldiers killed at least 410 people at food aid sites in
Gaza this month: "Israeli soldiers and officers have said they
were ordered to shoot at unarmed civilians waiting for food in
Gaza."
Yanis Varoufakis [05-06]
In the EU nothing succeeds like gross failure: The astonishing case
of Ursula von der Leyen. She is president of the European Union,
elected for a second term, and recipient of some big deal prize,
although she's mostly been in the news lately for her cheerleading
of Israel's Gaza genocide.
Eric Alterman [05-08]
The Coming Jewish Civil War Over Donald Trump: "Trump is offering
American Jews a kind of devil's bargain: throw in with us against the
antisemitic universities and campus rabble-rousers, but pay no attention
as we dismantle the traditions and institutions that Jews value."
This article has a lot of useful information, especially the first
section which shows pretty clearly how Trump is still an anti-semite,
and how his particular brand of anti-semitism is especially ominous
for American Jews.
Gabrielle Gurley [05-20]
Republicans Break the Weather: "The private sector can't match
the value proposition of the National Weather Service, but companies
work to entice Americans to pay up anyway. What happens if they
can't?"
Phil Freeman [05-22]
Why Do You Hate Jazz? Who, me? This is Freeman's monthly column,
with his monthly batch of 10 jazz album reviews (5 I've heard, only one
A- so far:
Horace Tapscott), but his intro is a review of a book by
Andrew Berish, Hating Jazz: A History of Its Disparagement, Mockery,
and Other Forms of Abuse (2025, University of Chicago Press).
Turns out that neither Berish nor Freeman hate jazz, and of course
there are things one can learn from their chronicle of people who do.
But I'm not exactly psyched to find out. It's a bit like trying to
survey "unhappy families": there are so many, so different, and
ultimately so pointless. I should, however, check out the other
five albums Freeman likes.
Adam Tooze [05-23]
Chartbook 387: What fires burned at Auschwitz? On the place of the
Holocaust in uneven and combined development. This is a long
and very technical piece, the main point being to argue against
exaggerating the size and importance of the "death factories" in
comparison to much larger logistical concerns of running the war.
Toward the end of the article, Tooze also mentions the Manhattan
Project: "In this sense the coincidence of the Final Solution and
the Manhattan project is significant, not for their identity, but
because of the juxtaposition of two such incongruous projects of
modern killing." Among Tooze's many recent posts, a couple more
that caught my eye:
[06-08]
Chartbook 389: Europe's zombie armies. Or how to spend $3.1 trillion
and have precious little to show for it. "European militaries
are repeatedly out of their depths in facing the new world created
by Russia attack on Ukraine." The American solution is to spend
vast additional sums on warmaking systems -- "to increase their
budgets to 3.5 percent of GDP, or even 5 percent" -- but what will
they get for all that money? (I was tempted to say "bang for the
buck," but bang is about all they'd get.) Relevant here:
[06-20]
Chartbook 392: Incoming from outer space: The geo-military radicalism
of Iran v. Israel 2025. "It takes a conscious effort to comprehend
just how extraordinary this war is."
I don't mean by that the politics of the Iran-Israel clash: the huge
international effort to anathematize the idea of an Iranian nuke; or
the conflation of Israel's utterly ruthless strategy of preemption and
regional dominance with anodyne assertions of its right to self-defense.
I mean the strangeness and novelty of the war itself, as a war.
Tooze focuses on technical issues, the rockets and the distances
and the extreme difficulty of intercepting ICBMs, and adds this on
top of the vast expansion of drone warfare, which he associates
with Ukraine/Russia but was largely developed by the US since
2001. This leaves aside the more political and philosophical
points, like why did anyone think this high-tech warfare would
work in the first place?
[06-22]
Chartbook 393: Whither China? - World Economy Now, June 2025
Edition: ". . . or 'Quality into quantity': how to see China's
historic development through the veil of macroeconomics." Nearly
everything I read about China's economy reeks of preconception and
self-absorption, often in support of a transparent political agenda.
This one present a ton of information -- much more than I can deal
with at the moment -- without the stench, perhaps because there is
no stab at a conclusion: just the observation that self-identity
as a "developing country" allows for an even brighter future.
"Once you are 'advanced,' you are declining."
Barry S Edwards [05-29]
Why Did Americans Elect a Felon Instead of a Prosecutor: I would
have started with the observation that a great many Americans actually
admire criminals. As someone whose childhood was rooted in the years
when the
Hays Office Code was still in effect, I tend to date this to the
emergence of TV shows like
It Takes a Thief (1968-70) and movies like
The Dirty Dozen (1967), which showed how bad people could be
employed to "do good" as defined by American political powers, but
said powers' culpability for criminal malfeasance goes back deeper,
becoming even more obvious during the Vietnam War. But Edwards starts
with mass incarceration. While that could be cited as evidence that
Americans are sticklers for rules, it also exposes how arbitrary and
capricious the police state is, which erodes confidence in what they
call justice. In that system, it is easy to see prosecutors as cruel
political opportunists, and "criminals" as their victims -- even
when they're as guilty as Trump.
Also at Washington Monthly:
Jared Abbott/Dustin Guastella [05-30]
What Caused the Democrats' No-Show Problem in 2024? "New data
sheds light on the policy preferences of nonvoting Democrats in
the last election." They add "it may disappoint some progressives,"
but it looks to me like data we can work with. Unlike the cartoon
progressives characterized here, I don't have any real complaints
that Harris didn't run on sufficiently progressive policy stances.
The big problem she (and many other Democrats) had was that voters
didn't believe they would or could deliver on their promises. And
a big part of that was because they cozied up to the rich and put
such focus on raising money that voters often felt they were an
afterthought, or maybe not even that.
Sarah Viren [06-06]
A Professor Was Fired for Her Politics. Is That the Future of
Academia? "Maura Finkelstein is one of many scholars discovering
that the traditional protections of academic freedom are no longer
holding."
Ezra Klein [06-08]
The Problems Democrats Don't Like to See: The co-author of
Abundance defends his book and its political program, mostly
from critics on the left, who see it as warmed-over, trickle-down
growth fetishism that pro-business centrist ("new") Democrats have
been have been peddling as the only viable alternative to whatever
it is that Republicans have been peddling since Reagan or Goldwater.
Unfortunately, both of these ideologies are often critiqued, or just
labeled, as "neoliberalism": indeed, they have much in common, most
notably the view that private sector capitalism is the only true
driving force in the economy, even as it requires increasing favors
from the public, including tolerance of high degrees of inequality,
corruption, and deceit; the main difference is in ethics, where
Democrats tend to be liberal (which is more often hands-off than
helping), and Republicans tend to be laissez-faire (which is to
say none, or more specifically that any pursuit of money is to be
honored), not that they aren't quite eager to impose constraints
on others (sometimes as "morality," often just as power). I wish
we could straighten this terminological muddle out, as the net
effect is to make the "neoliberal" term unusable, and the themes
indescribable. This extends to "neoconservative," which has no
practical distinction from "neoliberal": they are simply Janus
masks, where the former is used to look mean, and the latter to
look kind.
Klein's article originally had a different title:
The Abundance Agenda Has Its Own Theory of Power. By the way,
that link is from a reddit thread. I've never paid any attention
to reddit, but the link has a number of interesting and insightful
comments, including this one:
I think Ezra is largely right that the populist left needs to: a)
work off of an actual coherent vision of the world and b) understand
the risks of simplifying policy to simplify politics
To which someone else adds:
It's unironically even simpler than this and makes it wild that the
progressives have been unable to figure out Abundance. The entire book
and thesis can be boiled down to "the party of big government needs
to make government actually work."
That's it. That's the whole thing. The rest of it is presenting
theories for different areas that need more or less regulation, for
enabling policy to take shape, etc. But that's literally the entire
bag. . . .
It's not about a platform for winning elections, it's about
materially making peoples' lives better so that they trust you
when you say you want to do things.
One thing I've repeatedly tried to stress is that there are major
asymmetries between the two big political parties. One is that while
both parties have to compete to win votes -- for better or worse,
most effectively by impugning the other party -- only the Democrats
actually have to deliver on their promises by governing effectively.
Republicans have cynically peddled the line that government is the
problem, so all they are promising is to hobble it (for which they
have many easy tools, including tax cuts, deregulation, corruption,
and incompetence). Needless to say, when Republican administrations
succeed in their sabotage, Americans are likely to vote them out,
but by then they've dug enough holes that Democrats can never quite
build their way out, let along deliver tangible benefits, leaving
Republicans set up for the next round of political demagoguery.
So I think we should welcome whatever help Klein & Thompson
have to offer toward making Democratic government more competent
and fruitful. However, before one can implement policy, one has to
win elections, so it's no surprise that Democrats of all stripes
will focus immediately on the book's political utility. That's why
Klein is perplexed: that the Democrats he was most critical of --
"blue-state governors like Gavin Newsom and Kathy Hochul and top
Obama and Biden administration officials" who actually had power
they could work with but have little to show for their efforts --
have embraced the "Abundance agenda," while "some of my friends
on the populist left" have raised objections. He then goes on to
develop his "theory of power," contrasting his own "more classically
liberal" credo against "the populist theory of power," under which
"bad policy can be -- and often is -- justified as good politics."
This part of his argument is somewhat less than coherent -- even if
I gave up my reluctance to accept his redefinition of "populism" --
and unlikely to be useful anyway.[*]
In his conclusion, Klein says:
So I don't see any contradiction between "Abundance" and the goals of
the left. I don't think achieving the goals of the modern left is even
possible without the overhaul of the state that "Abundance" envisions.
I haven't read his book[**], so I can't point to specifics one way
or the other, but I also don't see the contradiction: there certainly
are goods and services that we could use more of, and that's even more
true elsewhere in the world. And it would be good to produce them more
efficiently, at lower cost, and/or higher quality, which is to say that
we should work on better systems and policies. But while I don't doubt
that there is room for growth on the supply side, the larger problem
for most people is distribution: making sure that everyone's needs are
met, which isn't happening under our current system of price-rationed
scarcity. A more explicit identification with the left, including more
emphasis on distribution, and acknowledgment of other important issues
like precarity, debt, and peace, would have improved his points about
building things and trust.
It also would have made his agenda harder to co-opt by Democratic
politicians who are basically bought and paid for by rich donors, who
seem to be little troubled by rare it is that most of their voters
ever benefit from the crumbs left over from their corruption. As
Robinson points out, "They insist that their agenda is not incompatible
with social democracy and wealth redistribution. But it's clearly a
different set of priorities." It's a set of priorities that cause no
alarm to the donor class, and may even whet their appetite, and that's
why their agenda has the appeal it has, and is drawing the criticism
it deserves.[***]
[*] In Kansas, where Thomas Frank and I were born, populism
was a decidedly
left-wing movement, mostly rooted in debt-saddled free farmers (like
my great-grandfather, not that I know anything about his politics).
Frank defends this view in The People, No!
A Brief History of Anti-Populism (2020). Also see his especially
biting critique of the business/financial wing of the Democratic Party,
Listen, Liberal! Or What Ever Happened to the Party of the People?
(2016). It's easy to condemn liberals as elitist when they recoil so
fervently against common folk, even if in theory they believe everyone
should share in their blessings. As for theories of power, there are
some that make sense. The largely forgotten Rooseveltian countervailing
powers is one, with faint echoes in recent antitrust and pro-union
work. Anarchists have a more negative theory of power -- negative both
in the sense that power is intrinsically bad, and that in almost always
generating resentment and blowback it is dysfunctional. As a child, I
was exposed to the saying, "power corrupts, and absolute power corrupts
absolutely," and I've found that to be true.
[**] I wouldn't rule out reading the book in the future, especially
if I find myself in need of boning up on certain technical issues like
housing and infrastructure development. I read Klein's Why We're
Polarized (2020), and found it to be worthwhile, especially for
citing and digesting a lot of technical political science literature.
I certainly wouldn't read him to expose him as an idiot and/or crook,
as Nathan J Robinson suggests in his review below. I also wouldn't
read Matthew Yglesias's One Billion Americans: The Case for Thinking
Bigger (2020) for that reason, although I'd probably find even more
evidence there.
[***] Aside from political agenda and policy mechanics -- various
critiques on specific policies, especially their lack of concern for
"intellectual property" rents, which is a major cost concern, a source
of artificial scarcity -- there is a third strain of criticism, having
to do with growth itself. There is good reason to acknowledge that
sooner or later growth will have to slow and stabilize, or we will
eventually fall victim to crashes. This was my initial reaction to
"Abundance," and one I'd like to return to at some point, but while
such crashes may hypothetically not be distant in the future, they
could be much better managed if only people were more able to deal
with immediately pressing political problems.
Nathan J Robinson [06-13]
Abandon "Abundance": "The latest Democratic fad sidelines equality
and justice in favor of a focus on cutting red tape. This is not the
path forward." After having complained about the masochism of having
to read the book -- even after he's repeatedly made sport of dissecting
much more obvious right-wing dimwits -- at least he admits this much:
"Some of what's in Abundance is both true and important." The
question this raises is whether, from a practical political standpoint,
it does more good to cite Abundance in support of the "true and
important" bits, or to discredit Klein & Thompson for the parts
they get wrong, or that they use disingenuously. Robinson focuses on
the latter, but that's what you'd expect from a critic (or just a
rigorous thinker). For instance, he points out their use of
motte-and-bailey arguments, which allow common sense to be
turned into exaggerated claims, which when challenged can retreat
into common sense. (I mean, who doesn't hate red tape?) Supporters
can then pick and choose among such claims. For example, "Klein
might personally believe in wealth redistribution and unions, but
he's offered a great program for billionaires who don't want us to
talk about the predations of the health insurance industry or big
corporations crushing union drives. Let's talk about zoning reform
instead!" He also points out how the authors ingratiate themselves
with Democratic royalists by misrepresenting critics on the left:
especially, "they spend more pages criticizing Ralph Nader and the
degrowth movement (both politically marginal) than they do explaining
how corporate power stands in the way of, for example, a universal
healthcare system."
Nathan J Robinson [2024-12-03]
Matt Yglesias Is Confidently Wrong About Everything: "The Biden
administration's favorite centrist pundit produces smug psuedo-analysis
that cannot be considered serious thought. He ought to be permanently
disregarded." Yglesias and Klein are bound together as co-founders of
Vox, from which they both bounded for more lucrative pastures. Yglesias
in particular has repeatedly been a pioneer in new ways to exploit the
internet. I read a lot by him for a long time, finally losing interest
when he left Vox for Bloomberg and Substack and made his bid for the
Thomas Friedman market with his One Billion Americans -- which
fits in here as a prototype for Abundance. Because this piece
came out back in December (when I was avoiding any and all news sources),
Robinson doesn't dwell on that connections, while dwelling on numerous
other faux pas. (It's impossible for me to mention either Yglesias or
Klein in my household without being reminded of their support for the
Iraq War.) I also just discovered that Robinson wrote a review of
One Billion People back on [2020-11-13]:
Why Nationalism Is a Brain Disease.
By the way, Mamdani showed us how a leftist can take the
Abundance arguments and build on them instead of just
carping about their compromises and blind spots, see:
Plain English with Derek Thompson [06-23]
NYC Mayoral Candidate Zohran Mamdani on Abundance, Socialism, and How
to Change a Mind: An interview by the co-author of Abundance.
Mamdani opens with a very precise and polished argument:
As someone who is very passionate about public goods, about public
service, I think that we on the left have to be equally passionate
about public excellence. And one of the most compelling things that
I think Abundance has brought into the larger conversation
is how we can make government more effective, how we can actually
deliver on the very ideas that we are so passionate about, and a
recognition of the fact that any example of public inefficiency
is an opportunity for the argument to be made against the very
existence of the public sector.
And so to truly make the case time and time again that local
government has a role in providing that which is necessary to
live a dignified life, you have to ensure that every example of
government's attempt to do so is one that is actually successful.
And I think that's what speaks to me about abundance. And I think
that's the line in the speech that speaks of both who we're fighting
for but also the fact that we're delivering on that fight. And it's
one that is actually experienced each and every day by New Yorkers
across the five boroughs.
Batul Hassan [06-23]
Zohran Mamdani Is Proposing Green Abundance for the Many: Among
other things, quotes Bernie Sanders, with his own framing: "The
government must deliver an agenda of abundance that puts the 99
percent over the 1 percent."
Ross Barkan [03-26]
Why 'Abundance' Isn't Enough: Looking for more of Sanders'
thinking on Abundance, I found this, which posits Sanders
as the better alternative. I don't see that one has to make the
choice. But what should be clear is that inequality is the big
picture problem, which cannot be ignored when dealing with smaller,
more technical problems like "abundance."
Ben Rhodes [06-08]
Corruption Has Flooded America. The Dams Are Breaking. I don't
doubt that crypto represents yet another higher stage of corruption
than ever before, but the dams broke long ago, most obviously in
the "greed is good" 1980s, not that they ever held much water in
the first place. "President Trump has more than doubled his personal
wealth since starting his 2024 election campaign." But most of that
is phony paper wealth, slathered onto his corpulence like flattery.
Henry Grabar [06-10]
It's Robotaxi Summer. Buckle Up. "Waymo and Tesla offer competing --
and potentially bleak -- futures for self-driving cars in society."
Doug Henwood [06-13]
We Have Always Lived in the Casino: "John Maynard Keynes warned
that when real investment becomes the by-product of speculation, the
result is often disaster. But it's hard to tell where one ends and
the other begins." I flagged this because it seems like an interesting
article, but I can't read it because it's behind their paywall.
Speaking of which, some more articles I clicked on but cannot read:
- Adam Serwer [05-27]
The New Dark Age: "The Trump administration has launched an attack
on knowledge itself." Starts talking about "the warlords who sacked
Rome," suggesting that they were less culpable than Trump for the
benighted period that followed the collapse of the Roman Empire.
Maybe, or maybe not. But having read Jane Jacobs' Dark Ages
Ahead (2005), I'm inclined to view Trump and his minions less
as instigators of a Dark Age than as an example.
- Adam Serwer [06-08]
Musk and Trump Still Agree on One Thing: "Whatever they may be
fighting about, they are both committed to showering tax cuts on
Americans who already have more than they need."
Jeffrey St Clair
[06-13]
Roaming Charges: From the Halls of Montezuma to the Shores of Venice
Beach: "It's becoming clearer and clearer every day that the
South finally won the Civil War and the Insurrectionists won J6."
Also: "The drones are coming home to roost." Also quotes Greg
Grandin: "Only fools believed Trump is somehow antiwar. He's not
a break with neocons but their evolution."
[06-27]
Roaming Charges: After Midnight: "Trump mega-bombed a mountain
in Iran and called it peace." St Clair doubts the effectiveness of
the bombing. I don't have any particular stake in that argument.
Anything that was damaged in the bombing, including the people
who were killed or maimed, can be replaced easily enough. The
physics and technology of nuclear weapons have been understood
since the 1940s. At the end of WWII, the US rounded up all of
Germany's atomic physicists and holed them up on a farm on rural
England. They had spent years fiddling and fumbling in their
efforts to build even a simple reactor, but what confused them
was their uncertainty that it might work. Within two days of
hearing about Hiroshima, they figured out a functional design.
They couldn't build one. That took the Russians four more years,
not because they had to figure out how it worked, but because
the materials were hard to come by, and the processes complex.
It took France, China, Israel, India, Pakistan, and North Korea
even longer, but they all did it, and the timelines have more
to do with motivation than with skill. A number of other nations,
most obviously Germany and Japan, have demonstrated they have
all the skills they need. It is, after all, easier to get a bomb
to blow up than it is to keep a power plant from melting down.
Iran, too, has amply demonstrated that they have the necessary
skills, and for that matter the materiel. Netanyahu was probably
right way back in the 1990s that Iran could produce atomic bombs
from their program within 3-5 years, or 6-12 months, or whatever
time frame he was projecting to panic his people and allies. That
Iran never met his timelines is primarily because they didn't see
the point of actually having nuclear weapons. Perhaps they were
thinking that if Israel and America could see that they could,
that would be enough of a deterrent to keep them from being
attacked. Perhaps that thinking even worked until now. The big
problem with the "madman theory" is that it assumes the other
side will always be the sane one, without bothering to examine
one's own sanity in contemplating such a contest. Iran's quite
rational notion of deterrence failed because Netanyahu and Trump
have not only called Iran's bluff, they've upped the ante, giving
Iran the one necessity it was lacking: motivation. The gamble is
that Iran will still realize that nuclear weapons are useless, a
fool's game. They only seem to have value as a deterrent, but
that no longer works against Netanyahu and Trump, who act like
they're daring Iran in hopes of burying the entire country under
mushroom clouds. After all, what's the point of nuclear superiority
if you can't use it to extort your enemies and force them to submit
to your will?
Also linked here:
Further down, St Clair spots a tweet by Stephen Miller:
The commentary about NYC Democrats nominating an anarchist-socialist
for Mayor omits one point: how unchecked migration fundamentally
remade the NYC electorate. Democrats change politics by changing
voters. That's how you turn a city that defined US dominance into
what it is now.
That's a fairly accurate description of New York City, but from
the 1880s through 1910s, when borders really were open (albeit only
for whites). The result was a long series of Irish-, Italian-, and
Jewish-American mayors. And he's right that their descendents,
mostly with Democratic mayors, led New York City to a dominant
position in American finance and culture. They've also made it
the richest and least affordable city in America, but even with
all that wealth few New Yorkers see Republican nihilism as an
attractive proposition.
Peter Shamshiri [06-16]
The Politics of Eternal Distraction: "To some Democrats, everything
Trump does is designed to distract you." It's taken Democrats an awful
long time to realize that much of what Trump does is sheer distraction,
so when they point that out, along comes someone to attack you for
overstating your insight: after all, some of what Trump does is so
plainly damaging that he needs this other crap to distract you from
what he's really doing. I can't sort this out right now, but I'd
caution against thinking that the "distractions" are the harmless
parts: they often reveal what Trump is thinking, even where he
doesn't have the capacity to deliver. That he even says he wants
to do something profoundly stupid should make you suspicious of
everything else, even if superficially plausible. But also you
have to guard against getting carried away responding to every
feint he throws your way. The word "distraction" can help in
that regard, if immediately followed by redirecting back to
something important.
Charlotte Klein [06-19]
Are You a $300,000 Writer? "Inside The Atlantic's
extremely expensive hiring spree." A certain amount of professional
jealousy is inevitable with articles like this, and is indeed much
of the interest. I mean, they could hire me for much less than any
of these writers I've mostly never heard of, and I could write some
genuinely interesting content -- mostly innovative engineering
solutions to tricky political problems -- that won't read like
everyone else's warmed-over punditry. On the other hand, I
probably wouldn't want to write what they're so eager to pay
for. I don't know who's footing the bills behind their current
menu, but they're up to no good.
Scott Lemieux [06-19]
Getting the war criminals back together: Quotes Elisabeth
Bumiller seeking the sage advise of a washed up US General:
One person who sees little similarity between the run up to Iraq and
now is David H. Petraeus, the general who commanded American forces in
Iraq and Afghanistan and led the 101st Airborne Division in the
initial invasion in Baghdad. "This is clearly the potential run up to
military action, but it's not the invasion of a country," he said on
Wednesday.
Mr. Trump, he said, should deliver an ultimatum to Ayatollah Ali
Khamenei, the supreme leader of Iran, and order him to agree to the
complete dismantlement of his nuclear program or face "the complete
destruction of your country and your regime and your people." If the
supreme leader rejects the ultimatum, Mr. Petraeus said, "that
improves our legitimacy and then reluctantly we blow them to
smithereens."
Nobody's even talking about fixing Iran here. There's no warning
that "if you break it, you own it." They just want to fuck it up,
leave it bruised and bleeding in a ditch somewhere, washing their
hands of the whole affair . . . unless they have to come back and
do it again, which they probably will. Sheer nihilists, because
that's the power they think they have.
Ryan Cooper [06-20]
Climate Change Will Bankrupt the Country: "Climate-fueled disasters
cost America almost a trillion dollars over the last year, far more
than economists predicted." By "economists" he's referring to work by
William Nordhaus, which he was critical of at the time and even more
so now. The price tag will only continue to rise, and with it private
insurance becomes increasingly untenable. While this will be bad for
everyone, the ones with the most to lose are property owners and
lenders, who will experience ever greater precarity, and no doubt
will finally be driven to attempt to socialize their risks. This
will be a huge political factor in coming years. The phrase "too
big to fail" will haunt us. And while one may debate the merits of
bailing out individual companies, the whole country poses a
somewhat different problem: who's big enough to bail us all out?
Josh Dawsey/Rebecca Ballhaus [06-20]
Stephen Miller's Fingerprints Are on Everything in Trump's Second
Term: "The deputy chief of staff has played an outsize role in
immigration -- and amassed more power than almost anyone else at the
White House." Also on Miller:
Naomi Bethune [06-24]
ICE Impersonators Proliferate Amid the Agency's Undercover
Tactics: "Pretending to be an ICE agent to commit crimes is
disturbingly easy."
David Klion [06-24]
State of Exception: National Security Governance, Then and Now.
Carol Schaeffer [06-27]
NATO Rolls Out the Red Carpet for Trump, the President Who Would Be
King: "The NATO secretary general has one
mission: Keep Trump happy. And to keep Trump happy, you sacrifice
your difnity and treat him like a monarch." I haven't followed the
recent NATO summit or anything else tied to the organization, like
NATO's ringing endorsement of bombing Iran, or the recent pledges
to radically increase military spending (see
"#0523Tooze">Tooze above), but it appears that Europe's military
elite have overcome their first-term jitters and Biden-interregnum
relief with the realization that it isn't ideological for Trump:
you just have to suck up and pay up. And that seems to be what's
going on here. What isn't clear yet is whether their governments
will go along with the charade. Being a general has been a pretty
pointless job in Europe since 1948 -- or since the 1960s for those
states still holding down their colonies -- but irrelevancy has
led to some degree of autonomy, which seems to be at play here.
And if all it takes to make Trump happy is to buy a lot of crap
and scrape and bow (or curtly salute), that just feathers their
nests. The risk, of course, is that some Madeleine Albright will
come along and dare them to use their arms, starting wars that
will inevitably turn sour, but for now, Trump is a bonanza.
- Anatol Lieven [06-20]
The 17 Ukraine war peace terms the US must put before NATO.
I originally had the Schaeffer article hung under a mere mention
of this piece, then rediscovered it and wrote a longer comment,
so I moved this piece here. Meanwhile, I wrote something longer
on this piece into the drafts file, figuring I'd return to it
later. I still may, but seeing as how it's already in play, let
me quote myself here:
"Threats must be imposed if either side or both reject these
demands. The time is now." I've followed Lieven closely from
well before Putin's military invasion of Ukraine, and I've
found him to be a generally reliable guide, but I'm scratching
my head a bit here. Certainly, if they all agreed to
these 17 terms, far be it from me to object. But about half
of them seem to add unnecessary complications just to check
off superfluous talking points. For instance, "7. Ukraine
introduces guarantees for Russian linguistic and cultural
rights into the constitution. Russia does the same for
Ukrainians in Russia." Why should either nation have its
sovereignty so restrained? The first part was part of the
Minsk Accords, and turned out to be a major sticking point
for Ukrainian voters. Besides, the ceasefire line effectively
removes most Russian-speakers from Ukraine. And how many
Ukrainians are still living in Russian-occupied territory?
The arms/NATO provisions also strike me as added complexity,
especially on issues that should be addressed later. In the
long run, I'm in favor of disbanding NATO, but that needs to
be a separate, broader negotation with Russia, not something
that is partly tucked into ending the war in Ukraine. I could
expand on this, but not here, yet.
Ukraine is now wrapped up in the larger question of NATO,
where the question is increasingly whether Europe will continue
to accept its subordinate role in the imposition of a regime of
Israeli-American militarism. For now, those in power seem
willing to play (and pay) along, but how long will such an
attitude remain popular in supposed democracies?
No More Mister Nice
Blog: This might as well become a regular feature. I've skipped
over a few pieces, mostly about the NYC mayor race, which are also
of interest:
[06-10]:
Gosh, if only there were a way to test the premise that the LA protests
are an "80-20 issue" favoring Republicans: "Hand-wringing Trump
critics think America won't vote for a candidate who's linked to
controversial protests, and they cling to this belief even though
America just elected the guy who did January 6." He also
offers some sound advice:
Why can't Trump critics be advocates for their own side? Why must they
echo right-wing critiques of the protest movement? Given the way most
Americans consume news these days, I'm guessing that it might not
register on many voters that the protestors are waving Mexican flags
(and that they should see this as a moral outrage) until they start
hearing about the flags from both sides. (Compare this to the
war on "woke" language: I'm sure most voters have now heard the word
"Latinx" far more often from centrist Democratic language police than
they have from actual "woke" Democrats.)
I'll say it again: If your critique of
Democrats/liberals/progressives echoes right-wing critiques, shut
up. You're just an extra megaphone for the right, which doesn't
need any help getting its messages out. . . . So please stop the
tone policing, and stick up for your side.
My bold.
[06-11]:
Trump came into office wishing a mf'er would: "Two commentators
I respect . . . believe that Donald Trump is militarizing Los Angeles
out of weakness. I don't think that's true."
[06-13]:
Everyone knows that only Republicans are normal!: "They're
engaging in totalitarian repression, obviously, but they claim
they're freeing people." Exmaples of Republican "normalcy"
follow.
Republicans struggle with the idea that anyone could possibly want to
live in a place where people are of very different ethnic backgrounds,
speak different languages, and have different religious beliefs (or
non-beliefs), just as they struggle with the idea that anyone could be
unalterably gay or bi or pan or trans just because they aren't. They
struggle with the idea that anyone would want to live in a city where
you can do most of your errands in a fifteen-minute radius, because
they're used to long drives whenever you have to run
errands. Increasingly, they're selling the message that everyone wants
a marriage consisting of a male breadwinner and a stay-at-home
"tradwife" who gives birth to large numbers of children, after
marrying young (and preferably as a virgin), and they can't believe
anyone really wants a life that's different from that.
It is true that Republicans have chosen to represent an imagined
majority: a large bloc of people who can be characterized as "true
Americans" and flattered as "patriots." They can be treated as a
socially and economically cohesive bloc, with some sleight of hand
added to line them up behind the true economic powers. This has
always been true: it was built into the design of the Republican
Party in the 1850s, when white, protestant free soil farmers and
small-time business and labor actually formed something close to
a majority of voters. That's baked into the initials GOP, which
writers (including me) find irresistible because we tire of overly
repeating words, especially "Republican." (It's effectively a
proprietary pronoun. One of the many asymmetries of our warped
politics is that Democrats don't have an equivalent pronoun or
alias.) Republicans are skating on thin ice here: their "majority"
is thinning out, haphazardly reinforced as various ethnic groups
become honorary whites, and various sects are accepted as close
enough to protestants (the new term is "Judeo-Christian," with
"Abrahamic" in the wings, held back by the political opportunism
of anti-Islam bigotry.) But the larger risk Republicans run is
that they don't represent their voters at all well. They lie to
them, they steal from them, they double-cross them whenever they
see an opportunity to make a quick buck. On the other hand,
Democrats are developing their own nascent myth of a majority
built on diversity, equity, tolerance, mutual respect and aid,
and solidarity.
[06-14]:
Trump's muddled, on-and-off militarism won't split the GOP at
all.
[06-18]:
Jeb Bush was right about Trump and "chaos". Cites a piece by
Jamelle Bouie ([06-18:
Maybe Trump and Miller Don't Understand Americans as Well as They Think
They Do), regarding Trump's polling slump.
[06-21]:
Your right-wing neighbors still don't believe the Minnesota
shoter was a conservative ideologue: I haven't yet cited any
articles on the June 14 assassination of Democratic politicians
in Minnesota, but the basic facts are available on Wikipedia
(2025
shootings of Minnesota legislators), not for lack of interest
or alarm but mostly a matter of timing. That right-wingers have
worked overtime to twist the stories into unrecognizable shapes
is unsurprising: if anything, it's standard operating procedure,
and the examples are as telling as their penchant for gun-toting
vigilantism. One of the most fundamental differences between
right and left is that only the former believes that violence
works, and will resort to it readily (and will lie about it
afterwards, because that's even more part of their nature).
Two earlier pieces on the shootings:
[06-22]:
To your right-wing neighbors, this will be Trump's war only if it
works. Cites a Joshua Keating article ([06-21]:
This time, it's Trump's war) I had initially skipped over.
[06-23]:
Will Democrats be too high-minded to respond to young people's war
fears? I don't know what he means by "high-minded." What Democrats
need to do is convey the view that any time Americans pull the trigger
that represents a failure of American foreign policy, regardless of
whether you hit the target or not. Of course, from 2021-25, Biden was
the one demonstrating incompetence by not preventing war situations
from developing and/or spreading. But why show Trump the slightest
leniency when the voters cut them no slack?
[06-26]:
In New York, I'm enjoying this billionaire freakout.
[06-28]
The Supreme Court's Republicans know our side will never use the power
they've potentially given us: The Supreme Court
"ruled
that lower-court judges can't protect even fundamental constitutional
rights using nationwide injunctions."
The Supreme Court's Republicans aren't worried that the shoe might be
on the other foot someday because they know the shoe will never be on
the other foot. This is why they're willing to give Donald Trump nearly
unlimited power: they know that any Republican would use the power in
ways they like and no Democrat would ever use it in ways they dislike.
They're giving powerful weapons to Trump and future party-mates because
they know the enemy -- Democrats -- will never use those weapons.
Alan MacLeod [06-05]:
The most American leading ever: Kids could end up in foster care over
lunch debt, Pennsylvania school district warns parents
Adam Serwer [06-08]:
Don't let Trump and Musk's feud obscure their fundamental agreement:
Both men and the party they own are committed to taking as much as
possible from Americans who need help in order to give to those who
have more than they could ever want. [link to his Atlantic article:
Musk and Trump Still Agree on One Thing]
For years, commentators have talked about how Trump reshaped the
Republican Party in the populist mold. Indeed, Trumpism has seen
Republicans abandon many of their publicly held commitments. The GOP
says it champions fiscal discipline while growing the debt at every
opportunity. It talks about individual merit while endorsing
discrimination against groups based on gender, race, national origin,
and sexual orientation. It blathers about free speech while using
state power to engage in the most sweeping national-censorship
campaign since the Red Scare. Republicans warn us about the
"weaponization" of the legal system while seeking to prosecute critics
for political crimes and deporting apparently innocent people to
Gulags without a shred of due process. The GOP venerates Christianity
while engaging in the kind of performative cruelty early Christians
associated with paganism. It preaches family values while destroying
families it refuses to recognize as such.
Yet the one bridge that connects Ronald Reagan to George W. Bush to
Donald Trump is slashing public services while showering tax cuts on
the rich. This is the Republican Party's most sacred, fundamental
value, the one it almost never betrays. Whatever else Trump and Musk
may fight about, they are faithful to that.
Nathan J Robinson [06-09]
goddamnit so many @curaffairs readers have requested a review of
"Abundance" that now I'm having to write it. why do our readers
want me to suffer[?]
I commented: Why, compared to idiots you love writing about (like
Peterson & Rufo), is Klein a sufferance? Maybe it takes more
work to accept and build on what he offers than to trash it as not
enough or some kind of sellout, but the idea that Dems need to
build/deliver isn't wrong.
When I clicked on post, I got a pop-up saying: "Want more people
to see your comment? Subscribe." The days when social media companies
were happy just to profit off our free content are obviously over.
Now in their pay-to-play racket they view everyone as an advertiser,
which will tend to reduce every comment to the credibility level of
advertisements (i.e., none: advertising has been proudly post-truth
for over a century, and indeed was born that way).
Richard D Wolff [06-09]
US liberals also enabled Trump. They let the right enlist them against
the left after 1945. As the GOP right-turned authoritarian, a unified
liberal-left opposition would have been real and powerful, unlike
today's liberal-vs-left split opposition.
Isi Breen [06-09]
Has anyone written an article about how Abundance is a swan song for
Obama's presidency? That it's less about doing anything new and more
about getting back to the last time it seemed like the party had its
shit together?
Problem here is how can anyone still think that the Democrats had
their shit together under Obama? He promised "change" and shrunk it
down to virtually nothing. He lost Congress after two years, and never
won it back, giving him an excuse to do even less than he was inclined
to do. Even the articulateness he was famed for before he ran deserted
him. (Or was it some kind of race to the bottom with the dumbing down
of the American people?) I have dozens of examples, but one specific to
"abundance agenda" is that Obama refused to pursue any stimulus projects
that weren't "shovel-ready." (Reed Hundt, in A Crisis Wasted, has
examples of things proposed but rejected because Obama and his locked-in
advisors like Summers and Emmanuel wouldn't consider anything that
smacked of long-term planning.)
Kate Wehwalt [06-13]:
It's crazy how in 40 years the internet made everyone stupid and
ruined the entire world
Nah. It just made you more aware of how stupid people already
were.
Kim, Bestie of Bunzy [06-19]
Watching this man try to get rid of imaginary raccoons he thought were
invading reminds me of what white people are currently trying to do
[to] America to get rid [of] immigrants they think are invading
This comes with a 0:43 video, where the captions read:
"My dad had raccoons in his tree house.
Nobody has been up there in years.
He tried to get rid of them with a combination of . . .
smoke bombs and firecrackers.
Anxiously watching for fleeing raccoons . . .
[the tree house catches fire and is destroyed].
No raccoons were seen or found." Much more of interest in Kim's
feed. I didn't expect (i.e., couldn't have imagined) this one:
Israeli Interior Minister Ben-Gvir accuses Mossad chief Barnea of
starting a war: - Why did you provoke Iran! Barnea: - I didn't
know Iran had such rocket capabilities!
The head of Mossad "did not know"
I've been imagining that Ben-Gvir was the architect of the war,
and conjuring up rationales for him doing so. Netanyahu has been
complaining about Iran's rockets ever since Israel pivoted against
Iran after the 1990 Gulf War neutralized Iraq as Israel's chief
bête noire (more like a boogeyman meant to frighten the US and
make it subservient to Israel -- a card they've played many times,
and which you still see working as US politicians clamor for war
against Iran). What this suggests is not that they were unaware
of Netanyahu's propaganda, but that neither Ben-Gvir nor Barnea
believed Israel's own propaganda, which they both used for their
own purposes. Long-range rocket attacks were a significant part
of the 1980s Iran-Iraq war, with Iraq using Soviet Scuds and Iran
building their own (after exhausting their US-built rockets).
Extending their range to reach Israel would have been easy, and
didn't cross an obvious red line, like nuclear bombs would have.
Still, to be a nuclear threat, as Netanyahu has long insisted
Iran is, you both need warheads and some way to deliver them:
Iranian rockets have always been an obvious part of the equation.
(Same for North Korea, which has even larger rockets.) Israel
has routinely blamed Iran for every rocket from Gaza, Lebanon,
and/or Yemen, so claiming now that you didn't know Iran had
"such rocket capabilities" is an admission that you thought
the rockets from Gaza, etc., weren't serious threats. They
were just propaganda foils.
Pessimistic Intellect, Optimistic Will: Includes graphic of
a press release by Hakeen Jeffries ("Democratic Leader"). Second
and third paragraphs are solid points, although I wouldn't say
that the kind of diplomacy the US needs to engage in at the moment
is "aggressive": how about "serious"? or "constructive"? or just
something that suggests you're not insane? However, before he
could allow himself any of that, first Jeffries had to recite
his pledge of allegiance:
Iran is a sworn enemy of the United States and can never be permitted
to become a nuclear-capable power. Israel has a right to defend itself
against escalating Iranian aggression and our commitment to Israel's
security remains ironclad.
Not only is none of this true, and as articulated is little short
of psychotic. Still, the real problem with always putting this pledge
first isn't that it suggests you cannot think clearly. It's warning
other people that you cannot or will not do anything about Israel's
behavior because you're not even in charge of you own thoughts let
alone actions.
Matthew Yglesias [06-22]:
Every president of my lifetime except Joe Biden actually started
wars, but somehow he ended up getting lambasted from the right and
the left for providing military supplies to allies as if that made
him the greatest warhawk in American history.
No one I'm aware of has tried to sort out a ranking of "greatest
warhawks in American history," but even if one did, not being the
"greatest" wouldn't be much of a compliment. Biden needed not just
to not start new wars, but to end them. He not only didn't do the
necessary diplomacy to end the wars in Ukraine and Israel/Gaza,
what diplomacy he did do, combined with his unflinching supply
of arms and money to support the war efforts, made it possible
for the wars to extend and spread. (Ukraine is slightly different,
in that sending arms there can be justified by the need to counter
Russian aggression, but also in that there are clear opportunities
for diplomatic resolution. Support for Israel, given their long
history of aggression and domination, is impossible to justify.)
And while you might credit Biden with ending the Afghanistan war,
once again he failed to show any diplomatic skill or interest.
His popularity sunk not because he ended the war, but due to the
ineptness of his withdrawal. The only thing you can say for him
is that he was painted into an untenable corner by predecessors,
but it's hard to see where he even tried to right their wrongs.
Ian Boudreau [06-26]
Responding to a tweet noting that "mamdani's win has made the ny
times, the washington post, fox news, trump, third way, and the
democratic establishment very mad" citing a Washington Post
Editorial Board article: "Zohran Mamdani's victory is bad for
New York and the Democratic Party: New York cannot take its
greatness for granted. Mismanagement can ruin it."
Wow, mismanagement of New York City - what a genuinely terrifying
prospect! Siri who is the current mayor of New York City?
I don't have the bandwidth to deal with what looks to Wichita
like a remote mayoral primary, but is obviously big news for the
media centers and for the electorally-oriented left. It's quite
possible that left candidates are much better at articulating
problems and proposing solutions than they are at administering
and implementing, but couldn't that just as easily be due to the
obstacles entrenched powers can throw into the way, including
their cozy relationship with the establishment press? One thing
for sure is that whatever management skills conservatives think
they have aren't helped by the evils of their ideology.
Jamelle Bouie adds: "i think i would take the hysteria over
mamdani's ability to govern more seriously if half these people
hasn't endorsed eric adams."
Ryan Cooper quotes Paul Krugman: "centrist Democrats often urge
leftier types to rally behind their nominees in general elections.
I agree. Anyone claiming that there's no difference between the
parties is a fool. But this deal has to be reciprocal."
Don Winslow [06-28]:
16 million Americans are about to lose their health
insurance because 77 million Americans voted for this shit.
Mid-Year Music Lists: I usually collect these under Music
Week, but it's probably easier here.
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